Track Progesterone Price Trend Historical and Forecast

Executive Summary

The global Progesterone market demonstrated a steady upward trajectory throughout 2025, driven by a combination of supply constraints, rising production costs, logistical challenges, and strong demand from pharmaceutical and veterinary sectors. In North America, APAC, and Europe, the Progesterone Price Index exhibited consistent growth, reflecting elevated landed costs, tight inventories, and cautious procurement strategies by importers and distributors. Key factors influencing pricing included curtailments in Chinese production, environmental inspections, port congestion, rising feedstock costs, and proactive restocking ahead of regulatory or tariff changes. Short-term forecasts suggest continued modest upward movement in prices due to ongoing logistical pressures, production cost increases, and sustained demand, though volatility remains sensitive to supply-side interventions and global trade dynamics.

◼ Get Instant Access to Live Progesterone Prices Today: https://www.chemanalyst.com/Pricing-data/progesterone-1648

Introduction

Progesterone is a critical active pharmaceutical ingredient used extensively in hormone replacement therapy, fertility treatments, and veterinary formulations. Its market dynamics are influenced by a complex interplay of production costs, supply chain logistics, international trade flows, and downstream demand patterns. Over the first three quarters of 2025, the global Progesterone market has experienced incremental price increases, reflecting heightened attention from both pharmaceutical buyers and contract development and manufacturing organizations (CDMOs).

The market is heavily impacted by Chinese and Indian production centers, as well as major European hubs like Germany. Seasonal production patterns, regulatory compliance requirements, energy and feedstock costs, port congestion, and currency fluctuations collectively shape the quarterly price behavior. Understanding these dynamics is critical for buyers, distributors, and industry analysts aiming to optimize procurement strategies and maintain supply chain continuity.

Global Price Overview

During Q3 2025, the global average Progesterone price ranged between USD 173,033/MT and USD 173,137/MT across major markets, marking a modest quarter-over-quarter increase of approximately 0.87% in North America, 0.894% in APAC, and 0.90% in Europe. Price movements were largely supported by tight supply conditions, elevated production costs, and proactive inventory management by distributors and importers. The table below summarizes the quarterly price trends across key regions.

The data reflects a transition from a generally bearish market in Q4 2024 to a steadily bullish environment by Q3 2025. Factors contributing to this trend include rising input costs, constrained Chinese production, and a global recovery in downstream demand.

◼ Monitor Real-Time Progesterone Price Swings and Stay Ahead of Competitors: https://www.chemanalyst.com/ChemAnalyst/PricingForm?Product=Progesterone

Regional Analysis

North America

In the USA, the Progesterone market exhibited a steady upward trend during Q3 2025. The average price reached USD 173,132/MT, reflecting a 0.87% increase quarter-over-quarter. Supply constraints, particularly stemming from reduced Chinese exports and elevated freight costs, were key drivers of the price movement.

Port congestion and front-loaded procurement ahead of anticipated tariffs created near-term scarcity, sustaining elevated spot prices. Distributors prioritized securing supply over pricing, often building inventories and reinforcing upward momentum in the Progesterone Price Index. Production costs increased due to higher feedstock expenses, regulatory compliance requirements, and energy costs, exerting additional pressure on supplier margins.

Quarterly movements from Q1 2025 through Q3 2025 highlight consistent growth. Q1 experienced strong pharmaceutical-driven demand and logistics challenges, while Q2 saw a modest increase of 0.12% due to rising freight rates and cost pressures.

Key factors influencing the U.S. market:

Supply constraints from Chinese curtailments
Elevated freight and logistics costs
Front-loaded procurement ahead of potential tariffs
Firm demand from hormone replacement therapy and CDMO procurement cycles
Asia Pacific

In APAC, particularly in China, the Progesterone market mirrored North American trends. Q3 2025 saw the average price rise to USD 173,033/MT, with a 0.894% increase quarter-over-quarter. Supply disruptions due to environmental inspections, operational downtimes, and typhoon-related logistics delays contributed to tighter availability and upward price pressure.

Production cost trends were upward, driven by higher fermenter input prices, increased energy and solvent expenditures, and broader feedstock inflation. Robust demand from pharmaceutical and veterinary sectors sustained the bullish tone. Buyers actively restocked inventories to mitigate supply risks, supporting export quotations and the overall Price Index.

Regional price drivers in APAC:

Reduced domestic output from environmental and regulatory inspections
Rising feedstock, energy, and solvent costs
Port congestion and typhoon disruptions delaying shipments
Proactive restocking by global buyers
Europe

The German Progesterone market showed similar upward momentum, with Q3 2025 prices averaging USD 173,137.33/MT, reflecting a 0.90% quarter-over-quarter increase. Supply-side pressures, elevated freight, and energy costs were primary factors pushing prices higher.

Pharmaceutical and veterinary sectors maintained strong procurement activity to replenish inventories, supporting sustained demand. Export deals and cautious restocking further bolstered the Price Index. Historical trends from Q1 to Q3 2025 reveal a steady recovery from the bearish conditions of Q4 2024, driven by logistical constraints and rising input costs.

◼ Track Daily Progesterone Price Updates and Strengthen Your Procurement Decisions: https://www.chemanalyst.com/Pricing-data/progesterone-1648



Key European market influencers:

Import delays and constrained shipments
Elevated production and landed costs due to freight, demurrage, and energy
Steady pharmaceutical procurement and export activity
Short-term operational downtimes by major producers
Production and Cost Structure Insights

Global Progesterone production costs are influenced by feedstock availability, energy prices, solvent consumption, and compliance with environmental and manufacturing regulations. Chinese API plants, representing a significant share of global supply, experienced operational downtimes and regulatory audits that limited output in 2025. European producers faced elevated freight and energy costs, while North American buyers absorbed higher landed costs due to port congestion and elevated import charges.

Cost pressures directly impacted procurement strategies, with distributors focusing on securing supply rather than negotiating lower prices. Rising production expenses and logistical complexities contributed to sustained price firmness and supported moderate forecasted gains into Q4 2025.

◼ Unlock Live Pricing Dashboards for Accurate and Timely Insights: https://www.chemanalyst.com/ChemAnalyst/PricingForm?Product=Progesterone

Procurement Behavior and Trade-Flow Impacts

Buyers across regions adopted proactive procurement strategies to mitigate supply risks. Front-loaded purchases in North America and APAC were motivated by anticipated tariff changes, potential supply shortages, and logistical bottlenecks. In Europe, strategic restocking supported price stability amid elevated import costs.

Trade flows were influenced by Chinese export curtailments, port congestion in major hubs, typhoon-related disruptions in Asia, and tight freight markets. These factors collectively amplified volatility in landed costs and reinforced the importance of careful supply chain planning.

Historical Quarterly Review

Q4 2024: Markets were largely bearish due to weak demand, high inventory, and favorable Chinese production economics.
Q1 2025: Prices began to rise as post-holiday restocking, tariffs, and logistical delays constrained supply.
Q2 2025: Incremental upward movement driven by elevated freight, compliance costs, and stronger downstream procurement.
Q3 2025: Continued bullish trend with tighter inventories, supply constraints, and proactive buying patterns sustaining price growth.
Progesterone Price Forecast

Short-term forecasts suggest continued modest upward movement, supported by persistent logistics pressures, elevated production costs, and robust pharmaceutical demand. Price volatility is expected to remain, particularly if further supply-side disruptions occur in Chinese and Indian manufacturing hubs or if freight and energy costs fluctuate significantly.

Frequently Asked Questions

What caused Progesterone prices to increase in Q3 2025?
Supply constraints from Chinese curtailments, port congestion, front-loaded procurement, and rising feedstock and energy costs contributed to higher prices.

How do logistics impact Progesterone pricing?
Port congestion, delayed shipments, and elevated freight costs increase landed costs, tightening supply and amplifying Price Index volatility.

Which sectors drive Progesterone demand?
Pharmaceutical sectors focused on hormone replacement therapy and fertility treatments, along with veterinary applications, account for the majority of global demand.

What are the key cost drivers for producers?
Feedstock costs, energy, solvent consumption, environmental compliance, and freight charges significantly impact production costs.

What is the short-term market outlook?
The market is expected to see moderate price gains, with sustained demand and logistical pressures supporting upward trends.

◼ Stay Updated Each Day with Verified Progesterone Price Movements: https://www.chemanalyst.com/ChemAnalyst/PricingForm?Product=Progesterone

How ChemAnalyst Supports Buyers

ChemAnalyst provides real-time market intelligence, weekly price updates, and forecasts for over 450 commodities, including Progesterone. Buyers gain actionable insights into supply-demand dynamics, production costs, and trade flows.

ChemAnalyst analysts, based in Houston, Cologne, and New Delhi, track market conditions across more than 50 major global ports. Their expertise in economics, manufacturing, and supply chain management enables accurate forecasting and risk assessment.

Contact Us:

UNITED STATES

Call +1 3322586602

420 Lexington Avenue, Suite 300, New York, NY,

United States, 10170

Germany

Call +49-221-6505-8833

S-01, 2.floor, Subbelrather Straße,

15a Cologne, 50823, Germany

Website: https://www.chemanalyst.com/

About Us:

Welcome to ChemAnalyst, a next-generation platform for chemical and petrochemical intelligence where innovation meets practical insight. Recognized as "Product Innovator of the Year 2023" and ranked among the "Top 100 Digital Procurement Solutions Companies," we lead the digital transformation of the global chemical sector. Our online platform helps companies handle price volatility with structured analysis, real-time pricing, and reliable news and deal updates from across the world. Tracking over 500 chemical prices in more than 40 countries becomes simple and efficient with us.

This release was published on openPR.