Track Coco Mono Ethanol Amide (CMEA) Price Trend Historical and Forecast

Coco Mono Ethanol Amide (CMEA) Price Trend and Forecast - Q3 2025

Executive Summary

Coco Mono Ethanol Amide (CMEA), a widely used non-ionic surfactant in personal care, detergents, and household cleaning formulations, has experienced notable price movements across global markets in 2025. Price fluctuations have been driven primarily by upstream feedstock availability, particularly coconut oil, and steady demand from downstream sectors. In North America, CMEA prices rose moderately in Q3 2025 due to tightening coconut oil supplies and proactive procurement ahead of the festive season. APAC markets, led by India, saw sharper price increases as poor copra harvests and monsoon-related disruptions constrained supply. Europe, especially Germany, recorded moderate upward movements, underpinned by controlled output and steady personal care demand.

Across regions, production costs were influenced by the interplay between rising coconut oil prices and stable monoethanolamine costs, while logistics, depot-level inventories, and export-import flows further shaped pricing dynamics. Looking ahead, market forecasts indicate potential upside into late 2025, supported by limited copra availability, festival-driven restocking, and sustained consumption in detergent and cosmetic sectors.

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Introduction

Coco Mono Ethanol Amide (CMEA) is a versatile surfactant derived from coconut oil and monoethanolamine, commonly employed in shampoos, liquid soaps, detergents, and other personal care and household cleaning products. Its global demand is closely linked to the health of consumer goods sectors and the availability of coconut-derived feedstocks.

In 2025, the CMEA market has faced a complex set of supply-demand pressures. On the supply side, coconut oil availability has been constrained due to poor copra harvests in key producing regions, seasonal monsoon impacts, and logistical bottlenecks. On the demand side, stable personal care consumption, festival-related stocking, and strong detergent usage have sustained purchasing activity. Combined with moderated production by manufacturers seeking to balance margins, these factors have collectively influenced CMEA pricing trends globally.

This report provides a detailed review of CMEA price movements, production cost dynamics, regional supply conditions, and market outlook for North America, APAC, and Europe, covering both historical and forecasted trends.

Global Price Overview

The global Coco Mono Ethanol Amide Price Index has shown an upward trajectory through 2025, reflecting tightening raw material supply and steady downstream demand. Key drivers include:

Coconut oil availability: Reduced copra harvests and monsoon-induced disruptions have tightened upstream feedstock supply.

Monoethanolamine pricing: While generally stable, its cost provides partial relief against rising coconut oil prices.

Depot-level inventories: Fluctuations in regional storage and procurement behavior have influenced spot pricing.

Seasonal demand: Festival-driven buying cycles in APAC and end-of-quarter restocking in North America and Europe have added upward momentum.

Trade flows: Export and import activities have provided marginal support to regional price indices.

By Q3 2025, global CMEA prices were firm across all key markets, with regional nuances driven by local supply constraints and demand patterns.

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Regional Analysis

North America

Quarterly Movements - Q3 2025

In the United States, the CMEA Price Index increased by 2.38% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting both tightening coconut oil supply and sustained demand from personal care and household cleaning segments. Spot prices firmed mid-quarter as inventories tightened and buyers accelerated procurement ahead of Q4 production cycles.

The average CMEA price remained influenced by depot-level supply fluctuations and seasonal restocking, while domestic manufacturers moderated output to balance inventory management with rising input costs. Export flows to North America and neighboring markets provided minor support to the overall Price Index.

Reasons Behind Price Changes

Tight coconut oil supply: Limited availability led to higher upstream costs and proactive buying.

Steady downstream demand: Consistent consumption in personal care and detergent segments maintained procurement activity.

Depot-level fluctuations: Mid-quarter inventory adjustments influenced spot prices.

Production Cost and Supply Trends

Production costs edged higher due to coconut oil inflation, though stable monoethanolamine prices offset some of the cost pressures. Domestic manufacturers maintained moderate output to protect margins without creating oversupply. Logistics and trade flows remained stable, with minimal port congestion and consistent freight rates.

Procurement Outlook

Procurement in Q3 2025 was cautious but proactive. Buyers engaged in early Q4 restocking to secure supplies ahead of the festive season. Forecasts indicate a continued firm pricing trend into late 2025, assuming upstream constraints persist.

Historical Review - Q2 2025

In Q2 2025, CMEA prices in North America showed slight quarter-over-quarter increases, supported by steady personal care and household cleaning demand. Prices in July rose mildly due to firm raw material costs, but weak export sentiment and subdued macroeconomic indicators capped aggressive price hikes.

APAC (India Focus)

Quarterly Movements - Q3 2025

In India, the CMEA Price Index rose 5.14% quarter-over-quarter, reaching approximately USD 2867.60/MT at depot level. Tight inventories, constrained copra supply, and strong festive procurement drove prices upward. Spot prices increased as buyers strengthened procurement amid seasonal demand.

Reasons Behind Price Changes

Poor copra harvests: Reduced coconut oil supply increased upstream costs and limited availability.

Monsoon and festival demand: Elevated personal care and detergent offtake sustained strong purchasing activity.

Logistics delays: Transportation bottlenecks and limited supply response compounded tight inventories.

Production Cost and Supply Trends

CMEA production costs in India rose, with coconut oil inflation outweighing modest monoethanolamine price declines. Local manufacturers maintained output but faced margin pressures, prompting depot-level price revisions and volatility.

Procurement Outlook

The procurement environment remains robust, supported by pre-festival restocking and steady demand from personal care and detergent segments. Buyers are expected to maintain active procurement strategies, balancing limited supply with sustained end-user consumption.

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Historical Review - Q2 2025

In Q2 2025, CMEA prices in India increased cumulatively by 4.2%, reversing a 1.2% decline in April. May and June saw successive rises of 1.6% and 1.8%, driven by coconut oil price surges and steady downstream demand. Early July trends indicated stable pricing, reflecting continued high feedstock costs despite post-monsoon subdued restocking.

Europe (Germany Focus)

Quarterly Movements - Q3 2025

In Germany, the CMEA Price Index rose 1.12% quarter-over-quarter, supported by constrained coconut oil supply and steady personal care consumption. Depot-level prices reflected moderate adjustments, while spot prices strengthened slightly as distributors replenished stock for upcoming production cycles.

Reasons Behind Price Changes

Limited coconut oil availability: Supply constraints provided upward support.

Stable downstream consumption: Consistent use in detergent and cosmetic applications maintained price momentum.

Controlled output: Manufacturers managed inventory levels to align with demand, avoiding oversupply.

Production Cost and Supply Trends

CMEA production costs were influenced by elevated coconut oil prices, while monoethanolamine remained stable. Import and freight constraints provided minor additional support to depot-level pricing. Regulatory shifts in surfactant safety standards prompted some reformulation demand, further influencing procurement patterns.

Procurement Outlook

Procurement remains cautious, with European buyers maintaining steady usage from personal and home care manufacturers. Forecasts suggest mild upward pressure through late 2025, dependent on feedstock availability and seasonal buying cycles.

Historical Review - Q2 2025

CMEA prices in Europe were largely stable in Q2 2025. While demand from household segments remained consistent, industrial growth was muted. Seasonal upticks in July were observed due to personal care demand, but slower offtake in the Netherlands and higher inventory carryovers tempered broader price momentum.

Production and Cost Structure Insights

The CMEA cost structure is heavily influenced by:

Coconut oil: The primary raw material, representing a significant portion of production costs. Fluctuations due to weather, harvest yields, and global demand materially impact prices.

Monoethanolamine (MEA): Typically stable, it offers partial mitigation against coconut oil inflation but cannot fully offset price volatility.

Logistics and depot management: Transportation, freight rates, and depot-level stock management influence short-term spot pricing.

Producers balance output to manage margins, mitigate oversupply, and respond to regional demand trends. In regions facing tight coconut oil supply, production moderation is common to protect profitability.

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Trade-Flow and Logistics Impacts

Global trade flows and logistics affect regional CMEA pricing in the following ways:

North America: Imports supplement domestic supply, but port congestion and shipping costs are currently minimal, providing steady pricing support.

APAC: Domestic sourcing is critical, with logistic delays and limited copra arrivals intensifying price volatility.

Europe: Import constraints, freight costs, and controlled distributor inventory influence depot-level pricing moderately.

Seasonal demand cycles and festival-driven stockpiling further interact with logistics, shaping quarterly price trends.

FAQ - Coco Mono Ethanol Amide (CMEA)

Q1: Why did CMEA prices rise in North America in September 2025?
A1: Tight coconut oil supply, steady personal care demand, and proactive procurement ahead of Q4 production cycles pushed spot and depot-level prices higher.

Q2: What drove price increases in India (APAC) in Q3 2025?
A2: Poor copra harvests, monsoon-related supply disruptions, festive stocking, and strong detergent/personal care demand collectively increased CMEA prices.

Q3: How did European CMEA prices behave in Q3 2025?
A3: Moderate increases were recorded, driven by limited coconut oil availability, controlled manufacturer output, and steady downstream consumption in detergents and cosmetics.

Q4: What are the key cost drivers for CMEA production?
A4: Coconut oil is the primary cost component, with monoethanolamine providing partial relief. Logistics, freight, and depot-level stock management also influence cost structures.

Q5: What is the CMEA price outlook for late 2025?
A5: Prices are expected to maintain upward momentum, supported by constrained coconut oil supplies, festival-related restocking, and stable consumption in personal care and detergent segments.

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