Track Methyl Amine Price Index Historical and Forecast

Executive Summary

Global methyl amine markets recorded notable price fluctuations throughout 2024 and 2025, driven by evolving demand patterns, feedstock cost dynamics, supply chain shifts and trade-flow pressures. Across North America, APAC and Europe, quarterly movements reflected varying combinations of domestic industrial activity, export competitiveness, feedstock cost trends and logistical constraints.

In North America, price indexes softened through mid-2025 as ample supply and weaker agrochemical procurement pressured spot values. In APAC, particularly China, oversupply and inventory buildup constrained pricing, despite intermittent sectoral demand support. Europe faced demand softness across key industrial sectors, with feedstock cost relief further weakening domestic price levels.

Looking forward, markets are expected to see stabilization supported by restocking, balanced contract flows and adaptive procurement strategies, while downside risks persist tied to inventories and sluggish export demand.

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Introduction

Methyl amine, a core intermediate in chemicals, pharmaceuticals, agrochemicals, coatings and solvent markets, serves as a barometer for industrial chemical demand. Influenced by methanol and ammonia feedstock costs, global trade flows and downstream industrial activity, methyl amine price trends have underscored shifting economic conditions and supply-demand balances.

Global Price Overview

Across regions, methyl amine pricing experienced both downward corrections and pockets of resilience over the past year:

North America: Prices trended lower into Q3 2025 with abundant domestic runs and competitive imports, though pharmaceuticals supported underlying demand.
APAC (China focus): Significant quarterly price declines reflected export weakness, elevated inventories and increased domestic output.
Europe (Germany focus): Sustained pressure from weaker industrial demand and improved feedstock availability moderated pricing performance.
Average CFR/FOB reference prices illustrate this trend divergence:

USA (CFR New York): ~USD 891.33/MT in Q3 2025
China (FOB Qingdao): ~USD 611.67/MT in Q3 2025
compared to earlier quarters that showed relative stability or modest increases.

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Regional Analysis

North America

Price and Index Movements

In the USA, the methyl amine price index eased by approximately 1.655% quarter-over-quarter by September 2025, reflecting softer demand dynamics and spot pricing pressure. The average quarterly price settled at around USD 891.33/MT (CFR New York).

Earlier in Q2 2025, prices had shown marginal stability, with an average of USD 906.33/MT, marginally above Q1's average. By Q3, abundant supply, continuous runs and competitive import pressure weighed on pricing.

Drivers of Price Change

Supply Dynamics:
Domestic plants ran at high rates, and feedstock availability-particularly methanol-remained sufficient, keeping production steady. Competitive Chinese exports, reinforced by lower freight costs, entered the US market and pressured domestic spot prices.

Demand Patterns:
Pharmaceutical orders remained resilient, offering some support. However, seasonally weak agrochemical procurement and subdued industrial offtake widened distributor inventories. Key end-use segments such as coatings and solvents showed moderated growth.

Cost Structures:
While ammonia and methanol cost trends influenced production economics, only modest feedstock dislocations occurred, limiting upward pricing impulses.

Logistics & Trade Flows:
Import flows from China and Mexico sustained supply, although freight cost fluctuations in earlier quarters contributed to minor price upticks.

Procurement Behaviour

Buyers exhibited cautious purchasing patterns, balancing inventory builds against spot discounts. Contract negotiations increasingly emphasized flexibility, as term agreements helped absorb spot weakness.

Outlook

Forecasts point toward stabilization supported by restocking cycles and negotiated contract volumes, even as export demand remains muted. Strategic procurement focused on timing and volume commitments will be crucial.

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Asia-Pacific (APAC)

Price and Index Movements

China's methyl amine price index declined sharply by 9.2% quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025. The average FOB Qingdao price fell to around USD 611.67/MT, impacted by export weakness and inventory accumulation.

Earlier in Q2, prices averaged USD 723.67/MT, slightly lower than Q1, indicating a gradual softening trend.

Drivers of Price Change

Export Challenges:
Tariff impacts, increased volumes from re-started units and high finished-goods inventories constrained seller leverage on FOB offers. Export competitiveness suffered, leading to weaker price realizations.

Inventory Trends:
Abundant stocks and elevated port inventories compressed margins and encouraged discounts. Easing port congestion facilitated greater exportable flows, but limited downstream absorption.

Feedstock Dynamics:
Softening methanol costs helped reduce production costs, supporting continuous plant runs, though this also contributed to supply pressure without corresponding demand pull.

Sub-Sector Demand:
Agrochemical restocking offset some weakness, but overall export orders remained cautious, leading to mixed demand outlooks.

Procurement Behaviour

Procurement in APAC mirrored global uncertainty, with buyers deferring large purchases amid high inventory levels. Cautious downstream procurement muted immediate demand rebound.

Outlook

With price indexes constrained and inventories high, APAC methyl amine markets may see limited upside in the near term. Strategic procurement focus is on aligning inventory levels to actual consumption to avoid overstocking.

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Europe

Price and Index Movements

In Germany, the methyl amine price index continued to face challenges, reflecting subdued domestic consumption and export weakness. Spot prices in late Q3 2025 remained under pressure due to inventory accumulation and muted activity.

Earlier in Q2 and Q1, Europe's pricing environment showed varied influences: delays in Asia-to-Europe shipments impacted availability, while underlying feedstock cost moderation gave mixed signals.

Drivers of Price Change

Demand Softness:
Reduced consumption from the agrochemical and coatings industries, especially after seasonal harvest-related demand, softened pricing. Industrial solvent usage also lagged, contributing to lower offtake.

Feedstock Trends:
Improved feedstock availability-especially for methanol and ammonia-narrowed producers' ability to sustain price premiums, supporting softer offers.

Export Flows:
Export performance was subdued, with weak demand from Central and Eastern Europe, keeping selling pressures intact.

Procurement Behaviour

European buyers increasingly relied on inventory buffers during procurement cycles, given the softer demand environment and logistical normalization. Import dependency on Asia meant that port scheduling and freight conditions remained critical.

Outlook

Europe's demand is expected to rise modestly with industrial seasonal trends, but pricing upside remains constrained without stronger demand catalysts.

Historical Quarterly Review

Q4 2024

North America: Prices rose on feedstock cost pressures and logistical delays, while demand remained moderate.
APAC (India): Slight quarterly increase, with rising methanol costs partially offset by stable ammonia and strong pharma exports.
Europe: Stable to positive pricing, buoyed by balanced supply and demand.

Q1 2025

North America: Moderate price rise due to port congestion and logistical costs, though demand remained consistent.
APAC (China): Supply constraints on ammonia drove moderate price growth; logistics improved later in the quarter.
Europe: Prices declined ~10% due to feedstock cost relief and weakening demand.

Q2 2025

North America: Price stability with a slight gain on freight cost influences; strong pharma and agrochemical support.
APAC: Prices edged slightly down; export and downstream sector weaknesses surfaced.
Europe: Sentiment moderate, affected by regulatory documentation and logistics delays.

Q3 2025

Broad price softening across all major regions tied to inventory builds, export pressures and demand moderation.
Production & Cost Structure Insights

Methyl amine economics are closely linked to methanol and ammonia feedstock prices. While feedstock costs moderated across periods in 2025, the resulting impact varied by region:

North America: Higher ammonia costs at times were offset by stable methanol pricing, balancing production cost trends.
APAC: Methanol softening eased cost inflation, sustaining plant operations at high run rates.
Europe: Lower feedstock costs narrowed pricing flexibility but reduced production overheads.
Continuous plant operating rates globally maintained supply levels, which, without sharp feedstock cost inflation, reduced volatility.

Procurement Outlook

Buyers must navigate:

Inventory Management: Balancing stock against demand cycles to avoid overstocking amid spot price weakness.
Contract Strategy: Utilizing term contracts to mitigate spot volatility and capture favorable pricing benchmarks.
Trade Costs: Freight and tariff developments influence landed cost calculus, especially for import-dependent regions.
Lead Times: Seasonal and regulatory impacts on logistics should be integrated into procurement planning.
Procurement should focus on risk-adjusted timing, leveraging market intelligence to preempt demand shifts.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Why did methyl amine prices fall in North America in September 2025?
Prices softened due to ample domestic supply, weaker agrochemical demand reducing downstream offtake, rising inventories and competitive Chinese exports undercutting domestic offers.

What influenced the sharp price decline in Asia-Pacific in Q3 2025?
Elevated finished-goods inventories, abundant feedstock reducing cost support, incremental production restarting, eased port congestion and limited downstream absorption of exportable volumes.

How did European methyl amine pricing behave in 2025?
European pricing remained under pressure with softer domestic consumption, improved feedstock availability lowering production costs and subdued export demand, especially from Central and Eastern Europe.

What role do feedstock prices play in methyl amine markets?
Methanol and ammonia feedstock costs directly influence production economics. Softening feedstock tends to reduce production costs but may also signal oversupply, which can suppress prices if demand is weak.

How should buyers approach procurement in this environment?
Buyers should balance inventory levels with actual consumption forecasts, leverage term contracts for predictability and monitor freight and tariff trends that affect landed costs.

How ChemAnalyst Supports Buyers

ChemAnalyst equips procurement teams with:

Real-Time Price Tracking: Continuous updates on methyl amine pricing across key regions.
Market News & Insights: Timely explanations of price movements and fundamental drivers.
Price Forecasts: Forward-looking assessments to optimize purchasing timing.
Supply Chain Intelligence: Monitoring plant shutdowns, logistics disruptions and trade-flow alterations.
Expert Analysis: Insights from chemical engineers with global market expertise.

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