Track Diacetone Alcohol Price Trend Historical and Forecast

Executive Summary

The global diacetone alcohol (DAA) market witnessed varied price dynamics through 2024 and 2025, influenced by supply chain constraints, feedstock cost stability, downstream demand fluctuations, logistics bottlenecks, and regional economic conditions. While North America experienced muted demand from construction and coatings sectors leading to subdued price movements in mid-2025, Asia Pacific-especially China-registered notable quarterly increases under tight supply conditions. Europe faced lingering softness in key downstream segments, with prices range-bound or slightly declining due to weak demand.

Across major regions, production cost pressures remained limited as acetone feedstock costs stabilized, while inventory management and logistical conditions exerted uneven influences on spot prices. Forward forecasts indicate sideways to mildly oscillating price trajectories in the near term, shaped by downstream procurement behavior and broader economic signals across end-use industries.

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Introduction

Diacetone alcohol (DAA), a key solvent and intermediate in coatings, adhesives, and industrial applications, remains a market sensitive to shifts in feedstock availability, macro-economic conditions, and sectoral demand from construction and manufacturing. The period spanning late 2024 through September 2025 illustrates how global supply chains, regional demand variances, and logistical factors combine to shape DAA pricing dynamics.

Understanding quarterly price movements, production cost trends, inventory behaviors, logistical impacts, and downstream procurement patterns is paramount for market participants-whether buyers, planners, or analysts. This comprehensive review collates quarterly data and expert insights to offer a factual, structured perspective on the DAA market-past, present, and near-term future.

Global Price Overview

Global DAA prices have shown a mix of stability, modest increases, and occasional softness depending on regional supply-demand balances and logistics conditions. Three key themes define recent movements:

Feedstock Cost Stability: In most regions, acetone-the primary feedstock for DAA-remained relatively stable, limiting production cost volatility and dampening sharp price swings through mid-2025.
Downstream Demand Variability: Construction-linked demand, particularly for coatings and adhesives, exhibited softness in North America and Europe, constraining price growth. In contrast, selective demand improvements in parts of APAC supported balanced markets amid tight supplies.
Logistics and Supply Chain Impacts: Port congestion in China and certain European gateways intermittently tightened near-term spot availability, influencing localized price firmness. In North America, adequate inventories buffered broader price declines.

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Detailed Regional Analysis

North America

Quarter Ending September 2025

In the USA, the DAA Price Index declined by approximately 3.5% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting subdued overall demand, particularly from construction and coatings segments. Despite this soft downstream pull, average quarterly prices stabilized around USD 2,103/MT DEL Louisiana, underpinned by balanced supply and adequate inventories.

Spot prices remained range-bound throughout the quarter. While localized availability constraints occasionally supported firmer offers, overall stock levels were sufficient, limiting significant price volatility. Producers maintained normal operating rates with selective inventory drawdowns-resulting in balanced offers and limited upward pressure.

Drivers Behind Price Change

Balanced Supply and Inventories: Despite weaker downstream purchasing, balanced inventories prevented sharper price declines.
Stable Acetone Feedstock Costs: With acetone prices steady, production cost pressures were muted.
Logistics: Smooth logistics mitigated extreme price swings, though distribution hub tightness occasionally supported late-month spot strength.
Quarter Ending June 2025

Through Q2 2025, North American DAA prices trended weaker early in the quarter and stabilized by June. In April, prices held flat amid balanced supply and demand. By May, soft demand and comfortable inventories prompted minor price slips despite steady feedstock costs. June saw stabilization as the market rebalanced supply with muted buying interest.

Procurement Behavior: Buyers remained cautious, limiting procurement to near-term needs amid weak construction sentiment and soft end-use demand.

Quarter Ending March 2025

Q1 2025 saw a contrasting upward price trend due to supply disruptions from extended freezing temperatures in production hubs, which reduced DAA output and strained logistics. Prices strengthened as construction activity remained stable, further tightening supply-demand balances.

Historical Insight: Weather-related supply constraints underscored the market's sensitivity to production disruptions, especially where downstream demand remained resilient.

Asia Pacific (APAC)

Quarter Ending September 2025

In China, the DAA Price Index rose by an estimated 7.64% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting tighter domestic supply conditions. The average quarterly price was about USD 1,752.67/MT FOB Shanghai. Despite spot prices remaining range-bound, limited volatility in the Index pointed to consistent pricing discipline.

Stable acetone feedstock availability eased production cost pressures. Although demand from paints and adhesives was only cautiously recovering, balanced inventories and adequate export interest supported near-term consumption.

Supply and Logistics Highlights

Plant Maintenance: Intermittent maintenance temporarily tightened spot supplies but did not significantly disrupt overall availability.
Port Congestion: Selective port congestion elevated logistics costs slightly but was countered by steady production flows and inventory buffers.

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Quarter Ending June 2025

Q2 pricing in Asia was mixed-to-firm. April saw price easing due to ample stock and stable feedstock costs. May experienced modest price rebounds supported by disciplined output and stronger demand in specific segments. June prices strengthened further as port congestion raised shipping costs and tightened near-term supply.

Procurement Behavior: Buyers focused on spot coverage where logistical delays threatened availability, though overseas inquiries remained moderate.

Quarter Ending March 2025

Early 2025 pricing diverged across APAC. China witnessed significant price increases driven by supply shortages, including shutdowns at major domestic producers and constrained feedstock availability. India's market, by contrast, stayed subdued as competitive offers were used to stimulate demand.

Europe

Quarter Ending September 2025

In Germany, the DAA Price Index continued to retreat quarter-over-quarter amid weak coatings sector demand. Spot prices weakened modestly as suppliers adjusted offers amid slack downstream restocking activity. Inventory levels remained comfortable, reducing urgency for aggressive pricing.

Key Price Influencers

Demand Weakness: A sluggish architectural coatings and adhesives market dampened overall consumption.
Stable Feedstock Costs: Balanced acetone availability moderated cost pressures.
Export Support: Export flows to Eastern Europe offered intermittent pickup, helping curb sharper regional price declines.
Quarter Ending June 2025

Europe's DAA markets were predominantly bearish through Q2 2025. Weak downstream demand from construction and industrial applications pressured prices downward. In May and June, bearish fundamentals deepened due to low procurement and adequate stocks.

Quarter Ending March 2025

Q1 exhibited early price softness in Europe due to subdued demand in coatings and construction. However, tightening supply conditions and modest restocking supported a late-quarter price uptick.

Production and Cost Structure Insights

Across regions, the production cost landscape for DAA remained relatively stable in 2025. Acetone, the primary feedstock, showed limited volatility in most quarters, providing cost predictability for producers. This moderation in feedstock costs prevented abrupt cost pass-through into DAA pricing.

In regions like North America and Europe, stable feedstock and energy costs helped keep production expenses in check amid fluctuations in demand. In APAC, while logistic disruptions occasionally raised near-term transport costs, production economics remained broadly balanced due to steady acetone availability.

Producers generally maintained normal operating rates, selectively adjusting inventories to align with immediate demand without inducing excessive market tightness.

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Quarterly Historical Review (Q4 2024 through Q3 2025)

Q4 2024

North America: A notable price surge due to supply shortages and strong coatings demand offset by weather-related production disruptions.
APAC: Bullish trends underpinned by firm demand, balanced by global supply chain volatility.
Europe: Stable pricing with minor fluctuations amid weak construction demand.

Q1 2025

North America: Price strengthening early in the quarter from production constraints.
APAC: Divergent regional patterns-with China tight and India subdued.
Europe: Mixed movements with initial softness then late-quarter recovery.

Q2 2025

North America: Weaker pricing early and stabilization by June.
APAC: Mixed, with firming into June due to logistical tightness.
Europe: Predominantly bearish, pressured by weak downstream behavior.

Q3 2025

North America: Range-bound with soft demand.
APAC: Moderate price increases under balanced supply.
Europe: Continued soft consumption and range-bound pricing.
Procurement Outlook

Procurement behavior in the DAA market continues to reflect cautious buyer sentiment in regions with subdued industrial activity. In North America and Europe, buyers are focused on short-term contracts and spot coverage to manage inventory levels amid uncertain downstream demand. In APAC, procurement shows select opportunistic buying where logistical tightness threatens near-term availability.

Forward buying is likely to remain disciplined, with buyers balancing inventory costs against the risk of localized tightness-especially in export hubs or in markets where maintenance and seasonal factors could influence supply.

Price forecasts suggest sideways to mildly oscillating movement through 2025-end, with limited volatility tied primarily to feedstock costs and downstream demand signals.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Why have DAA prices been range-bound in many regions recently?
Range-bound price behavior stems from balanced supply and adequate inventories, coupled with stable feedstock (acetone) costs. Where downstream demand remains soft, these factors neutralize major price swings.

What has influenced upward price movements in Asia?
Tighter domestic supply, intermittent plant maintenance, and port congestion have contributed to firm price movements in parts of APAC-particularly China-during periods of elevated supply tightness.

Why is downstream demand important for DAA?
DAA is widely used in coatings, adhesives, and industrial applications. Demand from these sectors, especially construction, significantly influences procurement patterns and price movements.

How have logistics impacted DAA pricing?
Logistics bottlenecks, especially port congestion in China and some European gateways, have temporarily constrained spot supplies, supporting localized price strength. Conversely, smooth logistics in North America helped stabilize prices.

What should buyers expect in the near-term?
Buyers should anticipate sideways to modest price oscillations through year-end, with limited volatility unless significant disruptions occur in feedstock supply, downstream demand, or logistics channels.

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How ChemAnalyst Supports Buyers

In an evolving DAA market landscape, ChemAnalyst empowers procurement teams and market participants with real-time price data, actionable insights, and forward forecasts. Its comprehensive coverage includes:

Weekly Price Updates: Up-to-date benchmark pricing across major regions.
Market News and Analysis: Contextual explanations behind price movements.
Forecasting: Near-term price forecasts enabling strategic procurement timing.
Supply Chain Alerts: Tracking plant shutdowns, logistics disruptions, and inventory risks.
Expert Commentary: Insights from chemical engineers and economists with on-the-ground reporting across major trade hubs.

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This release was published on openPR.