Track Potassium Iodide Price Index Historical and Forecast

Potassium Iodide Price Trend and Forecast: Global Market Analysis Q4 2024 - Q3 2025

Executive Summary

The global Potassium Iodide (KI) market has witnessed dynamic price fluctuations over the past year, shaped by evolving supply-demand dynamics, regional procurement patterns, logistical challenges, and shifting production costs. For the quarter ending September 2025, global KI prices showed moderate gains across North America, APAC, Europe, and MEA, driven by restocking activities, tight inventories, and pharmaceutical sector demand.

In North America, the U.S. market saw a quarter-over-quarter price index increase of 2.80%, reflecting tightened supply chains and firm import offers from Asia. Similarly, China reported a 2.8% increase in the Potassium Iodide Price Index, supported by constrained inventories and production adjustments. In Europe, Germany recorded a 3.70% quarter-over-quarter rise, reflecting inventory drawdowns and moderated import dynamics. The UAE, representing the MEA region, also experienced a 3.61% increase amid restocking and tighter importer stocks.

The market remains supported by steady demand from pharmaceutical, API, and personal care industries, though regional nuances, logistics costs, and global trade flows continue to influence pricing volatility. This report provides a detailed regional and global analysis, historical quarterly trends, production and cost structure insights, and forecasts for buyers and market stakeholders.

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Introduction

Potassium Iodide (KI) is a key chemical compound with extensive applications across pharmaceuticals, nutraceuticals, radioprotection, and personal care industries. Its market dynamics are influenced by feedstock availability, regional production capacities, export-import flows, and logistical considerations. The global KI market has exhibited cyclical trends, with periods of price surges driven by supply tightness and demand upticks, followed by corrections due to oversupply or weaker procurement activity.

This article provides a detailed analysis of KI price trends from Q4 2024 through Q3 2025, covering global and regional price movements, reasons behind price changes, cost trends, procurement behavior, and supply conditions. It also highlights historical quarterly performance, production insights, and forecasts to guide procurement strategies.

Global Price Overview

Across the past year, Potassium Iodide prices have shown a combination of upward and downward movements influenced by multiple factors:

Supply Dynamics: Tighter inventories in Asia, planned production slowdowns, and maintenance schedules impacted global availability.
Demand Drivers: Strong pharmaceutical and API demand, particularly in North America and Europe, supported price momentum.
Cost Trends: Rising feedstock costs, freight, and logistics expenses contributed to production cost increases.
Trade Flows: Shifts in export competitiveness, currency fluctuations, and regional import patterns affected landed prices.
Global average prices for Q3 2025 were reported at USD 64,077/MT in the U.S., USD 63,933/MT in China, and USD 67,499/MT in Germany, reflecting moderate quarterly gains amid restocking and market normalization.

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Regional Analysis

North America

Q3 2025 Overview

Price Index: +2.80% quarter-over-quarter in the U.S.
Average Price: USD 64,077/MT
Spot Market: Firmed due to tightened Asian availability and stronger landed import offers
Demand Outlook: Constructive from pharmaceutical, API, and personal care sectors

Key Drivers of Price Changes:

Reduced Asian export offers earlier in the quarter increased urgency among distributors.
Higher import costs, freight dynamics, and currency shifts supported elevated seller offers.
Inventory draws from restocking and stronger pharmaceutical demand sustained upward momentum.
Production & Cost Trends: Rising feedstock and freight expenses increased production costs, compressing supplier margins.

Procurement Behavior: Buyers remained active in restocking, though cautious due to previous inventory buildup.

Logistics & Trade-Flow Impacts: Export demand and resilient logistics constrained offers, tightening short-term availability and enforcing commercial discipline.

Historical Quarterly Review

Q2 2025: Prices showed a continued downward trend due to high inventories and discounted Asian imports, particularly from China.
Q1 2025: Early 2025 exhibited gains amid tight supply and rising freight costs, followed by a modest March correction.
Q4 2024: Volatile pricing driven by seasonal demand, supply chain disruptions, and import cost fluctuations.
Outlook: Moderate gains expected as inventories normalize and restocking continues.

Asia Pacific (APAC)

Q3 2025 Overview

Price Index: +2.8% quarter-over-quarter in China
Average Price: USD 63,933/MT
Spot Market: Volatile amid feedstock swings and declining production costs
Demand Outlook: Strong pharmaceutical offtake partially offsetting weaker general export orders

Key Drivers of Price Changes:

Elevated inventories earlier pressured exporters, softening global quotations.
Rising feedstock costs and production adjustments squeezed margins, prompting price revisions.
Logistics changes and freight rate shifts moderated overseas buying.
Production & Cost Trends: Declining production costs were offset by feedstock volatility and temporary output reductions due to planned maintenance.

Procurement Behavior: Active pharmaceutical procurement sustained demand; export orders remained cautious.

Logistics & Trade-Flow Impacts: Easing freight rates and improving export demand tightened physical availability, supporting price resilience.

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Historical Quarterly Review

Q2 2025: Prices fell due to weak overseas demand, high supplier-side inventories, and reduced urgency for restocking.
Q1 2025: Early gains driven by proactive destocking and strong export procurement, followed by moderation in March.
Q4 2024: Surges in October due to typhoon disruptions and increased freight costs, with volatility persisting through December.
Outlook: Modest upside risk from restocking and firmer overseas inquiries.

Europe

Q3 2025 Overview

Price Index: +3.70% quarter-over-quarter in Germany
Average Price: USD 67,499/MT
Spot Market: Softened as Asian exporters lowered offers and distributors focused on inventory clearance
Demand Outlook: Gradual restocking from pharmaceutical sectors, offset by cautious buying

Key Drivers of Price Changes:

Ample inventories from imports and domestic stocks reduced urgency for purchases.
Lower Asian export offers and favorable Euro exchange rates decreased import costs.
Rising freight rates and cautious downstream demand limited restocking.
Production & Cost Trends: Subdued feedstock import costs were offset by higher freight rates, moderating supplier margins.

Procurement Behavior: Buyers exercised caution, preferring small-volume short-term procurement.

Logistics & Trade-Flow Impacts: Balanced imports and steady domestic shipments reduced short-term volatility.

Historical Quarterly Review

Q2 2025: Prices declined due to excess supply, lower offshore offers, and soft downstream demand.
Q1 2025: Fluctuated with early-year gains followed by softening, impacted by inventory adjustments and currency fluctuations.
Q4 2024: Initially surged due to supply constraints and demand from certain sectors; softened later due to oversupply and weak procurement.
Outlook: Modest upside anticipated as inventory drawdowns combine with improving downstream orders.

MEA (Middle East & Africa)

Q3 2025 Overview: UAE Price Index rose by 3.61% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting restocking and tight importer stocks.
Average Price: USD 67,408/MT
Demand Outlook: Pharmaceutical demand recovery supports steady offtake.
Logistics & Trade-Flows: Export variability and supplier destocking moderated pricing across regional wholesale networks.
Key Drivers: Elevated importer restocking, higher export offers, and freight normalization increased landed costs, prompting upward pressure.

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Production and Cost Structure Insights

Potassium Iodide production costs are primarily influenced by:

Feedstock Prices: Variability in raw materials such as Iodine and Caustic Potash directly impacts production expenses.
Freight and Logistics: Rising shipping rates elevate landed costs and compress margins.
Operational Efficiency: Planned maintenance and production slowdowns can temporarily tighten supply, supporting price gains.
Currency Fluctuations: Exchange rate shifts between USD, Euro, and regional currencies affect import costs.
Global suppliers are balancing production schedules with market demand, aiming to optimize output without overstocking while managing margin pressures.

Procurement Outlook

Buyers are advised to monitor inventory levels and import offers, particularly from Asia.
Strategic restocking is recommended amid moderate price gains, with careful consideration of freight and landed cost trends.
Pharmaceutical, nutraceutical, and radioprotection sectors continue to drive demand, underscoring the importance of timely procurement.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q1: Why did Potassium Iodide prices rise in North America in September 2025?
A1: Tightened Asian export availability, higher import costs, and inventory draws from restocking combined with pharmaceutical demand supported upward pricing.

Q2: What caused price volatility in APAC during Q3 2025?
A2: Elevated inventories, feedstock cost fluctuations, production adjustments, and shifting freight rates influenced pricing in China and broader APAC markets.

Q3: Why did Germany experience moderated price increases despite rising Q3 2025 indices?
A3: Ample inventories, cautious downstream demand, and balanced imports limited short-term price spikes despite upward trends in the Price Index.

Q4: What is the role of logistics in Potassium Iodide pricing?
A4: Freight rates, shipping delays, port congestion, and currency fluctuations significantly affect landed costs, influencing both supplier margins and buyer offers globally.

Q5: What is the forecast for Potassium Iodide in the near term?
A5: Moderate gains are expected as restocking continues, inventories normalize, and pharmaceutical demand remains steady. Prices may remain firm in regions with constrained supply or strong demand.

How ChemAnalyst Supports Buyers

ChemAnalyst provides unparalleled insights into the Potassium Iodide market, helping buyers make informed decisions:

Real-Time Data: Weekly price updates, market news, and trend tracking across 450+ commodities.
Price Forecasts: Anticipate market movements to optimize procurement strategies and maximize cost savings.
Supply-Chain Intelligence: Track plant shutdowns, logistic disruptions, and export-import dynamics to proactively manage supply risks.
Expert Analysis: Insights from chemical engineers and market analysts with global coverage in major trading hubs like Houston, Shanghai, Busan, Rotterdam, Jebel Ali, and Hamburg.
By combining real-time data with actionable analysis, ChemAnalyst empowers procurement teams to navigate volatility, optimize purchasing, and maintain competitiveness in the global Potassium Iodide market.

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This release was published on openPR.