Track Acrylonitrile Price Trend Historical and Forecast

Acrylonitrile Prices: Trend Analysis, Regional Outlook, and Forecast | Q3 2025

Executive Summary

The global Acrylonitrile (ACN) market experienced notable fluctuations in the quarter ending September 2025, reflecting a complex interplay of supply-side dynamics, downstream demand patterns, and macroeconomic factors across key regions. North America and APAC reported significant quarterly price declines, driven primarily by weaker downstream consumption in sectors such as Nitrile Butadiene Rubber (NBR), ABS, and SAN, as well as moderated procurement activity amid seasonal factors. Europe, while witnessing more stable pricing, showed mild volatility due to constrained feedstock availability, logistical disruptions, and balanced demand from the automotive and construction sectors.

Globally, the Acrylonitrile Price Index experienced both short-term pressures and range-bound stabilization. Production costs were influenced by feedstock availability, notably propylene and ammonia, while logistics, seasonal demand cycles, and trade disruptions played critical roles in shaping regional price behavior. Looking ahead, near-term price movements are expected to remain range-bound, moderated by steady automotive and construction demand, inventory buffers, and ongoing geopolitical and trade considerations.

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Introduction

Acrylonitrile is a key chemical intermediate widely used in the production of synthetic rubbers (NBR), ABS (Acrylonitrile-Butadiene-Styrene), SAN (Styrene-Acrylonitrile), and other downstream polymers critical for automotive, construction, and consumer applications. Its market is inherently sensitive to feedstock fluctuations-primarily propylene and ammonia-downstream consumption trends, and trade flows.

The Q3 2025 market reflected a combination of seasonal softness, feedstock-driven cost pressures, and logistical uncertainties. While the North American and APAC regions faced notable price corrections, Europe maintained a relatively stable trajectory amid operational and trade constraints. This report presents a detailed analysis of global Acrylonitrile pricing, regional market trends, production cost drivers, procurement behavior, and an outlook for the near-term market.

Global Price Overview

For the quarter ending September 2025, global Acrylonitrile prices demonstrated a mixed pattern:

North America: Average price fell to approximately USD 1,073/MT, down 9.02% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting weak downstream demand and moderated procurement activity.
APAC (Japan): Average price declined to around USD 1,183.67/MT, down 8.74% quarter-over-quarter, influenced by subdued SAN and NBR orders and cautious purchasing behavior.
Europe (France): Average price was approximately USD 1,301.33/MT, declining 1.2% quarter-over-quarter, supported by balanced supply, constrained ammonia availability, and steady ABS consumption.

Price movements were shaped by:

Feedstock availability and costs: Propylene and ammonia prices had mixed trends, with easing propylene partially offsetting rising ammonia costs in North America. In APAC, softer crude and propylene reduced production costs. In Europe, constrained ammonia availability maintained cost support despite lower propylene prices.
Downstream demand trends: Automotive and construction sectors remained key determinants of Acrylonitrile demand, while weaker consumption in NBR and SAN segments influenced regional price adjustments.
Trade flows and logistics: Tariffs, port congestion, labor shortages, and seasonal disruptions affected spot pricing and contract negotiations, particularly in North America and Europe.

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Regional Analysis

North America

Price Movements

In the United States, the Acrylonitrile Price Index fell by 9.02% quarter-over-quarter. The average price for Q3 2025 was approximately USD 1,073/MT, reflecting DEL Houston weighted averages. Spot prices exhibited minor shifts amid a generally balanced supply and cautious procurement.

Drivers of Change

Downstream demand: Weak NBR and ABS consumption exerted pressure on pricing, although steady automotive and construction activities supported baseline offtake.
Feedstock trends: Higher ammonia costs partially offset cost relief from easing propylene prices, contributing to mixed production cost pressures.
Trade and logistics: Export weakness, tariffs, and logistical normalization tempered domestic procurement interest. Spot price volatility was further influenced by hurricane season risks and supply chain constraints.
Procurement & Supply Insights

Buyers remained cautious, focusing on short-term purchases rather than bulk contracts, supported by inventory buffers. Production operated at moderate levels, maintaining supply equilibrium without exerting significant upward pressure on prices.

Forecast

Near-term price movements are expected to remain range-bound, influenced by seasonal automotive and construction demand, inventory levels, and potential supply-side disruptions.

APAC

Price Movements

In Japan, the Acrylonitrile Price Index fell by 8.74% quarter-over-quarter, with an average price of USD 1,183.67/MT. Spot prices remained pressured due to balanced inventories and restrained export demand.

Drivers of Change

Demand patterns: Subdued SAN and NBR orders, particularly in automotive and construction sectors, led to moderated consumption.
Cost dynamics: Production costs eased as propylene and crude oil softened, reducing input cost support.
Logistics & operational factors: Port congestion, rail delays, and operational inefficiencies constrained supply flows, preventing sharper price declines despite bearish sentiment.
Procurement & Supply Insights

Japanese buyers exercised caution, adjusting inventories in line with steady but moderate downstream demand. Manufacturers optimized production schedules to balance supply and avoid overstocking, while export volumes remained limited.

Forecast

Acrylonitrile prices in APAC are expected to remain range-bound in the near term, with logistical constraints, seasonal demand patterns, and moderate downstream consumption shaping market behavior. Any significant upward movement would require a rebound in SAN/NBR demand or disruption in supply chains.

Europe

Price Movements

In France, the Acrylonitrile Price Index fell by 1.2% quarter-over-quarter, with average prices of USD 1,301.33/MT. Spot prices were range-bound, reflecting a balance between steady demand and constrained feedstock availability.

Drivers of Change

Feedstock constraints: Limited ammonia supplies restricted production rates, even as propylene costs eased.
Demand trends: ABS and SAN offtake remained moderate, primarily driven by the automotive sector, while weaker NBR demand tempered price momentum.
Logistics & operational factors: Port disruptions, labor shortages, and winter logistics contributed to mild price volatility.
Procurement & Supply Insights

European producers maintained moderate operating rates, carefully managing inventories. Buyers navigated higher delivered costs due to logistics challenges, while regional demand fluctuations limited aggressive procurement.

Forecast

Near-term pricing in Europe is expected to remain mildly volatile but generally range-bound, shaped by seasonal demand shifts, logistical normalization, and production cost dynamics.

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Historical Quarterly Review

Q2 2025

APAC: Price declines due to oversupply, muted procurement, and freight concerns; soft demand from automotive and construction sectors.
North America: ACN prices fell sharply from USD 1,401/MT to USD 1,113/MT, influenced by weakened exports, slower downstream uptake, and tariff-induced volatility.
Europe: Price increase (+4.3%) early in Q2 due to anticipatory buying, later tempered by logistics and construction demand slowdowns.

Q1 2025

North America: Fluctuating prices driven by Arctic blast supply disruptions, propylene freeze-offs, and steady automotive demand.
APAC: Volatile pricing due to uneven feedstock costs, weak NBR/ABS demand, and geopolitical tensions affecting crude supply.
Europe: Mixed trend; early volatility followed by price rises driven by supply constraints and labor strikes.

Q4 2024

North America: Prices decreased by 2% due to declining propylene costs and weaker fertilizer sector demand.
APAC: Prices remained stable amid balanced supply and moderate feedstock availability, despite typhoon-induced disruptions.
Europe: Prices fell by 9% due to weak automotive and construction demand, logistical disruptions, and export challenges.

Production & Cost Structure Insights

Acrylonitrile production primarily relies on propylene and ammonia as feedstocks.

Propylene: Global price trends heavily influence production economics, particularly in Europe and APAC. Easing propylene costs in Q3 2025 helped partially mitigate price declines.
Ammonia: Regional supply constraints, especially in North America and Europe, provided cost support, contributing to stability in headline prices despite softer downstream demand.
Logistics: Freight rates, port congestion, and seasonal shipping disruptions affected overall cost structures, with localized impacts on spot and contract prices.
Operational efficiency: Plant operating rates remained moderate, reflecting careful balancing of supply with downstream demand, particularly in Europe and APAC.

Procurement Outlook

North America: Buyers prioritized short-term contracts to navigate weak downstream demand and tariff-impacted trade flows. Inventory buffers supported price stability.
APAC: Procurement was cautious, with Japanese buyers adjusting purchasing patterns in response to moderate SAN/NBR demand and operational delays.
Europe: Steady offtake from ABS and SAN manufacturers guided procurement, while logistics challenges encouraged measured purchases.
Overall, procurement trends indicate a preference for flexible buying, with risk mitigation strategies employed amid volatile supply and pricing conditions.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q1: Why did Acrylonitrile prices fall in North America in Q3 2025?
A1: Prices declined due to weak downstream demand from NBR and ABS industries, partially offset by higher ammonia costs and moderate propylene price relief. Export weakness, tariffs, and logistical normalization also tempered domestic purchasing interest.

Q2: How did feedstock costs influence APAC prices?
A2: Easing propylene and crude oil prices reduced production costs in APAC, while operational delays, port congestion, and limited exports constrained full cost pass-through, keeping prices range-bound.

Q3: What factors maintained price stability in Europe?
A3: Constrained ammonia supplies, steady ABS/SAN demand from the automotive sector, and balanced operating rates supported headline prices despite logistical disruptions and subdued NBR consumption.

Q4: How are logistics and trade flows impacting global Acrylonitrile pricing?
A4: Port congestion, labor shortages, freight rate fluctuations, and tariff regimes influence both spot and contract prices, affecting procurement strategies and cross-border trade volumes.

Q5: What is the near-term forecast for Acrylonitrile prices?
A5: Prices are expected to remain range-bound across North America, APAC, and Europe, with any significant upward movement dependent on downstream demand recovery or supply-side disruptions.

How ChemAnalyst Supports Buyers

ChemAnalyst provides real-time market insights, enabling buyers to make informed decisions in a dynamic Acrylonitrile market:

Real-time price tracking: Monitor global ACN price indices, spot trends, and weekly updates.
Forecasts and market intelligence: Anticipate market movements to optimize procurement strategy and manage cost risks.
Supply chain insights: Track plant operations, shutdowns, feedstock availability, and logistics constraints to proactively mitigate disruption risks.
Expert analysis: Chemical engineers and market analysts provide context beyond raw data, explaining the drivers behind price changes and trade flow shifts.
Global coverage: Offices in Houston, Cologne, and New Delhi, supported by on-ground teams across 50+ major trading ports, ensure accurate, timely, and actionable insights.
By leveraging ChemAnalyst's intelligence, buyers can strategically plan procurement, optimize inventory levels, and navigate volatile ACN market conditions effectively.

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Conclusion

The Q3 2025 Acrylonitrile market reflects a cautious equilibrium across major regions. Weak downstream demand and moderated procurement kept prices in check in North America and APAC, while Europe experienced balanced stability tempered by feedstock constraints and logistical challenges. Production cost trends, seasonal demand patterns, and global trade dynamics will continue to influence pricing in the near term. Buyers equipped with real-time insights, forecasts, and supply-chain intelligence, such as those offered by ChemAnalyst, are well-positioned to navigate the evolving ACN market, optimize procurement, and manage risk effectively.

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This release was published on openPR.