Track Allyl Chloride Price Trend Historical and Forecast

Executive Summary

Allyl Chloride, a key intermediate chemical used across epoxy resins, adhesives, pharmaceuticals, and agrochemicals, has displayed varying price dynamics over the past year across North America, APAC, and Europe. The market has been influenced by balanced supply-demand fundamentals, feedstock propylene cost fluctuations, logistical constraints, seasonal restocking, and regional maintenance schedules.

In North America, prices remained broadly stable through Q3 2025, supported by consistent operating rates among Gulf Coast producers and balanced market fundamentals. A minor decline in September was driven by softened demand from epoxy resin and pharmaceutical sectors. APAC markets, particularly India, witnessed a significant Q3 2025 uptick in Allyl Chloride prices due to logistics tightness, propylene inflation, and high domestic consumption. Europe experienced modest price increases, underpinned by supply rationalization, stable feedstock availability, and renewed downstream demand from resins and specialty chemicals.

Looking ahead, the global Allyl Chloride market shows cautious optimism, with moderate price volatility expected in APAC, flat-to-slightly-increasing trends in Europe, and steady pricing in North America, contingent on feedstock costs, inventory levels, and demand from key end-use sectors.

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Introduction

Allyl Chloride (C3H5Cl) is a critical chemical intermediate widely used in the production of epoxy resins, pharmaceuticals, agrochemicals, adhesives, and coatings. Its market dynamics are highly sensitive to feedstock propylene costs, energy pricing, regional logistics, and downstream demand fluctuations. Over the past year, Allyl Chloride pricing trends have reflected a balance of stable production, cost absorption by producers, and regional demand variations.

This report provides a comprehensive overview of global Allyl Chloride pricing trends and forecasts, covering Q4 2024 through Q3 2025. Detailed regional analyses for North America, APAC, and Europe are provided, along with quarterly movements, production and cost trends, procurement behavior, supply conditions, logistics impacts, and trade-flow influences. The report also includes a historical quarterly review, insights into cost structures, and procurement outlooks to support strategic decision-making.

Global Price Overview

From Q4 2024 to Q3 2025, the Allyl Chloride market experienced moderate fluctuations across key regions. Key global drivers included:

Feedstock Propylene Costs: Periodic surges in propylene pricing exerted upward pressure on production costs, particularly in APAC markets.
Energy and Logistics Costs: Rising energy and freight charges affected production and distribution expenses, especially in India and China.
Inventory Levels and Restocking: High inventories in North America in Q3 2025 led to minor price corrections, while precautionary buying in APAC elevated spot prices.
Regional Maintenance and Production Adjustments: Scheduled plant maintenance in Japan and Europe contributed to supply tightness, supporting domestic pricing.
Downstream Demand Trends: Epoxy resin, adhesives, pharmaceuticals, and agrochemical demand significantly influenced regional price movements.
Overall, the global Allyl Chloride market exhibited stability in North America, moderate volatility in APAC, and modest growth in Europe, reflecting region-specific supply-demand balances.

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Regional Price Analysis

North America

Q3 2025 Overview

The Price Index for Allyl Chloride in North America remained broadly stable throughout Q3 2025. Balanced supply-demand fundamentals and consistent operating rates among Gulf Coast producers supported steady pricing. The production cost trend remained stable, with moderate increases in propylene feedstock prices absorbed by producers without major impact on final pricing.

September 2025 Price Change: Prices decreased slightly due to a softened demand outlook from epoxy resin and pharmaceutical sectors. Cautious procurement and high inventory levels applied minor downward pressure on spot prices.
Q4 2025 Demand Outlook: The outlook remains cautiously optimistic. While epoxy resin and adhesive consumption is expected to remain steady, growth in pharmaceutical intermediates and coatings could offer mild support to consumption levels.

Historical Quarterly Review

Q2 2025: Prices remained stable, with mild upward pressure in July due to feedstock inflation and tight container availability affecting freight costs. Steady domestic production and balanced supply supported this stability.
Q1 2025: Prices displayed a moderately firm trend, supported by stable production rates and steady downstream demand. Weather-related logistical delays contributed to minor price fluctuations.
Q4 2024: Prices exhibited marginal growth driven by supply chain adjustments and epoxy resin demand. Seasonal slowdowns limited price gains despite upstream pressures.

Supply, Cost, and Procurement Insights

Producers maintained normal operating rates with limited outages, absorbing moderate feedstock cost increases.
Procurement remained cautious, with buyers leveraging stable supply conditions and sufficient inventory to optimize cost.
Logistics and freight challenges occasionally influenced spot prices but were not a primary driver of significant volatility.

APAC (Asia-Pacific)

Q3 2025 Overview

APAC markets, particularly India, experienced notable price increases during Q3 2025. The Price Index rose by 9.95% quarter-over-quarter, reaching an average of USD 1270.46/MT. Key drivers included logistics tightness, propylene inflation, and precautionary restocking.

September 2025 Price Change: Price increases were triggered by Japanese maintenance, precautionary restocking, and strong downstream offtake from resins, pharmaceuticals, and agrochemical sectors. Elevated feedstock and energy costs also supported domestic price rises.
Demand Outlook: Sustained strong offtake from resins, pharmaceuticals, and agrochemicals underpins a positive outlook. Export demand and production maintenance schedules may cause moderate price volatility.

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Historical Quarterly Review

Q2 2025: Prices rose moderately, particularly in India and China, driven by upstream propylene cost surges, logistical constraints, and robust restocking by intermediate goods manufacturers.
Q1 2025: Prices exhibited a marginal increase, supported by consistent supply, stable imports, and firm demand from epoxy resin sectors. March saw a slight reversal due to weak downstream demand and high inventories.
Q4 2024: Prices experienced marginal upward trends influenced by seasonal construction demand, festive demand in India, port strike threats, and preemptive stockpiling.
Supply, Cost, and Procurement Insights

Tight coastal inventories and import curbs amplified spot premiums.
Propylene and energy cost inflation impacted production margins, prompting forward purchasing strategies.
Precautionary restocking and robust downstream consumption accelerated inventory depletion, supporting price growth.
Logistics constraints, including port congestion and freight costs, materially affected spot pricing and trade flows.

Europe

Q3 2025 Overview

The Price Index for Allyl Chloride in Europe rose by approximately 1.2% during Q3 2025, reversing prior-quarter declines. Supply rationalization and improved downstream activity, particularly in resins and specialty chemicals, supported this modest increase.

September 2025 Price Change: Prices increased modestly due to tightening inventories, stable production costs, and renewed demand from epoxy resin producers. Buyers responded to reduced spot availability by securing procurement, pushing spot prices slightly higher.
Q4 2025 Demand Outlook: Growth in epoxy resin, pharmaceuticals, and adhesives is expected to sustain consumption. Seasonal restocking and infrastructure activity may further support demand, with a flat-to-slightly-increasing price trend anticipated, contingent on feedstock pricing and logistics.

Historical Quarterly Review

Q2 2025: Mild recovery observed, reversing prior declines. Supply rationalization, reduced imports from Asia, and strategic production adjustments supported pricing.
Q1 2025: Prices remained broadly stable with slight upward bias, influenced by consistent industrial activity and moderate demand from resin and pharmaceutical sectors.
Q4 2024: Moderate upward trend driven by supply-side constraints, technical issues at facilities, port congestion, and inflationary pressures in downstream epoxy resin markets. Construction sector demand remained weak, capping potential gains.

Supply, Cost, and Procurement Insights

European producers maintained output levels while strategically adjusting supply to support pricing.
Stable feedstock availability and manageable energy costs underpinned the production cost trend.
Inventory adjustments and procurement strategies by buyers were influenced by seasonal activity and spot availability.
Production and Cost Structure Insights

Globally, Allyl Chloride production is highly dependent on propylene feedstock. Cost dynamics are influenced by:

Feedstock Prices: Propylene price movements remain the primary driver of production costs. Moderate increases in North America were absorbed without significant price hikes, while in APAC, larger feedstock inflation directly impacted prices.
Energy Costs: Energy-intensive production processes mean electricity and natural gas price shifts materially affect margins.
Maintenance Schedules: Planned turnarounds in Japan and Europe temporarily reduce supply, creating short-term pricing pressures.
Logistics: Freight costs, container availability, and port congestion impact delivery costs and spot pricing, particularly in APAC.

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Procurement Outlook

North America: Cautious procurement continues due to stable supply and inventory levels. Buyers are expected to maintain steady purchasing strategies while monitoring feedstock trends.
APAC: Forward purchasing is likely, driven by high downstream demand and inventory constraints. Export opportunities and short-term supply tightness may encourage pre-emptive buying.
Europe: Procurement strategies will focus on securing spot volumes amid tighter inventories. Seasonal restocking in construction and industrial sectors may influence demand patterns.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q1: Why did Allyl Chloride prices decrease in North America in September 2025?
A: Prices decreased slightly due to softened demand from epoxy resin and pharmaceutical sectors, high inventory levels, and cautious procurement, despite steady production rates.

Q2: What drove the price rise in APAC markets during Q3 2025?
A: Price increases were driven by logistics tightness, propylene feedstock inflation, higher energy costs, strong downstream consumption, and precautionary restocking, particularly in India and Japan.

Q3: Why did European Allyl Chloride prices increase in September 2025?
A: Modest price increases resulted from tightening inventories, stable production costs, and renewed demand from epoxy resin and specialty chemical producers.

Q4: How do feedstock costs influence Allyl Chloride pricing?
A: Propylene price movements are the primary determinant of production costs. Sudden surges increase production expenses, which are often passed on to buyers depending on regional supply-demand conditions.

Q5: How do logistics affect market dynamics?
A: Freight costs, container availability, and port congestion can temporarily raise spot prices or restrict supply. In APAC, logistical bottlenecks were a significant driver of Q3 2025 price increases.

Q6: What is the expected price trend for Q4 2025?
A: North America is expected to remain stable, Europe may see flat-to-slightly-increasing prices, and APAC may experience moderate volatility influenced by exports, maintenance, and downstream demand.

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Conclusion

Allyl Chloride prices have experienced a combination of stability and moderate volatility across global markets from Q4 2024 through Q3 2025. Regional variations are largely shaped by feedstock costs, production adjustments, logistics, inventory levels, and downstream demand. With cautious optimism prevailing in North America and Europe and moderate volatility expected in APAC, buyers must strategically plan procurement while monitoring market fundamentals. Real-time data, forecasts, and supply-chain intelligence from providers like ChemAnalyst are critical for navigating these complexities effectively.

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