ステンレス鋼 CR コイル価格 |価格について|ニュース|モニター|アナリストジャパン

2025年9月期
北アメリカ

米国では需要低迷を背景に、ステンレス鋼価格指数が前四半期比で5.73%下落した。

四半期平均のステンレス鋼価格は約USD 4,266/MTとなり、高水準の在庫圧力を反映した。

9月のステンレス鋼スポット価格は下落し、12週連続の弱含み基調が継続した。

生産コスト面では、ニッケルおよびフェロクロム価格が横ばいで推移し、価格上昇余地は限定的だった。

建設・自動車分野の需要は供給を吸収するには不十分で、需要見通しは依然として弱い。

需要回復、または製鉄所による限定的な減産が実施されない限り、価格はレンジ内での推移が続く見通し。

高水準のサービスセンター在庫と在庫対消費比率が、価格指数を継続的に押し下げた。

製鉄所は計画外停止なく稼働し、関税および運賃動向のばらつきにより、輸入パリティは混合したシグナルを示した。

APAC(アジア太平洋)

日本ではスクラップ価格の上昇を背景に、ステンレス鋼CRコイル価格指数が前四半期比2.21%上昇した。

四半期平均のステンレス鋼CRコイル価格は約USD 2,492/MTと報告された。

スクラップ価格の上昇がスポット価格を押し上げ、マージンを圧迫する一方で、コスト転嫁を促進した。

在庫削減と再補充の動きにより供給が引き締まり、地域全体で価格指数に影響を与えた。

輸入関税およびアンチダンピング措置が貿易フローを変化させ、需要見通しを再構築した。

円安と高水準のスクラップ価格が、生産コストの下支え要因となった。

製鉄所の安定操業と抑制された最終需要が、価格見通しを形成している。

高いスクラップ価格と控えめな建設需要により、価格指数は地域的にレンジ内で推移した。

2025年9月にAPACでステンレス鋼CRコイル価格が変動した主な要因

スクラップおよび溶解コストの上昇により生産コストが増加し、製鉄所はオファー価格を引き上げ、スポット供給が圧縮された。

倉庫在庫の大幅な削減と買い手の再補充により、即時供給が逼迫し、9月中の競争と需要が活発化した。

円相場の変動と地域的な貿易措置が流通を混乱させ、着地コストを押し上げ、輸出配分に影響を与えた。

ヨーロッパ

ドイツでは供給過剰の継続を反映し、ステンレス鋼価格指数が前四半期比6.27%下落した。

四半期平均価格は**約USD 2,886.67/MT(FD Ruhr渡し)**となった。

サービスセンターによる在庫調整がスポット価格を圧迫し、下落基調を強めた。

供給過剰と弱い受注環境が、短期的な価格回復期待を後退させた。

合金サーチャージおよびエネルギーコストは安定し、生産コスト面では一定の下支えとなった。

自動車および建設分野の受注減少により、需要見通しは弱含みを維持した。

高水準の流通在庫が、製鉄所の減産発表にもかかわらず価格指数を押し下げ続けた。

高い稼働率とアジアからの輸入競争が輸出環境を制約し、回復期待を抑制した。

2025年9月の欧州における価格変動要因

在庫調整が続く中、ドイツを中心に自動車・建設需要の低迷が購買意欲を抑制した。

安定した投入コストと高稼働率が供給過剰を長期化させ、価格回復を制限した。

物流は正常であったものの、在庫の積み上がりと輸入競争が下落圧力を維持した。

2025年6月期(四半期終了)
北アメリカ

ステンレス鋼CRコイル価格指数は、2025年第2四半期に前四半期比約3.1%下落し、広範な価格軟化を示した。

ニッケルおよびクロム価格の安定により、生産コスト圧力はやや緩和し、エネルギー・物流費も軟化傾向を示した。

需要は全体的に穏やかで、自動車向けは一定の支援となったものの、工業・建設分野は慎重姿勢が続いた。

輸入制限や下流需要の回復が見られない限り、短期的には弱含みが続く見通し。

四半期初め、国内製鉄所は価格を維持し、稼働率は**約76%**まで上昇した。

四半期中盤以降は、国内生産増加と低いアンチダンピングマージンによる輸入増が需要を上回り、価格指数を押し下げた。

2025年7月に価格が変動した理由(北米)

7月初旬、米国の製鉄所(North American Stainlessを含む)が価格引き上げを実施。

これは、6月3日にSection 232関税が50%に引き上げられたことを受けた動きであり、買い手の前倒し購買を誘発し、短期的な価格上昇圧力を生んだ。

ヨーロッパ(2025年6月期)

ステンレス鋼CRコイル価格指数は、供給引き締まりと限定的な需要回復を背景に、前四半期比約5%上昇した。

四半期初めはエネルギーおよび原材料コストが高水準で推移し、生産コスト圧力が持続。

四半期中盤には減産により稼働率が低下し、コスト負担はやや緩和したが、規制および投入コストにより改善は限定的だった。

ドイツを中心とする自動車需要の回復が、コイル消費を押し上げた。

供給制約と貿易制限が続く場合、2025年後半にはさらなる緩やかな上昇が見込まれるが、マクロ経済の弱さが上値を抑える可能性がある。

生産削減およびEUの輸入割当制限により在庫は減少し、四半期前半の価格を下支えした。

しかし、四半期末には在庫調整と安価な輸入材の流入が進み、価格上昇は抑制された。

2025年7月の欧州価格下落要因

季節的な需要減速、残存する供給過剰、安価なアジア輸入の増加、慎重な在庫補充姿勢により、CRコイル価格は約4~5%下落した。

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