Zero-Emission Aircraft Market Expected to Reach USD 10.25 Billion by 2030 - Mordor Intelligence

Introduction

The zero-emission aircraft market size is estimated at USD 7.86 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 10.25 billion in 2030, registering a 5.45% CAGR over the forecast period. This growth reflects increasing interest from commercial, general aviation and military segments to adopt aircraft technologies that emit zero direct carbon dioxide during operation. With airlines, airframers and governments all aligned on reducing aviation's environmental footprint, the zero-emission aircraft market size is set to increase as new propulsion systems, battery and hydrogen technologies gain certification and deployment.

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Key Market Trends

Hybrid Electric Propulsion Leads the Transition: Hybrid electric propulsion continues to dominate the zero-emission aircraft market, holding the largest segment share. While hybrid systems remain the current standard, hydrogen-based propulsion is emerging rapidly as manufacturers seek to expand beyond battery-only, short-range aircraft into more capable and longer-range platforms.

Short-Range Aircraft as the Primary Deployment Base: Short-range aircraft represent the majority share of the market and serve as the initial testing and deployment ground for zero-emission technologies. Their limited range requirements and lower infrastructure dependence make them ideal candidates for early commercial operations and fleet validation.

Regional Market Dynamics: North America and Asia-Pacific: North America remains the leading region in terms of zero-emission aircraft market share, supported by strong R&D activity and favorable policies. Meanwhile, Asia-Pacific is experiencing the fastest zero-emission aircraft market growth, fueled by government investment, local manufacturing expansion, and strategic energy-transition initiatives.

Commercial and General Aviation Segments Evolve: Commercial aviation currently accounts for the largest portion of the zero-emission aircraft market size, but general aviation is witnessing faster expansion. Simplified certification processes and smaller-scale operations make general aviation an attractive avenue for early adoption and real-world trials.

Rising Opportunities in UAS and Rotorcraft: Unmanned aerial systems (UAS) and rotorcraft are becoming high-growth segments within the market. Although fixed-wing aircraft maintain the largest share, the agility, operational flexibility, and scalability of UAS are expected to accelerate their adoption across both civilian and defense applications.

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Market Segmentation

By Application
-Commercial Aviation
-General Aviation
-Military Aviation

By Propulsion Technology
-Hydrogen
-Hybrid Electric
-Fully Electric

By Range
-Short-Range
-Medium-Range
-Long-Range

By Aircraft Type
-Fixed-Wing
-Rotorcraft
-Unmanned Aerial Systems
-Regional Turboprop/Turbofan

By Geography
-North America
-Europe
-Middle east&Africa
-South America
-Asia pacific

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Key Players

The Boeing Company
ZeroAvia, Inc.
Heart Aerospace AB
Airbus SE
Rolls-Royce Holdings plc

Conclusion

The zero-emission aircraft market stands at a crucial turning point, valued at USD 7.86 billion in 2025 and projected to reach USD 10.25 billion by 2030. Growth is fueled by shared commitments from airlines, manufacturers, and governments toward emission reduction. Hybrid-electric and hydrogen propulsion systems are gaining traction as viable alternatives for short- and regional-range operations. The Asia-Pacific region is emerging as a key growth hub due to strong policy support and infrastructure investments. While short-range fixed-wing aircraft dominate today, hydrogen and unmanned aerial systems are growing rapidly. Industry participants must address certification, charging, and hydrogen fueling challenges to scale effectively.

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