Track Glycine Price Report Historical and Forecast

Glycine Price Trend and Forecast: Q4 2024 - Q3 2025 Analysis

Executive Summary

The global Glycine market has experienced pronounced volatility over the past year, driven by fluctuations in raw material costs, supply-demand imbalances, logistics constraints, and geopolitical trade dynamics. For the quarter ending September 2025, Glycine prices showed a notable decline across all major regions, including North America, APAC, and Europe, primarily due to elevated inventories, subdued downstream demand, and lower import quotations from China.

In North America, Glycine prices fell by 9.59% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting soft procurement activity, ample supply, and reduced imports. In APAC, the market in China witnessed a 10.48% price decline due to high inventories and weak export demand. Europe mirrored similar trends, with the Netherlands reporting lower prices influenced by abundant overseas supply and cautious distributor procurement. Despite these near-term pressures, forecasts indicate a modest recovery in the medium term, underpinned by gradual restocking, improved downstream demand, and strategic inventory management.

This report provides a detailed analysis of Glycine price movements, production cost trends, supply and demand dynamics, and regional procurement behavior, while also offering insights into historical quarterly trends and future market outlooks.

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Introduction

Glycine, a non-essential amino acid widely used in pharmaceuticals, nutraceuticals, food additives, animal nutrition, and industrial applications, remains a key commodity in the global chemical market. Prices are sensitive to fluctuations in feedstock costs-primarily ammonia, acetic acid, and methanol-as well as supply-demand imbalances, freight rates, and trade policies.

Over the past year, the Glycine market has been influenced by several factors:

Rising or falling costs of raw materials and energy.
Variations in export competitiveness, especially from China.
Seasonal procurement trends across pharmaceutical and nutraceutical sectors.
Logistical factors, including port congestion, freight costs, and plant operating rates.
This report examines Glycine price trends across North America, APAC, and Europe for Q4 2024 through Q3 2025, providing insights into quarterly movements, market drivers, supply chain constraints, and projected price forecasts.

Global Price Overview

Glycine prices have experienced a cyclical pattern over the past four quarters. Key observations include:

Q4 2024: Prices initially declined globally due to oversupply and high inventories but recovered later in the quarter as production costs increased and proactive buying emerged.
Q1 2025: Price volatility characterized markets, with initial surges driven by output curtailments and seasonal demand, followed by corrections due to lower Chinese freight rates and softened import costs.
Q2 2025: A mild recovery occurred in July, with tighter supply conditions, rising raw material costs, and improved downstream orders supporting prices.
Q3 2025: Prices softened sharply, reflecting elevated inventories, weak downstream demand, and lower Chinese export quotations, especially in North America and APAC.
Global Glycine spot prices and indices reflected these dynamics, with production cost trends and procurement behaviors closely aligned with raw material availability, logistics, and international trade conditions.

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Regional Analysis

North America

Price Trends:
In the U.S., Glycine Price Index fell by 9.59% in Q3 2025, averaging approximately USD 1,703.33/MT. Spot prices softened amid ample supply, and procurement activity remained subdued due to high inventories and cautious buying from pharmaceutical and nutraceutical sectors.

Drivers of Price Changes:

Lower Chinese export quotations and reduced freight rates decreased landed costs.
Elevated inventories limited domestic restocking.
Weak downstream demand and trade uncertainties reduced transaction volumes.
Production and Cost Trends:

Glycine production costs eased due to lower input prices but were partially offset by rising freight and logistics charges.
Stable domestic plant availability minimized short-term volatility.

Procurement Behavior:

Importers were cautious due to muted demand and high inventories.
Export interest declined, reflecting lower U.S. buyer participation.

Historical Quarterly Review:

Q2 2025: Prices declined moderately from USD 1,867/MT in June, following subdued buying sentiment and elevated local inventories.
Q1 2025: Significant volatility occurred, with January and February price surges driven by tight supply and increased demand, while March saw sharp corrections.
Q4 2024: Prices started lower due to oversupply but increased toward the end of the quarter, supported by global supply disruptions and rising costs.

Forecast:

A modest recovery is expected in the later part of 2025 as restocking and downstream demand gradually improve.

Asia-Pacific (APAC)

Price Trends:

In China, the Glycine Price Index declined by 10.48% in Q3 2025, averaging USD 1,560/MT on an FOB Shanghai basis. Spot prices remained under pressure amid high producer and port inventories and clearance offers from smaller producers.

Drivers of Price Changes:

Elevated inventories pressured offers and prompted discounts for stock clearance.
Weaker export demand from key markets, compounded by tariff uncertainty, reduced overseas procurement.
Lower ammonia input costs eased production expenses but rising freight costs limited price support.

Production and Cost Trends:

Glycine production costs eased with lower ammonia and feedstock costs.
Freight and logistics expenses partially constrained margins despite reduced raw material costs.

Procurement Behavior:

Domestic buyers and distributors purchased selectively, responding to ample supply and clearance offers.
Export demand was weak, with international buyers cautious due to tariffs and economic uncertainty.

Historical Quarterly Review:

Q2 2025: Prices rebounded from USD 1,680/MT in July after tight supply conditions post-June clearance and rising ammonia prices.
Q1 2025: Export prices increased steadily due to strong pharmaceutical, nutraceutical, and food industry demand alongside rising production costs.
Q4 2024: Prices fluctuated due to supply-demand imbalances and logistical challenges, with strong end-user demand in November-December boosting prices.

Forecast:

Recovery is anticipated later in 2025, supported by restocking, year-end procurement, and gradual improvement in downstream demand.
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Europe

Price Trends:
In the Netherlands and broader European markets, the Glycine Price Index declined quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, with spot prices softening as distributors purchased selectively. Average prices reflected abundant overseas supply and eased landed costs.

Drivers of Price Changes:

Lower Chinese export quotations and favorable freight rates applied downward pressure.
Elevated distributor inventories curtailed immediate purchasing.
Weak downstream demand and trade uncertainty reduced restocking incentives.

Production and Cost Trends:

Production cost trends eased slightly due to lower input costs and stable import parity.
Freight stability and efficient logistics partially offset input cost reductions.

Procurement Behavior:

Pharmaceutical and nutraceutical buyers remained cautious, keeping purchasing selective.
Export interest from Europe was limited due to high local inventories.

Historical Quarterly Review:

Q2 2025: Marginal price uptick in July due to lower imports and improved downstream procurement sentiment.
Q1 2025: Prices fluctuated with changes in import costs, trade dynamics, and downstream demand variations.
Q4 2024: Prices rose from low levels due to global supply disruptions and proactive buyer behavior in response to potential tariff and regulatory changes.

Forecast:

Modest recovery is projected later in 2025 as restocking occurs and downstream pharmaceutical and nutraceutical demand improves.
Production, Cost Structure, and Market Dynamics

Glycine production primarily relies on ammonia, acetic acid, and methanol feedstocks, with plant efficiency, raw material costs, and energy prices significantly impacting production margins. Across regions:

North America: Stable domestic plant availability and logistical efficiency limited volatility despite lower imports.
APAC: Production cost trends were favorable due to lower ammonia prices, but freight costs constrained margins.
Europe: Cost easing from inputs was partially offset by stable logistics and import parity factors.
Global production capacity has generally been adequate, but periodic supply constraints in China, influenced by environmental regulations and seasonal demand surges, created short-term tightness, particularly impacting APAC and export markets.

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Procurement Outlook

Buyers' behavior has been influenced by multiple factors:

Inventory Levels: Elevated inventories in all regions reduced immediate purchasing and depressed spot prices.
Downstream Demand: Weak pharmaceutical, nutraceutical, and food-grade demand limited restocking incentives.
Trade Uncertainty: Tariffs, exchange rate volatility, and import-export competitiveness influenced strategic buying.
Logistics: Freight costs, port congestion, and transport efficiency impacted landed costs and timing of procurement.
For Q4 2025, procurement is expected to gradually pick up as inventories normalize, supply chains stabilize, and downstream demand shows modest recovery.

FAQ

Q1: Why did Glycine prices decline in North America in September 2025?
A1: Prices fell due to lower Chinese export quotations, reduced freight rates, elevated inventories, muted downstream demand, and cautious importer behavior.

Q2: What caused Glycine prices to soften in APAC during Q3 2025?
A2: High producer and port inventories, weaker export demand, tariff uncertainty, and limited domestic procurement contributed to price declines.

Q3: Why were European Glycine prices pressured in September 2025?
A3: Reduced Chinese export prices, favorable freight rates, elevated distributor inventories, and cautious procurement from pharmaceutical and nutraceutical sectors led to lower prices.

Q4: What are the expected Glycine price trends for the coming months?
A4: Modest recovery is anticipated globally due to gradual restocking, improved downstream demand, and seasonal procurement in Q4 2025.

Q5: How do raw material costs influence Glycine pricing?
A5: Feedstock prices-ammonia, acetic acid, and methanol-directly impact production costs, which in turn affect spot and contract prices globally.

How ChemAnalyst Supports Buyers

ChemAnalyst provides unparalleled support to chemical buyers and procurement teams through real-time market intelligence and actionable insights:

Real-Time Prices: Accurate, up-to-date Glycine pricing across 450+ commodities globally.
Forecasting: Price forecasts enable buyers to anticipate market movements and optimize procurement strategies.
Supply-Chain Intelligence: Monitoring plant shutdowns, freight trends, and trade flows helps mitigate supply disruptions.
Expert Analysis: Chemical engineers and analysts provide insights on raw material costs, trade dynamics, and regional demand.
Global Coverage: Offices in Houston, Cologne, and New Delhi, with ground teams at 50+ major trading ports, ensure comprehensive market visibility.
By leveraging ChemAnalyst's data and expertise, buyers can make informed purchasing decisions, reduce risk, and maximize cost efficiency in a volatile Glycine market.

Conclusion

The Glycine market has been characterized by volatility from Q4 2024 through Q3 2025, with price declines in Q3 2025 reflecting high inventories, subdued downstream demand, and competitive import dynamics. While near-term price pressure persists, forecasts suggest gradual recovery in late 2025, driven by restocking, improved downstream consumption, and strategic inventory management.

For buyers and stakeholders, staying informed through real-time data, production insights, and supply-chain intelligence is critical for navigating this complex global market-an area where ChemAnalyst provides unmatched guidance.

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This release was published on openPR.