Track Epichlorohydrin Price Index Historical and Forecast

Executive Summary

The global Epichlorohydrin (ECH) market exhibited a complex and regionally divergent pricing pattern through the quarter ending September 2025, shaped by uneven downstream demand, volatile feedstock costs, logistical disruptions, and shifting global trade flows. While North America and APAC witnessed price softening due to weak epoxy resin consumption and cautious procurement, Europe stood out with a firming price trend supported by rising production costs and constrained logistics. Across all regions, elevated glycerol and propylene costs, combined with intermittent supply disruptions from China, played a critical role in preventing sharper price corrections despite muted demand conditions.

Looking ahead, the Epichlorohydrin price forecast remains cautious. Procurement behavior continues to be conservative, inventories remain largely comfortable, and demand recovery across construction, paints, coatings, and epoxy resins remains uneven. However, structural supply tightness, geopolitical trade adjustments, freight volatility, and feedstock cost pressures are expected to provide downside protection, keeping prices largely range-bound in the near term.

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Introduction

Epichlorohydrin is a key chemical intermediate primarily used in the production of epoxy resins, which find extensive application across construction, infrastructure, coatings, electronics, adhesives, and composites. As a result, ECH pricing is highly sensitive to movements in construction activity, industrial output, and global trade flows. Additionally, its cost structure is heavily influenced by feedstocks such as glycerol and propylene, along with energy, logistics, and operating rates.

From late 2024 through Q3 2025, the global Epichlorohydrin market transitioned through phases of supply disruption, cost inflation, demand contraction, and cautious stabilization. This article provides a comprehensive review of Epichlorohydrin price trends and forecasts, combining quarterly movements, production economics, procurement behavior, and regional supply-demand dynamics across North America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe.

Global Epichlorohydrin Price Overview

Globally, Epichlorohydrin prices during 2025 reflected a market balancing act between weak downstream demand and persistent cost-side pressures. While epoxy resin consumption remained subdued across most regions due to high interest rates, delayed infrastructure projects, and soft construction activity, prices did not collapse due to:

Tight supply availability from China caused by maintenance shutdowns and logistical disruptions
Elevated glycerol costs linked to biofuel demand and constrained feedstock supply
Volatile freight rates and port congestion impacting delivered costs
Strategic restocking and tariff-driven trade flow adjustments
By Q3 2025, pricing trends had largely stabilized, with regional divergence becoming more pronounced. North America and APAC faced mild corrections, while Europe experienced a measurable price increase.

Epichlorohydrin Price Data Summary (Q3 2025)

Region Country QoQ Price Change Avg Price (USD/MT) Key Market Condition

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North America USA -3.10% 1,986 Weak demand, soft imports

APAC Japan -1.22% 2,596 Balanced supply, cost easing

Europe Germany +3.65% 1,996 Cost pressure, logistics

South America Brazil -6.36% 2,193 Weak demand, import pressure

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Regional Epichlorohydrin Market Analysis

North America Epichlorohydrin Price Trend

During the quarter ending September 2025, Epichlorohydrin prices in the United States declined by 3.1 percent on a quarter-over-quarter basis. The primary driver behind this decline was sustained weakness in downstream epoxy resin demand, particularly from the construction and paints sectors. Hurricane season disruptions further delayed project timelines, reducing near-term material consumption.

Despite the decline in the price index, Epichlorohydrin spot prices remained largely range-bound. Supply constraints, particularly limited availability from China due to maintenance shutdowns, prevented sharper corrections. Rising glycerol and propylene costs increased production expenses, offering cost-based price support even as demand softened.

Import dynamics played a notable role during the quarter. Earlier frontloading and subsequent cooling of imports resulted in a softer price index. Logistics disruptions in Asia, combined with shifting freight costs, influenced delivery schedules and inventory planning. Manufacturing capacity utilization remained comfortable, and inventories were sufficient, restraining any upside momentum.

The near-term price forecast for North America remains cautious. While some late-quarter restocking signals emerged, uneven epoxy resin recovery and conservative procurement behavior continue to limit price recovery potential.

Asia-Pacific Epichlorohydrin Price Trend

In the Asia-Pacific region, Epichlorohydrin prices in Japan declined by 1.22 percent quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025. The market reflected a balance between easing feedstock costs and subdued downstream demand. Average prices during the quarter settled at approximately USD 2,596 per metric ton.

Spot prices remained range-bound as inventories stayed ample. Easing glycerol and propylene costs reduced cost pressure, while steady supply conditions prevented volatility. Demand from paints and coatings remained soft, although selective improvement in construction activity provided limited support.

Price movements in September were influenced by rising container availability and pre-festive restocking ahead of Japan's Golden Week. Short-term logistical disruptions constrained prompt shipments, leading some buyers to secure nearby cargoes. Selective restocking by epoxy resin producers supported localized price firmness, though broader sentiment remained cautious.

Overall, the APAC price forecast suggests limited upside in the near term. Feedstock parity, export dynamics, and inventory management will continue to dictate price direction.

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Europe Epichlorohydrin Price Trend

Europe emerged as the strongest regional performer in Q3 2025, with Epichlorohydrin prices in Germany rising by 3.65 percent quarter-over-quarter. Average prices for the quarter reached approximately USD 1,996 per metric ton.

This upward movement was primarily driven by rising glycerol and propylene costs, which increased production expenses and supported price resilience. Logistics disruptions, including port congestion and extended delivery times, further constrained supply responsiveness.

Despite subdued demand from paints and coatings, price gains were sustained due to balanced logistics following easing Rhine freight conditions and elevated cost structures. Spot price volatility persisted as importers navigated port congestion and feedstock constraints.

Looking ahead, European demand remains seasonally weak, but restocking cycles and potential production restarts could influence near-term buying patterns. The price outlook remains cautiously stable rather than aggressively bullish.

Historical Quarterly Review of Epichlorohydrin Prices

From Q4 2024 through Q3 2025, the Epichlorohydrin market experienced pronounced volatility:

Q4 2024 saw sharp price increases in North America and South America due to typhoons, plant shutdowns in China, port strikes, and strong downstream sentiment
Q1 2025 marked a broad global downturn driven by weak epoxy resin demand, improved shipping conditions, and new Chinese capacities
Q2 2025 reflected stabilization as freight costs, tariffs, and selective restocking offset weak demand
Q3 2025 highlighted regional divergence, with Europe firming and other regions softening
This historical trajectory underscores the importance of logistics, feedstock economics, and trade policy in shaping Epichlorohydrin pricing.

Production Economics and Cost Structure Insights

Epichlorohydrin production costs are heavily influenced by glycerol and propylene prices, energy costs, and operating rates. Throughout 2025, glycerol supply tightness remained a recurring theme, periodically offsetting declines in propylene prices.

While declining propylene prices provided some relief during Q2 2025, rising glycerol costs and freight charges reintroduced cost pressure in Q3. Production margins were sustained in Europe due to elevated costs, while margins remained tighter in import-dependent regions.

Procurement Behavior and Supply Conditions

Across regions, procurement behavior remained cautious. Buyers favored need-based purchasing, limited forward commitments, and strategic stock management. High inventories, weak downstream demand, and uncertain macroeconomic conditions reinforced conservative buying strategies.

Supply conditions remained stable overall, though intermittent Chinese supply disruptions and logistics delays created localized tightness. Trade flows shifted dynamically in response to tariffs, freight volatility, and regional demand patterns.

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Epichlorohydrin Price Forecast and Procurement Outlook

The near-term Epichlorohydrin price forecast points toward a largely range-bound market. While demand recovery remains uneven, persistent cost pressure, logistical risks, and structural supply constraints are expected to limit downside risk.

Procurement strategies are likely to remain flexible, with buyers closely monitoring feedstock trends, freight rates, and regional inventory levels to optimize purchasing decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What drives Epichlorohydrin price fluctuations?

Prices are influenced by feedstock costs, epoxy resin demand, logistics, plant operating rates, and global trade policies.

Why did prices fall in North America during Q3 2025?

Weak downstream demand, comfortable inventories, and cooling imports outweighed supply constraints.

Why did Europe see rising prices?

Rising glycerol and propylene costs, combined with logistics disruptions, supported price increases despite subdued demand.

What is the outlook for Epichlorohydrin prices?

Prices are expected to remain stable with limited upside, supported by cost pressure and supply risks.

How ChemAnalyst Supports Epichlorohydrin Buyers

ChemAnalyst provides comprehensive, real-time intelligence to help buyers navigate complex chemical markets. Through weekly price updates, detailed cost breakdowns, and forward-looking forecasts, ChemAnalyst enables informed procurement decisions.

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This release was published on openPR.