Stefan Kühn: Japan missed out? Nikkei 225 only 5% away from all-time high.

A look at the historic 2023 rally and the lessons learnt from the bubble 34 years ago

Japan is on its way to an all-time high and the Nikkei 225 rally has attracted the attention of investors worldwide. For a long time, the stock market records set during the speculative bubble 34 years ago were considered unattainable, but the 2023 rally has revived hopes of new highs. The Nikkei 225 rose by an impressive 30 per cent to 33,464 points, approaching the record level before the Japanese stock and property bubble burst at the end of 1989.

Stefan Kühn, economist and former board member of the AUTARK Group, takes a closer look at the development of the Nikkei 225, sheds light on the reasons behind the current rally and draws parallels with Japan's economic challenges in the past.

Historical view of the Nikkei 225: valley of tears and long-term stability

Kühn takes a detailed look at the historical perspective of the Nikkei 225: after peaking at 38,916 points in 1989, the index experienced a dramatic fall to 8,579 points in 2002, which corresponds to a decline of 78%. This valley of tears was followed by a ten-year sideways movement before the index slowly began to rise again in 2012. These turbulent events could be an important lesson for investors.

Yen depreciation as a key factor: impact on the economy and stock markets

A key aspect of Kühn's analysis is the remarkable 70% depreciation of the yen over the last 20 years. This depreciation had a profound impact on Japan's economic development and made the stock market more attractive. The question remains as to how this devaluation will affect the Nikkei in the future.

Stefan Kühn shows what impact the devaluation had on Japan's economic development and the attractiveness of the stock market. At the same time, he sees this development as a lesson for other regions that could face similar economic challenges.

DAX vs. Nikkei 225: investment opportunities and global attention

Stefan Kühn draws clear conclusions for investors from these findings. He takes a critical look at the DAX and asks whether investors would not have been better off with the German stock market. He also draws fascinating parallels between the bursting of the Japanese property bubble and the current challenges on the Chinese property market. He emphasises how the lessons of Japanese history can help us to better understand the current problems in China.

Japan on the way to an all-time high - opportunities and considerations for investors

Kühn emphasises the opportunities and considerations for investors if Japan does indeed reach its all-time high. From the drivers of the rally to the lessons of history, his report offers a deep insight into the dynamics of the Japanese stock market. It provides valuable guidance for investment decisions in a changing global economy. Investors around the world should follow developments closely and keep an eye on the potential impact on their portfolios.

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Presseabteilung
Herr Stefan Kühn

info@sk-finance-scout.com

Stefan Kühn is an economist and has been studying macroeconomic change and the interdependence of markets and political intervention in companies, society and the money market for several years. He argues that macroeconomic Keynesian and neo-Keynesian models generally depict completely interdependent economic systems that cannot be solved recursively, but only simultaneously. He does not limit himself to purely scientific methods, but draws his insights from his many years of experience as an entrepreneur, former member of the AUTARK Group Board of Directors and consultant to the management of predominantly listed companies.

This release was published on openPR.