Press release
APEJ Automotive Aftermarket Market Outlook 2025-2035: Key Developments and Future Scope
The Asia Pacific excluding Japan (APEJ) automotive aftermarket is entering a decade of sustained acceleration, projected to grow from USD 205.7 billion in 2025 to USD 344.7 billion by 2035, expanding at a 5.3% CAGR. Rapid urbanization, expanding vehicle ownership, and the aging vehicle parc across emerging economies are fueling demand for repair, maintenance, replacement parts, diagnostic tools, and value-driven service formats.Countries including India, Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand, and other fast-growing ASEAN markets continue to witness a surge in personal mobility and commercial fleet deployments. As ride-hailing, delivery networks, and logistics fleets expand, the emphasis on maximizing vehicle uptime has never been stronger-driving a significant rise in aftermarket servicing frequency. The strong shift toward preventive maintenance and affordable service alternatives outside OEM dealerships further reinforces the sector's long-term attractiveness.
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Market Evolution Accelerated by Digital Platforms and Service Innovation
The APEJ aftermarket is undergoing structural modernization supported by multi-brand service networks, digital aggregators, and e-commerce ecosystems. Leading players such as Bosch, Denso, and TVS Automotive Solutions are standardizing distribution channels, deploying predictive diagnostics, and forging partnerships with independent garages to enhance service accessibility and quality across both metropolitan and rural regions.
E-retailers and direct-to-garage models are broadening access to high-quality components, enabling customers in remote markets to obtain genuine parts at competitive prices. This formalization is improving transparency, reliability, and customer trust while accelerating the transition from fragmented local workshops to organized market participants.
Regulatory reforms-spanning emission compliance, scrappage norms, and mandatory vehicle inspections-are also strengthening demand for certified aftermarket components including sensors, exhaust systems, and emission-control units. As the region moves toward sustainable and technologically advanced mobility, the aftermarket is emerging as a strategic enabler of long-term vehicle efficiency and lifecycle management.
Semi-Annual Growth Outlook Demonstrates Steady Demand Momentum
The aftermarket shows consistent half-year progression:
• H1 2024: 5.1% CAGR
• H2 2024: 5.3% CAGR
• H1 2025: 5.2% CAGR
• H2 2025: 5.4% CAGR
A uniform 10 BPS increase from H1 to H2 underscores steady growth cycles driven by seasonal maintenance peaks, expanding vehicle activity, and rising component replacement intervals.
Parts Segment to Lead Growth at 6.2% CAGR
Among category segments, parts will remain the most lucrative, projected to grow at 6.2% CAGR between 2025 and 2035. The expansion of independent service outlets, rising vehicle age, and higher replacement frequency for wear-and-tear components are stimulating demand for:
• Tires
• Filters
• Lubricants
• Starters & alternators
• Lighting and ignition systems
• Brake pads and suspension components
Accessories continue to maintain steady momentum as consumers embrace personalization and interior comfort upgrades. The services segment is witnessing rising adoption as vehicle owners increasingly shift to cost-effective independent workshops for routine maintenance and transmission servicing.
Passenger Cars to Drive Aftermarket Acceleration
Passenger cars are expected to expand at 5.7% CAGR, supported by increasing ownership rates, improving infrastructure, and growing consumer emphasis on regular service intervals. Compact and mid-sized vehicles, in particular, are generating high replacement demand for tires, filters, spark plugs, and convenience accessories.
Commercial vehicles remain essential contributors due to their intensive daily use-driving repeat demand for batteries, lubricants, and heavy-duty wear components across logistics, e-commerce, and public transport applications.
Key Market Trends: EV Expansion, Diagnostics, and Technology Disruption
The aftermarket evolution is shaped by five major trends:
1. Rising Vehicle Ownership: Rapid growth in Asia-Pacific car sales is expanding service volumes, especially for oil changes, brake repairs, and tire replacements.
2. Focus on Vehicle Longevity: A rising aging-vehicle base is accelerating demand for durable replacement parts and high-performance components.
3. Electric Vehicle Surge: EV-specific components-battery servicing, electric motors, thermal systems, and charging infrastructure-represent major new revenue pools.
4. Advanced Diagnostics Adoption: Workshops are adopting IoT-assisted diagnostics and advanced scanners, improving accuracy and reducing service turnover time.
5. Technological Complexity Challenges: The integration of ADAS, hybrid systems, and advanced electronics is increasing the need for skilled technicians and modern equipment.
2020-2024 vs. 2025-2035: Market Shift Toward Electrification and Digitization
Between 2020 and 2024, the aftermarket grew at 4.5% CAGR, rising from USD 162.5 billion in 2020 to USD 195.3 billion in 2024. Growth was primarily driven by rising vehicle sales in India and China, expansion of independent garages, and an increasing appetite for affordable replacement components.
The 2025-2035 period introduces new catalysts-EV adoption, telematics, connected diagnostics, sustainability regulations, and lightweight component technologies-collectively pushing the market toward high-value, technology-centric aftermarket solutions.
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Country-Level Outlook: Indonesia, Australia-New Zealand Lead Growth
Indonesia is expected to lead the region with a 7.0% CAGR, followed by Australia & New Zealand at 6.6%.
Other key markets:
• India: 4.2% CAGR
• South Korea: 3.8% CAGR
• China: 3.5% CAGR (USD 120.7 billion by 2035)
China's expanding repair network, India's fleet surge and logistics sector growth, and South Korea's technologically advanced vehicle market collectively reinforce APEJ's aftermarket expansion.
Competitive Landscape
Tier-1 players-Firestone, Pep Boys, Autoliv, Midas, and others-account for 20-30% of the market, each generating over USD 100 million in aftermarket revenue.
Tier-2 and local players-including Advance Auto Parts, NAPA Auto Parts, and regional distributors-hold 70-80% market share, driven by widespread accessibility and strong regional presence.
Leading suppliers such as Bosch, Denso, Continental, ZF, Mahle, Bridgestone, Hella, and Aisin Seiki continue investing in AI-driven diagnostics, EV components, and lightweight material technologies to strengthen their competitive positions.
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