Press release
Track Biodiesel Price Report Historical and Forecast
Executive Summary
The global Biodiesel market entered 2025 with complex but largely constructive pricing trends shaped by evolving policy frameworks, rising feedstock costs, seasonal demand behavior, and ongoing structural shifts in trade flows. While price volatility eased in key markets during Q3 2025, the upward pressure from regulatory mandates, strong domestic blending programs, and rising feedstock costs remained visible across North America, the Asia-Pacific (APAC), and Europe.
In Q3 2025, Biodiesel prices strengthened in all three major regions:
North America saw a 2.03% quarter-over-quarter rise, driven by policy reforms, feedstock tightening, and stable domestic demand.
APAC, led by Indonesia, recorded a 6.28% increase, predominantly due to escalating palm oil costs and B40 mandate-driven consumption.
Europe, particularly Spain, reported a 1.97% increase, supported by regulatory-driven blending requirements amid tightening feedstock availability.
◼ Get Instant Access to Live Biodiesel Prices Today: https://www.chemanalyst.com/ChemAnalyst/PricingForm?Product=Biodiesel
Across the quarters-from Q4 2024 through Q3 2025-markets consistently reflected the interplay of policy-driven demand (RFS, B40, RED II, FuelEU Maritime), shifting feedstock economics (soybean oil, UCO, palm oil), logistics resilience, and trade-flow realignments. While regional drivers differ, a core trend remains universal: Biodiesel pricing continues to be fundamentally tethered to feedstock volatility and policy certainty.
This PR-style analysis provides an exhaustive view of quarterly movements, cost trends, supply dynamics, logistics, procurement behavior, and forecast indicators across major regions. It concludes with a dedicated section on how ChemAnalyst empowers procurement teams with real-time intelligence and forward-looking market insights.
Introduction
Biodiesel has become one of the most influential alternative fuels globally, supported by rapid decarbonization initiatives, stringent regulatory compliance frameworks, and rising energy-security concerns across major economies. Its consumption is driven mainly by the transportation, industrial fuel, and marine sectors-each increasingly influenced by sustainability goals and blending mandates.
Between 2024 and 2025, the Biodiesel market navigated a combination of bullish feedstock rallies, shifting regulatory landscapes, logistical adjustments, and evolving trade patterns. Periods of oversupply alternated with supply-tightening disruptions caused by policy changes, credit market fluctuations, feedstock shortages, and seasonal fuel consumption spikes.
This comprehensive article examines the price trend and forecast for Biodiesel across major regions, offering actionable insights to procurement teams, traders, policymakers, and industry stakeholders.
◼ Monitor Real-Time Biodiesel Price Swings and Stay Ahead of Competitors: https://www.chemanalyst.com/Pricing-data/biodiesel-77
Global Price Overview
By September 2025, the global Biodiesel market stabilized around moderate price increases across all major regions due to:
Strengthened blending mandates (RFS, RED II, B40)
Feedstock cost inflation in soybean oil, palm oil, and UCO
Improved logistics stability compared to previous years
Seasonal increases in transportation and industrial fuel consumption
Regulatory shifts affecting import/export dynamics
Despite differences in feedstock resource bases (soybean oil in North America, palm oil/UCO in APAC, UCOMEs in Europe), a consistent global pattern emerged: Policy remains the leading driver of Biodiesel price direction, while feedstock determines price magnitude.
Trade flows also underwent realignments due to tariff changes, sustainability compliance rules, and credit-linked incentives that reconfigured regional supply dependencies.
North America Biodiesel Market Analysis
Q3 2025 Price Trend - September Quarter Ending
Price Performance
Price Index rose by 2.03% QoQ
Average price: USD 1558.33/MT (CFR Houston)
Spot market remained firm, supported by:
Domestic blending initiatives
Stable CFR Houston import availability
Tax credit reforms improving the competitiveness of domestic output
◼ Track Daily Biodiesel Price Updates and Strengthen Your Procurement Decisions: https://www.chemanalyst.com/ChemAnalyst/PricingForm?Product=Biodiesel
Key Drivers Behind Price Changes
Policy Reforms Boosted Domestic Producers
Regulatory adjustments reduced the competitiveness of imported biofuel, redirecting demand to U.S. producers and supporting prices.
Feedstock Tightening and High Crush Margins
A rise in soybean oil costs, combined with strong soybean crush economics, contributed to higher Biodiesel production costs.
Balanced Inventories and Constrained Imports
Stable refinery utilization and selective outages kept supply aligned with demand, easing price volatility.
Blending Demand and Seasonal Consumption
Transportation fuel demand remained strong during summer, offering price support.
Procurement Behavior and Supply Conditions
Procurement was steady but cautious, reflecting expectations of rising feedstock prices and policy-driven domestic sourcing. Import substitution strengthened as regulatory clarity boosted confidence in U.S. biofuel capacity.
Q2 2025 Review (June Quarter)
Price Index rose by 1.4% QoQ, closing at USD 1550/MT UCO CFR Houston.
Spot prices remained in the USD 1520-1550/MT range.
D4 RINs strengthened significantly-from 109¢ to 132¢, incentivizing blending.
Why Prices Shifted in Q2
High soybean oil prices exerted upward pressure.
EPA's proposed 2026-2027 blending targets enhanced bullish sentiment.
EPA restrictions on foreign credit generation boosted domestic market share.
No major logistic disruptions-strong USD mildly reduced import costs.
Q1 2025 Review (March Quarter)
Q1 saw high volatility:
Early stability transitioned into bearish sentiment due to:
45Z tax credit uncertainty
H.R. 549 repeal risks
Expiration of the Blenders Tax Credit
Cold-weather-reduced blending activity
Prices dipped to USD 1500/MT UCO CFR Houston by late January.
A recovery phase followed in March:
Supply constraints due to paused operations
Rising diesel prices
Positive momentum from clean fuel incentives and RFS discussions
Q4 2024 Review
Q4 2024 ended bullish with a 4% QoQ increase:
Higher feedstock prices (soybean oil)
Supply chain disruptions limiting availability
Strong downstream transportation demand
Government renewable energy targets sustaining blending requirements
Despite uncertainties around future incentives, procurement remained robust.
APAC Biodiesel Market Analysis
Q3 2025 Price Trend - September Quarter Ending
Price Performance
Price Index rose by 6.28% QoQ (Indonesia)
Average price: USD 1208/MT, supported by elevated CPO costs
Key Drivers Behind Price Changes
B40 Mandate Sustained Strong Domestic Demand
Government subsidies and blending directives tightened available domestic supply.
Rising Feedstock Prices (CPO, UCO)
Higher input costs increased production breakevens.
Stable Logistics and Full Plant Utilization
Smooth port operations and uninterrupted production supported consistent supply.
Export Demand and Seasonal Diesel Use
These factors created mild volatility but generally underpinned the quarter's bullish tone.
Q2 2025 Review (June Quarter)
APAC experienced the most complex dynamics:
Price Index declined by 1.6% QoQ, assessed at USD 1150/MT UCO FOB Qingdao.
Export competitiveness weakened due to tariffs in Western markets.
Rerouting of cargoes caused temporary oversupply.
Policy changes removed tax incentives, pressuring producers.
Demand remained muted with low utilization rates and high inventories.
Supportive Factors Toward End of Q2
Tightening UCO availability
Localized logistical restocking activity
Slow but visible pivot toward SAF and marine fuel applications
Q1 2025 Review
Indonesia's Q1 price trajectory was shaped by:
Government subsidies stabilizing production economics
Rising CPO prices boosting mid-quarter price gains
Global energy softness and weak export demand limiting upside
Increased palm oil inventories exerting late-quarter bearish pressure
Prices stood around USD 1110/MT Ex-Tanjung Priok at the end of January.
Q4 2024 Review
APAC (especially South Korea) saw:
7% QoQ increase
October oversupply
Mid-quarter rebound due to rising palm oil costs
November fluctuations driven by policy shifts and feedstock volatility
December stability, despite weak export activity and rising ethanol preference
Europe Biodiesel Market Analysis
Q3 2025 Price Trend - September Quarter Ending
Price Performance
Price Index rose by 1.97% QoQ (Spain)
Average price: USD 1413.33/MT
Drivers Behind Price Changes
Steady Mandate-Driven Blending
Seasonal diesel demand and regulatory shifts underpinned procurement.
Tightening Feedstock Availability (UCOME, UCO)
Declining feedstock supply added upward cost pressure.
FuelEU Maritime Transition
Compliance costs pushed production expenses higher.
Asian Import Discounts
Asian imports softened spot prices late in the quarter, moderating gains.
Q2 2025 Review
Europe recorded a +3.3% QoQ index increase:
UCOME premiums narrowed early in Q2
Late-quarter rebound driven by rising gasoil benchmarks
Margin pressures intensified from high fossil fuel costs
Compliance-linked procurement sustained moderate demand
Q1 2025 Review (Germany)
Early stability due to anti-dumping duties on Chinese imports
Prices dropped to USD 1300/MT FD Hamburg by late January
Weakened demand in marine and road transport sectors
Trade tensions and regulation uncertainty added pressure
March recovery supported by rising UCO prices and seasonal demand
Q4 2024 Review
Europe saw:
6% QoQ price increase
Supply constrained by limited feedstock availability
Germany increased higher biodiesel blend use
Exports to the USA surged
Regulatory changes strengthened demand
GHG quota rollover halt for 2025-2026 added bullish sentiment
Despite economic uncertainties, Europe maintained strong Biodiesel momentum.
Production and Cost Structure Insights
Globally, Biodiesel production costs in 2024-2025 were shaped primarily by:
◼ Unlock Live Pricing Dashboards for Accurate and Timely Insights: https://www.chemanalyst.com/ChemAnalyst/PricingForm?Product=Biodiesel
Feedstock Price Movements
Soybean oil → major cost driver in North America
Palm oil → dominant cost determinant in APAC
UCO/UCOME → critical for Europe
Rising feedstock prices directly lifted Biodiesel breakevens across regions.
Energy Tariffs and Processing Costs
Europe faced rising energy and compliance costs.
North American producers benefited from growing domestic crush capacity.
APAC refiners saw margin compression from volatile palm oil and UCO costs.
Policy Incentives
RIN values (USA)
B40 subsidies (Indonesia)
RED II and FuelEU Maritime (Europe)
heavily shaped producer margins and price stability.
Procurement Outlook
Across global markets, the Biodiesel procurement outlook for 2025 remains cautiously optimistic.
North America
Stronger seasonal diesel demand
Regulatory clarity supporting domestic output
Inventory balance reducing volatility
Higher soybean oil costs expected to persist
APAC
B40 mandate ensures steady demand
Feedstock volatility likely to drive quarterly price swings
Export market recovery dependent on tariff environments
Shift toward SAF and marine fuels improving long-term absorption
Europe
Strong compliance-driven demand
Tightening feedstock supplies
Geopolitical risk influencing gasoil benchmarks
Asian import flows shaping short-term pricing trends
◼ Stay Updated Each Day with Verified Biodiesel Price Movements: https://www.chemanalyst.com/ChemAnalyst/PricingForm?Product=Biodiesel
FAQs on Biodiesel Prices
Why did Biodiesel prices rise in Q3 2025 globally?
Due to mandate-driven demand, feedstock cost inflation, and steady logistics supporting supply.
What is the biggest cost driver for Biodiesel production?
Feedstock (soybean oil, palm oil, UCO/UCOME) accounts for up to 70-80% of production cost.
Why is APAC pricing more volatile?
Heavy dependence on palm oil, highly sensitive to weather, exports, and policy-driven supply shifts.
How do policy mandates impact prices?
Mandates (like RFS, B40, RED II) create baseline demand, supporting price floors and reducing volatility.
Why did European prices not increase as much in Q3 2025?
Asian import competition and balanced UCOME arrivals limited upward movement.
Is Biodiesel pricing expected to remain bullish?
Moderately bullish, though gains could be tempered by feedstock oversupply or weaker transport fuel demand.
How ChemAnalyst Supports Buyers with Real-Time Market Intelligence
ChemAnalyst provides procurement teams, traders, and industry stakeholders with real-time Biodiesel price data, weekly market updates, and forward-looking forecasts covering more than 450 commodities.
What ChemAnalyst Delivers
Live Biodiesel Prices, Indices, and Spot Assessments
Deep-dive Quarterly and Monthly Market Reports
Supply-Demand Tracking across global regions
Trade Flow Analysis and Import/Export Monitoring
Plant-level Insights: capacity, shutdowns, turnarounds
Forecasting Tools backed by chemical engineers, economists, and supply-chain specialists
Policy Impact Assessments relevant to RINs, RED II, B40, LCFS, tax credits, and global mandates
Why It Matters
Procurement timing, contract strategy, and feedstock cost monitoring are crucial. ChemAnalyst empowers buyers to:
Mitigate price risks
Optimize sourcing decisions
Anticipate supply disruptions
Achieve procurement cost savings
Align with sustainability and compliance objectives
Contact Us:
UNITED STATES
Call +1 3322586602
420 Lexington Avenue, Suite 300, New York, NY,
United States, 10170
Germany
Call +49-221-6505-8833
S-01, 2.floor, Subbelrather Straße,
15a Cologne, 50823, Germany
Website: https://www.chemanalyst.com/
About Us:
Welcome to ChemAnalyst, a next-generation platform for chemical and petrochemical intelligence where innovation meets practical insight. Recognized as "Product Innovator of the Year 2023" and ranked among the "Top 100 Digital Procurement Solutions Companies," we lead the digital transformation of the global chemical sector. Our online platform helps companies handle price volatility with structured analysis, real-time pricing, and reliable news and deal updates from across the world. Tracking over 500 chemical prices in more than 40 countries becomes simple and efficient with us.
This release was published on openPR.
Permanent link to this press release:
Copy
Please set a link in the press area of your homepage to this press release on openPR. openPR disclaims liability for any content contained in this release.
You can edit or delete your press release Track Biodiesel Price Report Historical and Forecast here
News-ID: 4283694 • Views: …
More Releases from ChemAnalyst
Track Glycol Ether Price Index Historical and Forecast
Executive Summary
The global Glycol Ether market has experienced significant price fluctuations over the past several quarters, driven by a complex interplay of cost-side dynamics, feedstock pricing, seasonal demand patterns, supply-chain disruptions, and varying production operating rates across regions. As of the Quarter Ending September 2025, market sentiment remains mixed: North America shows modest strength backed by steady seasonal demand, APAC faces downward pressure amid inventory overhangs and muted coatings consumption,…
Track Polylactic Acid Price Trend Historical and Forecast
Executive Summary
The global Polylactic Acid (PLA) market in 2024-2025 has demonstrated a dynamic interplay of sustainability-driven demand, evolving production technologies, shifting logistical conditions, and changing trade flows. While long-term PLA fundamentals remain bullish due to global environmental mandates, short-term pricing trends across regions have reflected varying regional supply conditions, seasonal procurement cycles, feedstock cost behavior, and inventory adjustments.
During Q3 2025, price directions diverged across regions:
North America saw a mild 0.18%…
Track Polybutylene Adipate Terephthalate (PBAT) Price Index Historical and Forec …
Executive Summary
For the quarter ending September 2025, Polybutylene Adipate Terephthalate (PBAT) markets exhibited broadly balanced fundamentals with region-specific divergences. In North America the PBAT Price Index rose modestly by 2.26% quarter-over-quarter, with the average at ~USD 1,551.67/MT CFR Los Angeles. APAC markets (notably Japan) saw mild downward pressure, with a 2.74% quarterly decline and regional pricing around ~USD 3,122.67/MT in the reported assessment. Europe observed measured strength - France's index…
Track Natural Gas Price Report Historical and Forecast
Executive Summary
The global natural gas market continues to undergo significant shifts amid evolving weather patterns, wide-ranging industrial dynamics, and a rapidly changing geopolitical environment. For the period ending September 2025, natural gas prices across North America, APAC, and Europe largely followed a declining trajectory, driven by abundant supply, moderate to weak demand, elevated inventories, and logistics stability. Regional fundamentals diverged, yet the overarching theme centered around oversupply conditions and seasonally…
More Releases for Biodiesel
A Complete Guide to Biodiesel
Biodiesel is a renewable fuel produced from renewable sources such as vegetable oils, animal fats, and recycled cooking oil. It works seamlessly with existing diesel engines and diesel vehicles. It is mainly used as a blend with petroleum diesel fuel in diesel vehicles. Biodiesel is known to increase the cetane number of the fuel and increase fuel lubricity. It is utilized as an alternative biofuel in existing diesel engines without…
Biodiesel Price Trend Analysis
Biodiesel is a renewable fuel produced from various feedstocks, including vegetable oils, animal fats, and recycled cooking oils. It can be blended with petroleum diesel or used as a complete substitute in diesel engines. As a renewable alternative to fossil fuels, biodiesel plays an important role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and decreasing dependence on crude oil. Because of these environmental benefits, many countries support biodiesel production through renewable energy…
Factors Influencing Global Waste Grease Biodiesel Market through 2023 and Beyond …
Global Waste Grease Biodiesel Market Research Report provides a key analysis of the market status of Waste Grease Biodiesel with the best facts and figures, meaning, definition, SWOT analysis, expert opinions, and the latest developments across the globe. The report also calculates the market size, Sales, Price, Revenue, Gross Margin, Market Share, cost structure, and growth rate. The report considers the revenue generated from the sales of This Report and…
Global Biodiesel Market 2020 Business Strategies – Delta American Fuel, Wester …
The Zion Market Research added a new report “Global Biodiesel Market - By Application (Power Generation, Fuel, And Others); By Production Technology (Trans-Esterification, Pyrolysis, And Others); By Feedstock Type (Animal Fats, Vegetable Oils, And Others); By Blend (B5, B10, B20, And B100); And By Region- Global Industry Perspective, Comprehensive Analysis, and Forecast, 2020 – 2026” in its database, which provides an expert and in-depth analysis of key business trends and…
Biodiesel Processing Unit
While reserves of petroleum are decreasing every passing day, energy consumption is increasing at 6.5% per annum. And for solving this issue many countries are implementing new policies for minimizing the usage of fossil fuels and increase the use of alternative sources like solar power and Biodiesel. Biodiesel is a diesel fuel substitute made from a variety of oils, fats, and greases which can become a cheaper alternative to fossil…
Biodiesel Market Growth and Industry Key Players are Western Dubuque Biodiesel, …
Global Biodiesel Market size is expected to move up at a moderate rate in the next few years. Biodiesel is derived from animal fats, cooking oils, yellow grease, and vegetable oils by a process known as transesterification which converts fats and oils into chemicals. It is a substitute fuel similar to fossil or conventional fuels.
Need for energy independence and increasing environmental concern have driven the demand for biodiesel market…
