WEEX Market Watch: Gold, Bitcoin Rally Together as Fed Rate-Hike Odds Fade

TL;DR
- A much weaker-than-expected July jobs report - a loss of 23,000 jobs versus forecasts of roughly 80,000 gains, with unemployment at 4.1% - has sharply reduced the odds of a Fed rate hike and pushed both gold and Bitcoin higher together over the past week.
- Gold is trading near $4,350/oz, close to a two-month high, as rate-cut expectations reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.
- Bitcoin has climbed back above $65,000, recovering from a dip near $62,700 earlier this month, as looser rate expectations lifted risk assets broadly.
- TRON's stablecoin settlement volume remains a steady infrastructure story - the network settled roughly $1.96 trillion in stablecoin transfers in Q1 2026 alone and now holds more than $90 billion in USDT, about 47% of total USDT in circulation.
- WEEX offers 299 TradFi-linked pairs - including gold, equities, and oil - alongside crypto markets in a single account, giving traders a way to track this kind of cross-asset shift without switching platforms.
- Markets now turn to this week's CPI (Aug 12) and PPI (Aug 13) prints, and the next FOMC meeting on September 15-16, for confirmation of how far this dovish repricing goes.

Singapore, August 11, 2026 - Markets have spent the past week digesting a July jobs report that came in well below expectations, triggering a broad repricing of Federal Reserve rate-hike odds and sending gold and Bitcoin higher in tandem - a shift that stands in contrast to the more divergent, hedge-versus-risk-asset dynamic markets have seen around past Fed meetings.

The Fed held its benchmark rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% at its July 28-29 meeting, with three FOMC members dissenting in favor of a hike. Days later, the July employment report showed the U.S. economy shed 23,000 jobs against expectations of roughly 80,000 in gains, with unemployment ticking up to 4.1% - a miss large enough to shift market expectations away from further tightening and toward the possibility of easing later in the year.

Gold Climbs Toward a Two-Month High

Gold has been one of the more direct beneficiaries of the shift, trading near $4,350 per ounce and approaching its highest level in two months. Lower rate expectations reduce the opportunity cost of holding an asset that pays no yield, and the weak labor print has reinforced that dynamic. On WEEX, the XAU-USDT pair allows crypto-native users to track this move within their existing account infrastructure.

Bitcoin Recovers Alongside Gold, Not Against It

Bitcoin has moved in a similar direction rather than the opposite one. After dipping to around $62,700 earlier this month, BTC has climbed back above $65,000, with the recovery closely tracking the same dovish shift in rate expectations that lifted gold. That's a notable departure from the more classic pattern where gold and risk assets like Bitcoin tend to pull apart around Fed uncertainty - this time, both have moved higher on the same signal: a labor market cooling enough to make further tightening harder to justify. BTC-USDT futures on WEEX remain among the instruments traders are using to position around this window.

TRON's Stablecoin Settlement Story Continues in the Background
Separate from the rate-driven moves in gold and Bitcoin, TRON's role as crypto's largest stablecoin settlement layer has continued to build through the year. The network processed approximately $1.96 trillion in stablecoin transfers in Q1 2026 alone, and USDT held on TRON has now surpassed $90 billion - roughly 47% of all USDT in circulation - with the network posting record transaction throughput in June. As dollar-pegged stablecoins increasingly serve as the connective layer between traditional finance and on-chain markets, that settlement activity has continued regardless of the short-term rate narrative playing out in majors like BTC and ETH. Market participants have pointed to TRX-USDT less as a momentum trade and more as a proxy for underlying on-chain transactional demand.

What's Next

Markets now turn to this week's inflation data - the July CPI print on August 12 and PPI on August 13 - for signals on whether the dovish repricing seen over the past week has room to extend. CME Group data currently puts the probability of the Fed holding rates unchanged at its September 15-16 meeting at just under 54%, reflecting a market still working out how much further this shift has to run.

This kind of macro-driven cross-asset movement also illustrates why some traders look for platforms that bridge traditional and digital markets rather than treating them as separate systems.

WEEX offers 299 TradFi-linked trading pairs - spanning gold, major equities, and oil - alongside its crypto and derivatives markets, all within a single account and settled through the same infrastructure, making it possible to track moves like this week's gold-and-Bitcoin rally side by side without maintaining separate accounts across traditional and crypto-native venues.

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Disclaimer: This release is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, or trading advice. Digital asset and derivatives trading involves significant risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance and market patterns referenced above are not indicative of future results. Readers should conduct their own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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About WEEX
Founded in 2018, WEEX has developed into a global crypto exchange with over 10 million users across more than 170 countries. The platform emphasizes security, liquidity, and usability, providing over 1,600 spot trading pairs and offering up to 400x leverage in crypto futures trading. In addition to the traditional spot and derivatives markets, WEEX is expanding rapidly in the AI era delivering real time AI news, empowering users with AI trading tools, and exploring innovative trade to earn models that make intelligent trading more accessible to everyone. Its 1,000 BTC Protection Fundfurther strengthens asset safety and transparency, while features such as copy trading and advanced trading tools allow users to follow professional traders and experience a more efficient, intelligent trading journey.

This release was published on openPR.