Press Releases from Analyst Japan (1 total)

2025年9月期 北アメリカ 米国では需要低迷を背景に、ステンレス鋼価格指数が前四半期比で5.73%下落した。 四半期平均のステンレス鋼価格は約USD 4,266/MTとなり、高水準の在庫圧力を反映した。 9月のステンレス鋼スポット価格は下落し、12週連続の弱含み基調が継続した。 生産コスト面では、ニッケルおよびフェロクロム価格が横ばいで推移し、価格上昇余地は限定的だった。 建設・自動車分野の需要は供給を吸収するには不十分で、需要見通しは依然として弱い。 需要回復、または製鉄所による限定的な減産が実施されない限り、価格はレンジ内での推移が続く見通し。 高水準のサービスセンター在庫と在庫対消費比率が、価格指数を継続的に押し下げた。 製鉄所は計画外停止なく稼働し、関税および運賃動向のばらつきにより、輸入パリティは混合したシグナルを示した。 APAC(アジア太平洋) 日本ではスクラップ価格の上昇を背景に、ステンレス鋼CRコイル価格指数が前四半期比2.21%上昇した。 四半期平均のステンレス鋼CRコイル価格は約USD 2,492/MTと報告された。 スクラップ価格の上昇がスポット価格を押し上げ、マージンを圧迫する一方で、コスト転嫁を促進した。 在庫削減と再補充の動きにより供給が引き締まり、地域全体で価格指数に影響を与えた。 輸入関税およびアンチダンピング措置が貿易フローを変化させ、需要見通しを再構築した。 円安と高水準のスクラップ価格が、生産コストの下支え要因となった。 製鉄所の安定操業と抑制された最終需要が、価格見通しを形成している。 高いスクラップ価格と控えめな建設需要により、価格指数は地域的にレンジ内で推移した。 2025年9月にAPACでステンレス鋼CRコイル価格が変動した主な要因 スクラップおよび溶解コストの上昇により生産コストが増加し、製鉄所はオファー価格を引き上げ、スポット供給が圧縮された。 倉庫在庫の大幅な削減と買い手の再補充により、即時供給が逼迫し、9月中の競争と需要が活発化した。 円相場の変動と地域的な貿易措置が流通を混乱させ、着地コストを押し上げ、輸出配分に影響を与えた。 ヨーロッパ ドイツでは供給過剰の継続を反映し、ステンレス鋼価格指数が前四半期比6.27%下落した。 四半期平均価格は**約USD 2,886.67/MT(FD Ruhr渡し)**となった。 サービスセンターによる在庫調整がスポット価格を圧迫し、下落基調を強めた。 供給過剰と弱い受注環境が、短期的な価格回復期待を後退させた。 合金サーチャージおよびエネルギーコストは安定し、生産コスト面では一定の下支えとなった。 自動車および建設分野の受注減少により、需要見通しは弱含みを維持した。 高水準の流通在庫が、製鉄所の減産発表にもかかわらず価格指数を押し下げ続けた。 高い稼働率とアジアからの輸入競争が輸出環境を制約し、回復期待を抑制した。 2025年9月の欧州における価格変動要因 在庫調整が続く中、ドイツを中心に自動車・建設需要の低迷が購買意欲を抑制した。 安定した投入コストと高稼働率が供給過剰を長期化させ、価格回復を制限した。 物流は正常であったものの、在庫の積み上がりと輸入競争が下落圧力を維持した。 2025年6月期(四半期終了) 北アメリカ ステンレス鋼CRコイル価格指数は、2025年第2四半期に前四半期比約3.1%下落し、広範な価格軟化を示した。 ニッケルおよびクロム価格の安定により、生産コスト圧力はやや緩和し、エネルギー・物流費も軟化傾向を示した。 需要は全体的に穏やかで、自動車向けは一定の支援となったものの、工業・建設分野は慎重姿勢が続いた。 輸入制限や下流需要の回復が見られない限り、短期的には弱含みが続く見通し。 四半期初め、国内製鉄所は価格を維持し、稼働率は**約76%**まで上昇した。 四半期中盤以降は、国内生産増加と低いアンチダンピングマージンによる輸入増が需要を上回り、価格指数を押し下げた。 2025年7月に価格が変動した理由(北米) 7月初旬、米国の製鉄所(North American Stainlessを含む)が価格引き上げを実施。 これは、6月3日にSection 232関税が50%に引き上げられたことを受けた動きであり、買い手の前倒し購買を誘発し、短期的な価格上昇圧力を生んだ。 ヨーロッパ(2025年6月期) ステンレス鋼CRコイル価格指数は、供給引き締まりと限定的な需要回復を背景に、前四半期比約5%上昇した。 四半期初めはエネルギーおよび原材料コストが高水準で推移し、生産コスト圧力が持続。 四半期中盤には減産により稼働率が低下し、コスト負担はやや緩和したが、規制および投入コストにより改善は限定的だった。 ドイツを中心とする自動車需要の回復が、コイル消費を押し上げた。 供給制約と貿易制限が続く場合、2025年後半にはさらなる緩やかな上昇が見込まれるが、マクロ経済の弱さが上値を抑える可能性がある。 生産削減およびEUの輸入割当制限により在庫は減少し、四半期前半の価格を下支えした。 しかし、四半期末には在庫調整と安価な輸入材の流入が進み、価格上昇は抑制された。 2025年7月の欧州価格下落要因 季節的な需要減速、残存する供給過剰、安価なアジア輸入の増加、慎重な在庫補充姿勢により、CRコイル価格は約4~5%下落した。 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polyetheramine-2414 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/metakaolin-2409 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/ammonium-chloride-2386 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/butyl-acrylate-1334 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/yttrium-metal-3506 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/aluminium-ingot-1332 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/copper-plate-1189 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/germanium-2397 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/stainless-steel-cr-coil-1404 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/natural-steatite-3479 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/antimony-trioxide-6544 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/arsenic-metal-3502 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/tungsten-3503 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/boron-205 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/zinc-ingot-1370 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/steel-rebar-1327 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/ulexite-1246 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/al6xn-1298 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/aluminium-alloy-ingot-1299 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/aluminium-sheet-1160 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/bauxite-1247 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/cold-rolled-coil-1190 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/copper-rod-1304 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/copper-wire-1305 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/graphite-1268 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/silicon-metal-1323 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/barite-2387 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/brass-rod-6523 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/aluminium-wirecopper-cladded-3478 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/aluminium-wire-1374 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/steel-plate-1269 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/magnesium-alloy-ingot-2407 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/grey-cast-iron-1386 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/electrolytic-chromium-coated-steel-5519 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/quicklime-1200 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polypropylene-pp-64 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polyethylene-glycol-peg-15 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/nitromethane-6543 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/low-density-polyethylene-ldpe-23 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/high-density-polyethylene-hdpe-11 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/formic-acid-86 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/cardboard-3501 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/cold-rolled-sheet-3466 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/ethyl-acrylate-1342 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/kraft-paper-6520 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/paraformaldehyde-pfa-78 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/plywood-6522 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polyacrylamide-pam-85 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/pulp-6521 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/sodium-silicate-1403 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/superabsorbent-polymer-203 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/stainless-steel-flat-1202 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/stainless-steel-hr-coil-1405 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/stainless-steel-round-bar-1203 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/methylamine-51 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/dimethylamine-dma-202 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/triethylamine-133 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polyolefin-elastomer-poe-61 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polybutadiene-rubber-pbr-109 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/fluoroelastomer-1156 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/thermoplastic-elastomer-tpe-173 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/neopentyl-glycol-213 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/diacetone-alcohol-daa-190 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/ammonium-sulphate-34 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/phosphoric-acid-80 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/stearic-acid-124 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/neoprene-rubber-1316 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/leatherette-3427 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/ethylene-acrylic-elastomer-aem-145 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/acrylonitrile-styrene-acrylate-asa-3439 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/hydrogenated-nitrile-butadiene-rubber-3457 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/silicone-rubber-1324 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/butyl-rubber-1378 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/natural-rubber-2411 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/rock-phosphate-5536 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/methanol-72 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/methyl-tert-butyl-ether-mtbe-92 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/methylene-dichloride-52 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/isoprene-rubber-1198 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/triethanolamine-tea-180 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/linear-alkylbenzene-sulfonic-acid-160 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/sodium-lauryl-sulphate-sls-6525 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/dolomite-3429 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/dimethylaminopropylamine-dmapa-3508 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/diethylenetriamine-deta-147 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/dimethylcyclosiloxane-2392 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/borax-pentahydrate-5510 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/treated-distillate-aromatic-extract-6518 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/linear-alkyl-benzene-lab-41 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/metallocene-based-linear-low-density-polyethylene-mlldpe-74 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/cellulose-ether-148 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/n-propanol-99 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/cyclopentane-1196 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polyacrylic-acid-3491 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/recycled-high-density-polyethylene-r-hdpe-1319 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/recycled-linear-low-density-polyethylene-r-lldpe-1320 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/r-pet-1400 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/recycled-polypropylene-1361 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/styrene-acrylonitrile-san-132 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/sodium-acid-pyrophosphate-sapp-3489 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/sodium-formate-3488 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/sodium-lauryl-ether-sulphate-sles-1402 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/styrene-187 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/styrene-copolymer-1328 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/tetra-acetyl-ethylene-diamine-taed-3515 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/tetradecane-3507 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/water-soluble-fertilizer-wsf-169 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polyamide-59 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/adipic-acid-33 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/caprolactam-31 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polybutylene-terephthalate-pbt-219 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polyester-filament-yarn-pfy-105 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polyoxymethylene-pom-129 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/nitric-acid-45 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/potassium-carbonate-113 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/fused-silica-3476 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/glyoxal-77 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/petroleum-resin-37 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/sodium-hexametaphosphate-3496 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/white-oil-1416 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/zinc-oxide-211 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/di-ter-butyl-phenol-3424 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/diisopropyl-ether-170 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/cetyl-trimethyl-ammonium-chloride-6526 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/bopp-film-140 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/aramid-fiber-3497 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/ammonium-polyphosphate-app-6542 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/alpha-olefin-sulfonate-6527 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/hot-rolled-coils-1311 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/sulphuric-acid-73 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/steel-wire-rod-1365 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/2-ethylhexanoic-acid-2-eha-215 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/2-ethylhexanol-2-eh-175 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/alpha-pinene-1373 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/aluminosilicate-1407 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/cyclohexane-1417 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/expanded-polystyrene-163 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/galvanized-plain-sheet-1309 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/heavy-aromatic-naphtha-solvent-126 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/hexamethylene-diamine-6524 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/isobutylene-3426 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/magnesium-chloride-1222 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/para-phenylene-diamine-ppd-3437 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polyolefin-plastomer-pop-1399 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polystyrene-ps-111 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/urea-ammonium-nitrate-3450 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/isobutanol-159 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/n-butanol-95 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/2-ethylhexyl-acrylate-1331 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/soap-noodles-5538 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/mineral-turpentine-oil-mto-1232 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/lithium-metal-1245 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/hafnium-metal-3519 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/ilmenite-3467 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene-abs-1 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/allyl-chloride-3499 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/caustic-potash-1301 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/caustic-soda-29 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/dioctyl-phthalate-dop-1383 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/ethylene-acrylic-acid-copolymer-1271 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/n-methyl-aniline-1353 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/nonyl-phenol-1216 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polyvinyl-chloride-pvc-156 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polycarbonate-60 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/polypropylene-glass-filled-compound-3452 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/soda-ash-119 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/sodium-tetraborate-1201 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/unsaturated-polyester-resin-3453 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/vinyl-chloride-monomer-vcm-168 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/iron-oxide-2402 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/chlorinated-polyvinyl-chloride-cpvc-1281 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/kaolin-clay-6519 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/2-ethylhexyl-nitrate-3464 https://www.analystjapan.com/Pricing-data/urea-formaldehyde-concentrate-ufc-6547 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