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The Global Grey Hydrogen Market: Current Landscape, Growth Projections, and Key Influencing Factors

02-24-2025 07:51 AM CET | Business, Economy, Finances, Banking & Insurance

Press release from: P&S Intelligence

The Global Grey Hydrogen Market: Current Landscape, Growth

Introduction
Hydrogen is widely regarded as a key energy carrier in the transition to a sustainable and low-carbon economy. However, the current hydrogen production landscape is dominated by grey hydrogen, which is derived from natural gas through steam methane reforming (SMR) without carbon capture. Despite increasing global efforts to transition towards green hydrogen and other low-carbon alternatives, grey hydrogen continues to hold a significant share in the hydrogen market due to its cost-effectiveness and well-established infrastructure.

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As of 2024, the global grey hydrogen market is valued at USD 134.5 billion. While the market is projected to grow at a modest CAGR of 1.9% during 2025-2032, it is expected to reach USD 156.5 billion by 2032. This growth is largely driven by the continued demand for hydrogen in industrial applications, such as ammonia production, oil refining, and chemical manufacturing. However, increasing pressure from regulatory frameworks, environmental concerns, and the rise of green hydrogen could impact its long-term outlook.

Market Drivers and Growth Factors
1. Increasing Demand from the Ammonia and Refining Sectors
One of the major drivers for grey hydrogen consumption is its extensive use in ammonia production. Ammonia serves as a key ingredient in fertilizers, and with the global population growing, food security remains a major concern. As a result, fertilizer production is expected to continue driving demand for grey hydrogen in the foreseeable future.

Similarly, the refining industry relies on grey hydrogen for desulfurization processes, which help reduce sulfur content in fuels to meet stringent emission norms. While the push for renewable energy and electric vehicles is gradually reshaping the transportation sector, conventional fuels still dominate the market, necessitating a continued supply of grey hydrogen for refining operations.

2. Cost-Effectiveness Compared to Low-Carbon Alternatives
Grey hydrogen remains the most economically viable option for hydrogen production today. The production cost of grey hydrogen is significantly lower than that of blue or green hydrogen, primarily because it does not involve carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) or renewable energy sources. Despite increasing investments in clean hydrogen, grey hydrogen continues to be the preferred choice for industries seeking a cost-effective hydrogen supply.

3. Existing Infrastructure and Technological Maturity
Another factor sustaining the grey hydrogen market is the extensive infrastructure already in place. Many industrial facilities, particularly in refining and petrochemicals, are built around grey hydrogen production and usage. The transition to low-carbon hydrogen alternatives requires significant investment in new production units, transportation pipelines, and storage facilities. Given the high capital costs associated with this shift, industries are likely to continue relying on grey hydrogen for the foreseeable future.

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Challenges and Restraining Factors
1. Rising Environmental Concerns and Regulatory Pressure
Grey hydrogen production emits significant amounts of carbon dioxide, making it a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions. With global efforts to achieve net-zero targets, governments and regulatory bodies are introducing policies that penalize carbon-intensive industries. Carbon taxes and stricter emission regulations could increase the cost of grey hydrogen, making cleaner alternatives more competitive in the long run.

2. Growing Investment in Green and Blue Hydrogen
The hydrogen landscape is evolving rapidly, with substantial investments directed toward green and blue hydrogen production. Many countries are implementing strategies to scale up green hydrogen production using electrolysis powered by renewable energy. Additionally, blue hydrogen, which involves carbon capture technology, is emerging as a lower-emission alternative to grey hydrogen. As technological advancements and cost reductions improve the competitiveness of these alternatives, the demand for grey hydrogen could gradually decline.

3. Shifting Industry Preferences and Corporate Sustainability Goals
Many industries are aligning their operations with global sustainability targets. Leading corporations in energy, chemicals, and automotive sectors are setting ambitious decarbonization goals, which include transitioning away from grey hydrogen to cleaner hydrogen sources. This shift could reduce the long-term demand for grey hydrogen, especially in regions with strong sustainability policies and incentives for green energy adoption.

Future Outlook
The global grey hydrogen market will continue to grow in the near term, driven by its cost advantages and widespread industrial use. However, the long-term outlook suggests a gradual decline in its dominance as cleaner hydrogen alternatives gain traction. Investments in carbon capture for blue hydrogen, advancements in green hydrogen technology, and stringent environmental regulations will play a crucial role in shaping the future of the hydrogen economy.

About P&S Intelligence
P&S Intelligence offers custom and syndicated market research and consulting services to clients across the globe. Our team of young and dynamic researchers, guided by mentors with years of experience, create data-rich reports tailored to the needs of MNCs as well as startups and SMEs. We remain in a perennial quest to offer exhaustive insights into every aspect of the market, allowing businesses of all sizes to seize even the smallest of opportunities and tackle even the biggest of challenges.

Contact:
Chandra Mohan
AVP - Business Development
Phone: +1-347-960-6455
Email: enquiry@psmarketresearch.com
Web: https://www.psmarketresearch.com

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