Track Polyacrylate Rubber (ACM) Price Trend Historical and Forecast

Polyacrylate Rubber (ACM) Price Trend and Forecast - Q3 2025

Executive Summary

The global Polyacrylate Rubber (ACM) market witnessed moderate price adjustments during the quarter ending September 2025, reflecting a combination of cautious procurement behavior, mixed feedstock cost trends, and uneven export demand across key regions. In North America, ACM prices declined slightly, driven by weak export inquiries and subdued domestic purchasing sentiment. APAC markets, particularly China, experienced a modest price drop amid rising inventories and muted overseas orders. Similarly, Europe saw a mild contraction in ACM prices, constrained by conservative buying patterns despite steady automotive consumption.

Feedstock costs, including ethyl acrylate and butyl acrylate, showed region-specific fluctuations, balancing overall production margins. Logistics normalization, inventory management, and producer discipline helped prevent steeper declines, while mild recovery is anticipated toward Q4 2025 if export demand strengthens and cost trends stabilize.

This report provides a comprehensive overview of ACM price movements, quarterly trends, regional dynamics, cost structures, procurement behavior, and forecasts for North America, APAC, and Europe. It also highlights historical price developments and explores insights into supply-chain strategies that can influence market activity.

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Introduction

Polyacrylate Rubber (ACM) is a specialty synthetic rubber widely utilized in automotive, industrial, and high-performance sealing applications. Known for its exceptional resistance to heat, oil, and oxidation, ACM is a critical component in hoses, gaskets, and vibration damping systems.

The pricing of ACM is influenced by raw material costs, primarily ethyl acrylate and butyl acrylate, alongside downstream demand in automotive and industrial sectors, global trade flows, and regional supply-demand balances. The current market environment is shaped by moderate automotive production trends, variable export demand, and evolving feedstock dynamics, making quarterly pricing trends an important indicator for buyers and producers alike.

Global Price Overview

For Q3 2025, the global ACM market displayed subdued pricing trends, with slight declines observed across North America, APAC, and Europe. Average spot prices remained restrained as buyers adopted cautious purchasing strategies in response to high inventories and mixed feedstock cost movements. Production margins remained relatively stable due to offsetting movements in ethyl and butyl acrylate costs, allowing producers to maintain disciplined pricing strategies.

Key global trends include:

Cautious export demand, particularly from India and Southeast Asia, affecting volumes in APAC and North America.

Stable domestic automotive demand, supporting baseline pricing in major markets.

Logistics normalization, limiting sharp price fluctuations despite soft external demand.

Producer discipline, avoiding aggressive discounts and maintaining margin protection.

Overall, ACM prices are expected to show modest recovery in Q4 2025 if feedstock costs stabilize and export inquiries increase.

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Regional Analysis

North America

Quarter Ending September 2025:

The ACM Price Index in the United States declined by 0.62% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting soft export demand and cautious domestic procurement.

Average prices were influenced by FOB and depot-level market conditions, supported by steady automotive demand.

Spot prices remained subdued as buyers delayed purchases amid higher inventories and mixed feedstock cost trends.

Production costs showed slight ethyl acrylate firming, offset by softer butyl acrylate costs, keeping overall margins stable.

Demand outlook remained moderate, driven primarily by automotive and specialty rubber applications, while export inquiries were sluggish.

Producers maintained disciplined offers, avoiding deep discounts, and inventory management helped stabilize the market.

Reasons for Price Changes:

Weak export demand limited external sales opportunities.

Cautious domestic purchasing contributed to subdued price movements.

Quarterly Review - Q2 2025:

Prices declined by ~1.6%, settling near USD 3,090/MT CFR Los Angeles before easing to USD 2,700/MT by late June.

Market pressures stemmed from ample inventories, weak automotive demand, and recent auto tariffs.

Falling freight rates from Asia reduced landed costs but intensified price pressure in an oversupplied market.

Quarterly Review - Q1 2025:

Mild downward trajectory observed, with a 3% drop in March due to reduced input costs and tepid automotive demand.

Additional tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada strained market confidence.

Production cost trends declined gradually, providing some margin relief.

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Procurement Outlook:

Buyers are expected to maintain cautious procurement strategies, aligning purchases with downstream automotive production trends.

Any recovery will depend on easing trade tensions and a rebound in automotive manufacturing.

Asia-Pacific (APAC)

Quarter Ending September 2025 - China:

The ACM Price Index fell by 0.458% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting muted export demand.

Average price for the quarter: USD 4,346.67/MT FOB Shanghai.

Spot prices were subdued as buyers delayed purchases amid rising inventories.

Production costs showed firming ethyl acrylate and softening butyl acrylate, balancing overall cost pressures.

Domestic automotive demand remained resilient, while export demand was cautious.

Logistics delays, seasonal holidays, and cautious procurement contributed to supply tightness, limiting aggressive price movements.

Reasons for Price Changes:

Muted export demand from buyers such as India reduced external orders.

Mixed feedstock movements partially offset costs.

Elevated inventories and competitive pricing strategies constrained upward movement.

Quarterly Review - Q2 2025:

Prices gradually fell to approximately USD 4,270/MT FOB Shanghai by late June.

Reduced downstream automotive demand, combined with soft export inquiries, pressured prices.

Production costs were mixed, with rising ethyl acrylate and falling butyl acrylate.

Margin pressure emerged due to excessive inventories and discounting, particularly in May and June.

Quarterly Review - Q1 2025:

Moderate fluctuations observed; January spot prices stable due to strong NEV demand.

February saw a 1.5% increase in ACM Price Index from higher input costs and improved production.

March experienced a 5.5% drop due to falling acrylic acid prices and slowing downstream demand.

Procurement Outlook:

Buyers may cautiously restock if NEV production and overseas orders recover.

Oversupply risks persist, and pricing is expected to show mild recovery in Q4 2025.

Europe

Quarter Ending September 2025 - Germany:

ACM Price Index fell by 0.34% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting cautious buying and mixed feedstock influences.

Average prices were supported by domestic automotive demand, while export orders remained soft.

Spot prices softened mid-quarter as distributors managed inventories and awaited improved pricing.

Production costs were stable; ethyl acrylate firmed slightly, while butyl acrylate eased.

Demand outlook remained steady in automotive and industrial segments, though overall procurement was cautious.

Suppliers managed production carefully, avoiding oversupply and stabilizing Price Index movements.

Reasons for Price Changes:

Muted export demand and conservative regional buying restrained price growth.

Despite steady automotive consumption, external orders were limited.

Quarterly Review - Q2 2025:

CFR Hamburg prices dropped from USD 2,420/MT in April to USD 2,250/MT by late June.

Declining automotive sales in Germany and France, combined with ample inventories, created bearish sentiment.

Freight rate reductions from Asia lowered landed costs but increased local oversupply.

Product=Polyacrylate%20Rubber%20%28ACM%29

Quarterly Review - Q1 2025:

Price Index declined due to persistent weakness in the automotive sector.

February vehicle sales fell by 6.4%, triggering minor price reductions.

Production costs remained flat due to consistent raw material supply.

Procurement Outlook:

Buyers are likely to maintain cautious procurement practices.

Any significant price recovery will depend on European automotive recovery or increased exports.

Production and Cost Structure Insights

ACM production costs are largely influenced by the price of key feedstocks: ethyl acrylate and butyl acrylate. In Q3 2025:

Ethyl acrylate showed slight firming across regions, marginally increasing production costs.

Butyl acrylate costs eased, balancing overall margins.

Producers maintained disciplined pricing, avoiding aggressive discounts to safeguard profitability despite oversupply in some markets.

Stable feedstock availability and careful production management helped prevent drastic market swings while supporting moderate pricing strategies.

Procurement Behavior and Supply Conditions

Buyers in North America, APAC, and Europe demonstrated cautious purchasing, delaying spot acquisitions amid inventory accumulation and cost uncertainty.

Export demand softness, particularly from India and Southeast Asia, influenced procurement timing and volume.

Logistics normalization in major trading ports prevented excessive volatility, while seasonal holidays in APAC caused temporary supply tightness.

Freight rate fluctuations had mixed effects, slightly reducing landed costs but amplifying local oversupply in some regions.

Trade-Flow Impacts

North America: Export demand remained weak; imports from Asia influenced price pressures, especially with declining freight rates.

APAC: Export reductions to India weighed on global volumes, constraining price recovery.

Europe: Import parity adjustments and freight constraints had minor effects on depot-level pricing.

Overall, international trade dynamics continue to play a crucial role in regional pricing behavior, particularly in balancing oversupply and supporting moderate margins.

Price Forecast - Q4 2025

North America: Mild recovery anticipated if export demand strengthens and automotive production stabilizes.

APAC: Moderate rebound expected with improved NEV and export activity; inventory management remains critical.

Europe: Limited near-term upside; price gains constrained by cautious buying and stable production levels.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q1: Why did Polyacrylate Rubber (ACM) prices decline in North America in September 2025?
A1: Weak export demand and cautious domestic purchasing kept market sentiment subdued, while higher inventories prevented aggressive price adjustments.

Q2: What drove price changes in APAC during Q3 2025?
A2: Muted export demand from key buyers, mixed feedstock movements, and elevated inventories contributed to subdued pricing, despite resilient domestic automotive demand.

Q3: How did European ACM prices behave in Q3 2025?
A3: Prices fell slightly due to conservative buying and limited export inquiries, even though domestic automotive consumption remained steady.

Q4: What is the expected price trend for Q4 2025?
A4: Mild recovery is expected across regions if export demand improves and feedstock costs stabilize, though Europe may see limited upside due to cautious procurement.

Q5: How do feedstock costs affect ACM pricing?
A5: Ethyl acrylate firming slightly increases production costs, while softer butyl acrylate helps offset these increases, balancing overall margins for producers.

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By leveraging ChemAnalyst's expertise, buyers can make informed decisions, optimize purchasing, and navigate complex market dynamics with confidence.

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