India Payment Services Market is expected to reach INR 2,023 Trillion in Transaction Value by FY 2026: Ken Research

Key Finding

A shift in consumer's payment preference was noted with the advent of unprecedented situation of COVID-19 wherein individuals are relying more on online transactions rather than the traditional medium of cash based transactions.
Surge in growth of electronic payments in India, along with rising E-commerce and M-commerce transactions are further expected to give a boost to numerous entities including payment gateway service providers and payment aggregators that facilitate online payments in the country.
The India M-Wallet market is anticipated to grow at an exorbitant rate, with a CAGR of 13.7% during the forecast period FY'21-FY'26.
Digital India Campaign and Economic Goals: The government of India has been extensively focusing on "Digital India" campaign initially launched in 2015 to improve the online infrastructure of the country to ensure that the government services are made available to citizens electronically. E-Rupi is one such program developed by Department of Financial Services (DFS), National Health Authority (NHA) and NPCI, under the broader "Digital India" campaign formulated in order to enhance cashless payment transaction for COVID-19 vaccination. As citizens are more concerned for their health and safety followed by the aftermath of COVID-19, the implementation of e-RUPI program is a pragmatic development by the government to not only promote the idea of digital payments but also ensuring safety of citizens as the whole process is based on cashless transaction without the need of physical payments. Before the advent of COVID-19, the government of India had set an economic target of achieving a USD 5 trillion economy by FY'2024-FY'2025, to be driven by the digitalization of the economy. With policies such as demonetization being framed since 2016 in order to achieve the digital goals of the government, emphasis has been on shifting to an online medium of transaction considered to be hassle free, convenient, transparent and most importantly, secure form of payment. Adaptation to digital medium of transactions ensures a greater opportunity for the digital payment services, gateway and security market in the future.

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India Credit and Debit Card Payments Market: Over the years, money has transformed from coins to physical cash and is now available in electronic / digital form or plastic cards. Plastic cards for instance, ATM cards, debit and credit cards are used by customers as an electronic payment tool, thereby helping in clearing and settling the payment process. Increasing penetration of credit cards in metro areas coupled with rising usage of RuPay cards in tier 2 and tier 3 cities are some of the driving forces in India consumer payments landscape. With recent initiatives and emphasis by the government in banking the unbanked population, the user base of debit and credit cards have witnessed tremendous surge in recent years. However with the advent of COVID-19, the preference of consumers has shifted towards cashless transaction rather than traditional medium of cash based transactions. The shift to cashless transaction could prove to be a major downside to the credit and debit card market in the coming years.

Launch of New and Innovative Payment Products: The launch of new and innovative payment products like Unified Payments Interface (UPI), National Electronic Toll Collection (NETC) FASTag and Bharat Bill Pay Service (BBPS) have firmly placed the digital payment industry on an upward growth trajectory. With the surge in adoption of these newer payment methods, global giants such as Whatsapp, Google and Amazon Pay are aiming to improve their on-platform transaction convenience to enhance customer retention.

Increased Mobile and Internet Penetration in India: Increased mobile and internet penetration in the country has resulted in significant shift towards use of mobile/internet-based payment systems, for effecting payments for purchase of goods and services. It is estimated that as of FY'2020, 53% of India's total population had access to internet from their mobile phones. Introduction of lightweight acceptance infrastructure (QR codes) has further facilitated the use of mobile-based payments across the country. This has led to a larger population accessing digital payment services having access to convenient payment systems at their disposal. India is ranked second in the world in terms of active internet users, having merely a 4% internet penetration rate in FY'2007 increasing to a striking 50% penetration rate of the overall population as of FY'2020. The gradual increase in internet penetration rate enables the consumer in accessing digital payment services such as UPI, m-wallets and QR based transactions among others. With the advent of COVID-19, consumers are relying on digital payment methods rather than traditional medium of cash based transactions which are contributing in rise of contactless payments.

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India Point of Sale (PoS) Terminal Market: PoS terminals were launched as a computerized replacement of cash register where customers can make an online transaction with the help of their debit or credit cards. India PoS terminal market is heavily dependent up on the card acceptance infrastructure consisting of ATMs and PoS terminal devices. In terms of number of device installations, metro cities dominate India PoS terminal market majorly due to higher usage and penetration of debit and credit cards in these cities whereas, non-metro cities were observed to catch up by spreading awareness regarding PoS devices enabled with Adhaar enabled Payment System (AePS) and Micro ATMs in rural India. Large retail formats, such as Big Bazaar, Shoppers Stop and other malls in recent times, have initiated the process of installing traditional PoS systems that work on GPRS technology. Integration in the rural region along with lower TIER cities could contribute in PoS market witnessing massive growth in coming years.

Digital Incentive as Mentioned in Union Budget 2021: A striking announcement in the Budget 2021 revealed an allocation of Rs 1,500 crore towards MeitY for the promotion of digital payments. Other incentives such as tax audit exemptions for businesses utilizing digital payments and the establishment of Fintech hub were also announced. These funds are expected to be utilized in encouraging digital payments for toll transaction and investments for marketing campaigns to raise awareness not only in the urban areas but also rural regions. These incentives exacerbate the opportunity of various players in the payment services market to integrate into lower tier cities to expand their presence and to build a robust payment infrastructure in the country.

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Payment Security Services: With more emphasis on technological dependence in recent years, cyber security has emerged to be a domain of tremendous value. Following the aftermath of COVID-19, interned adoption rate surged. As physical restrictions were imposed globally, people started utilizing digital means for communication, work, shopping etc. The shift to internet domain was not only specific to individuals but even businesses wherein "Work from Home" became the norm. However with increased dependence on internet and digital medium, there lies security concerns related to cyber threats. To enhance security and compliance standard, governments throughout the world initiated shaping polices and regulations for strengthening the cyber security ecosystem. With increased dependence on digital payment mediums, entities, government agencies, organizations, e-commerce platforms need to ensure that they provide a safe and secure platform for their consumers for a transparent transaction procedure. India in 2017 ranked among top five countries to be affected by cybercrime. The rising cybercrime incidences would ensure Indian entities emphasizing on strengthening their IOT and cloud security framework in the coming years eventually leading to a growth opportunity for the payment security services market.

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https://www.kenresearch.com/banking-financial-services-and-insurance/financial-services/global-payment-gateway-market-outlook/263650-93.html

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