Track Ammonium Sulphate Price Index Historical and Forecast

Ammonium Sulphate Price Trend and Forecast

Executive Summary

Ammonium Sulphate - a key nitrogenous fertilizer and industrial chemical - demonstrated significant price volatility over the last several quarters, shaped by shifting supply-demand fundamentals, seasonal agricultural cycles, logistics dynamics, feedstock cost pressures, and global trade patterns. From Q4 2024 through Q3 2025, prices across major regions - North America, Asia-Pacific (APAC), and Europe - reflected distinct regional forces, with some markets trending downward due to oversupply and weak agricultural restocking, and others edging higher amid logistical bottlenecks or seasonal buying. Production cost trends, procurement strategies, and inventory positions played critical roles in price behavior. Looking ahead, price forecasts remain range-bound to mildly bearish in some regions, while logistical risks and seasonal demand improvements may support near-term upside in others. ChemAnalyst's real-time pricing intelligence and proprietary market insights remain indispensable for procurement teams navigating these complex dynamics.

◼ Get Instant Access to Live Ammonium Sulphate Prices Today: https://www.chemanalyst.com/ChemAnalyst/PricingForm?Product=Ammonium%20sulphate

Introduction

Ammonium Sulphate ((NH4)2SO4) serves dual roles in agriculture as a nitrogen fertilizer and in industry for applications such as flame retardants, textile finishing, and food additives. As a bulk commodity, its pricing is influenced by upstream cost inputs - notably ammonia and sulphur feedstocks - alongside downstream demand from seasonal fertilizer purchases and industrial contracts. Tracking price movements requires understanding both macro supply-chain conditions and region-specific market drivers.

This article synthesizes quarterly price developments from late 2024 through the third quarter of 2025, explains the drivers of price changes regionally, and provides forward-looking insights into the Ammonium Sulphate market landscape.

Global Price Overview: Q4 2024 to Q3 2025

Across the major regional markets, the price trajectory of Ammonium Sulphate varied markedly:

North America witnessed a bearish turn by Q3 2025, driven by oversupply and weak agricultural demand, which pressured its price index significantly downward.
APAC (particularly South Korea) saw moderate price increases followed by flattening, reflecting feedstock cost influences and export flow adjustments.
Europe experienced modest price gains into Q3 2025, supported by logistical constraints, autumn buying patterns, and tighter inventories.
The overall global pattern through this period reflects a mix of oversupply pressures, cost-driven volatility, and seasonal demand cycles. Below, this period is reviewed region by region with detail on price movements, causes, and implications.

◼ Monitor Real-Time Ammonium Sulphate Price Swings and Stay Ahead of Competitors: https://www.chemanalyst.com/Pricing-data/ammonium-sulphate-64

North America: Price Downtrend Amid Oversupply and Seasonal Lull

Q4 2024 - Strong Volatility with Softening Fundamentals

In late 2024, Ammonium Sulphate prices in North America saw sharp intra-quarter motion. Early declines were driven by steady domestic production outpacing demand and weak farm uptake late in the crop season. Farmers delayed purchases anticipating further price deterioration, adding to bearish sentiment. While higher ammonia costs later in Q4 supported a modest rebound, oversupply and logistical uncertainties dominated, producing market volatility.

Q1 to Q2 2025 - Stability Then Softness

In Q1 2025, prices initially showed upward pressure due to tight supplies caused by winter weather disruptions and production cutbacks. However, irregular planting activity later in the quarter dampened procurement enthusiasm. By Q2 2025 the price index exhibited a bearish trend, with minimal response to upstream ammonia price changes due to balanced inventories and diversified sourcing.

Procurement behavior during this period was cautious, with buyers reluctant to establish forward contracts amid tepid demand signals.

Q3 2025 - Declining Price Index (-18.91% Quarter-Over-Quarter)

By the quarter ending September 2025, North American prices fell sharply. The Ammonium Sulphate Price Index dropped nearly 19%, anchored by:

Ample domestic output and import arrivals, creating excess availability.
A seasonal post-spring planting lull in agricultural purchases.
Functional logistics and distribution channels that prevented local tightness.
Soft export demand, limiting international price support.
The average FOB-Illinois price stabilized around USD 397.33/MT, but sellers faced diminished pricing power amid inventory accumulation. Forecasts into Q4 2025 and beyond point to a sideways to mild downward trend, barring supply shocks or weather-related demand spikes.

APAC: Moderated Increases and Range-Bound Outlook

Q4 2024 - Strong Price Upswing

APAC markets - led by China and South Korea - experienced substantial price increases in Q4 2024. Prices climbed due to strong international demand (notably from India), logistical bottlenecks in major Chinese ports, and severe weather disrupting production and shipment cycles. Shipping delays and freight cost inflation exacerbated supply tightness, driving prices upward.

Q1 to Q2 2025 - Adjustment and Stabilization

Early 2025 saw mixing price action. In China, resumed production after maintenance improved availability, and inventories built up, leading to initial price softening followed by stabilization as restocking resumed ahead of spring planting. South Korea's spot price hovered in the USD 190-194/MT range, with demand steady but muted.

During this period, freight cost movements and port logistics continued to influence offers, but prices largely remained range-bound due to balanced supply and demand.

Q3 2025 - Moderate Quarter-Over-Quarter Increase (South Korea +5.59%)

For the quarter ending September 2025, South Korea's price index rose modestly, underpinned by:

Redirection of export flows affecting regional availability.
Elevated production costs from freight surcharges and ammonia feedstock movements.
Port logistics and cost shifts influencing spot offers.
However, eased export demand and stable regional inventories limited upside, producing a constraint on price volatility. The average price hovered around USD 182.67/MT (Ex-Daejeon).

Going forward, the price forecast anticipates a range-bound market with potential near-term moves tied to shipping cost fluctuations and export inquiry recovery.

Europe: Seasonal Tightness and Logistical Challenges

Q4 2024 - Weakness With Pockets of Strength

Europe's Ammonium Sulphate prices generally declined in Q4 2024 against oversupply and weak fertilizer demand. However, certain markets - notably the UK - saw brief surges due to supply chain delays, highlighting uneven conditions across Europe.

Q1 to Q2 2025 - Mixed to Bearish Momentum

In early 2025, European prices initially declined due to weak demand and logistical backlogs at major ports, contributing to oversupply. By mid-year, however, domestic demand remained subdued, reflecting broader economic caution across the region.

Q3 2025 - Modest Price Appreciation (+0.5% in Germany)

The quarter ending September 2025 exhibited firmness in European prices, particularly in Germany where the Ammonium Sulphate Price Index ticked up 0.5%. Key supporting factors included:

Seasonal autumn buying as farmers restocked ahead of application windows.
Constrained inland logistics due to low river water levels and port congestion.
Tighter inventories at key terminals and volatile feedstock costs.
Elevated production cost structure from higher energy and intermittent sulphur supply.
The average German price stood near USD 269.33/MT (FOB-Hamburg).

Forward forecasts point to continued upside pressure into Q4 2025, driven by restocking demand, logistical risks, and cost-influencing feedstock supply lines.

Production and Cost Structure Insights

A critical driver of Ammonium Sulphate pricing is the cost base of production inputs - primarily ammonia and sulphur feedstocks - as well as energy and freight costs.

Ammonia prices, often correlated to natural gas costs, influence production economics. Periods of high ammonia reduce producer margins and can translate into higher ask prices - particularly in cost-pass-through markets.
Freight surcharges and port efficiency impact landed costs in import-dependent regions. APAC markets showed sensitivity to ocean freight shifts, while European inland logistical costs climbed amid water-level constraints.
Energy costs contribute to manufacturing expense structure, particularly in Europe where electricity and natural gas costs are elevated compared to global peers.
Inventory positions and import arrivals shape short-term pricing behavior. Oversupply situations weaken spot pricing, whereas tightened stocks can produce short rallies.
Understanding these cost structures enables buyers to anticipate pricing cycles and allocate procurement timing strategically.

◼ Track Daily Ammonium Sulphate Price Updates and Strengthen Your Procurement Decisions: https://www.chemanalyst.com/ChemAnalyst/PricingForm?Product=Ammonium%20sulphate

Procurement Behavior and Supply Conditions

Throughout 2025, buyer strategies reflected market conditions:

North America: Procurement was cautious, with buyers delaying purchases amid oversupply and soft seasonal demand. Forward contracting remained limited as spot offers softened.
APAC: Buyers balanced inventory positions against freight cost movements, engaging in measured purchases as ports normalized operations and export flows adjusted.
Europe: Seasonal restocking heightened purchasing activity, particularly into Q3. Buyers responded to logistical uncertainty and tighter stocks by securing forward coverage ahead of application windows.
Across regions, procurement teams showed heightened sensitivity to weather patterns, logistics cycles, and export inquiry trends - reinforcing the need for real-time intelligence.

◼ Unlock Live Pricing Dashboards for Accurate and Timely Insights: https://www.chemanalyst.com/Pricing-data/ammonium-sulphate-64

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Why did Ammonium Sulphate prices fall sharply in North America in Q3 2025?

Prices declined due to oversupply from domestic production and imports, subdued agricultural purchasing after peak planting, functioning logistics that prevented tightness, and muted export interest.

What influenced APAC price movement in the same quarter?

APAC pricing was influenced by port logistics and freight cost shifts, balanced inventory positions, and easing export demand - resulting in moderate increases but largely tempered volatility.

What drove price gains in Europe?

Seasonal restocking, transportation constraints (river and port bottlenecks), and rising production cost pressures underpinned price gains.

How do ammonia and freight costs affect prices?

Ammonia pricing drives the cost of production directly. Freight costs influence landed prices in import-sensitive markets, especially in APAC, while logistical efficiencies or delays can amplify price swings.

What is the near-term price outlook?

Forward forecasts suggest range-bound to mildly downward pressure in oversupplied regions, and upside risk where logistical or seasonal drivers strengthen demand.

How ChemAnalyst Supports Buyers

In a volatile commodity environment, real-time data, accurate forecasts, and actionable market insights are essential for effective procurement and supply-chain optimization. ChemAnalyst supports buyers with:

Real-Time Price Reporting and Weekly Updates
ChemAnalyst delivers timely spot and contract pricing for Ammonium Sulphate and related feedstocks across regions, enabling buyers to benchmark costs and identify price inflection points.

Market News and Trend Analysis
Weekly and monthly market reports unpack price drivers, including feedstock cost movements, logistics conditions, trade flows, and demand signals - converting data into decision-ready intelligence.

Forecasting and Procurement Timing
Proprietary forecasting models project near-term pricing ranges and risk scenarios, helping procurement teams time purchases and manage inventory costs effectively.

Supply-Chain Risk Monitoring
ChemAnalyst tracks plant shutdowns, port congestion, freight cost shifts, and weather impacts, empowering supply-chain professionals to anticipate disruption and mitigate risk.

Expert Analyst Support
Backed by analysts with engineering, economics, and trading expertise, ChemAnalyst offers interpretive context beyond raw numbers - framing the why behind price movements.

◼ Stay Updated Each Day with Verified Ammonium Sulphate Price Movements: https://www.chemanalyst.com/ChemAnalyst/PricingForm?Product=Ammonium%20sulphate

Conclusion

The Ammonium Sulphate market from late 2024 through Q3 2025 underscores the complex interplay between supply conditions, demand cycles, cost inputs, and logistics. Regional price behaviors diverged due to localized demand patterns, inventory positions, and trade dynamics - yet a common theme emerged: effective, real-time intelligence is crucial for informed procurement decisions.

Contact Us:

UNITED STATES

Call +1 3322586602

420 Lexington Avenue, Suite 300, New York, NY,

United States, 10170

Germany

Call +49-221-6505-8833

S-01, 2.floor, Subbelrather Straße,

15a Cologne, 50823, Germany

Email: sales@chemanalyst.com

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/chemanalyst/

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ChemAnalysts/

Twitter: https://x.com/chemanalysts

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@chemanalyst

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chemanalyst_

Website: https://www.chemanalyst.com/

About Us:

Welcome to ChemAnalyst, a next-generation platform for chemical and petrochemical intelligence where innovation meets practical insight. Recognized as "Product Innovator of the Year 2023" and ranked among the "Top 100 Digital Procurement Solutions Companies," we lead the digital transformation of the global chemical sector. Our online platform helps companies handle price volatility with structured analysis, real-time pricing, and reliable news and deal updates from across the world. Tracking over 500 chemical prices in more than 40 countries becomes simple and efficient with us.

This release was published on openPR.