HBAR Price Forecast: Hedera Faces a Pivotal Moment as AlphaPepe Gains Early Investor Interest

The past few weeks have been rough for crypto, and Hedera (HBAR) is no exception. After briefly trading above $0.20 earlier in November, HBAR has slid back toward the $0.16-$0.18 range https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/hedera/, mirroring the broader risk-off shift that has dragged down Bitcoin, Ethereum, and most major altcoins. It now sits roughly 70% below its all-time high, with its price down close to 20% over the past week.

Yet under the surface, Hedera is anything but stagnant. Network activity remains high, institutional headlines keep coming, and a newly launched HBAR ETF has added a fresh layer to its investment story. This tug-of-war between bearish price action and bullish fundamentals has brought HBAR to a pivotal moment: either these structural tailwinds begin to assert themselves, or the token risks slipping deeper into corrective territory.

At the same time, in a different corner of the market, an early-stage meme-coin presale called AlphaPepe (ALPE) is attracting growing interest - from retail traders and even whales - despite the bear market backdrop.

HBAR Price Action: Support Tested as Volatility Returns

HBAR's recent price action is a study in contrast. On the one hand, it enjoyed a strong run above $0.20 when optimism around its ecosystem and ETF progress peaked. On the other, it has since fallen back below that level, with recent trading data showing closes around $0.17 after several days of heavy selling.

Technical analysts note that HBAR has slipped under short-term support zones near $0.19-$0.20 and is now hovering just above deeper support levels identified around $0.15-$0.16. Sentiment indicators such as money flow and volume suggest that while buyers haven't disappeared, they are more cautious, allowing sellers more influence over short-term moves.

Several recent analyses point out that if HBAR fails to reclaim the $0.16-$0.17 area convincingly, the market could see continued pressure, potentially pushing the token toward the lower bounds of forecast ranges for 2025. Conversely, if it stabilizes here and bounces, it may confirm that current levels represent accumulation rather than full breakdown.

In short, HBAR is at a technical inflection point: its price is under pressure, but not yet structurally broken.

Fundamental Tailwinds: ETF, Google Cloud and Ecosystem Growth

What makes Hedera particularly interesting at this moment is the strength of its underlying fundamentals relative to its recent price weakness.

In late October, the Canary Capital HBAR ETF (ticker: HBR) launched on Nasdaq. Within its first week, the fund crossed $70 million in assets under management, with custody handled by BitGo and Coinbase Custody - a strong initial endorsement for institutional-grade HBAR exposure. For traditional investors who have been hesitant about self-custody, the ETF provides a regulated way to participate in Hedera's growth.

Hedera also recently deepened its ties with Google Cloud. HBAR data has been included in Google Cloud's BigQuery public datasets, enabling enterprises and analysts to run scalable cross-chain analytics on Hedera's ledger. This move complements Hedera's broader positioning as an enterprise-ready network backed by a governing council that includes names like Google, IBM, and other major institutions.

On the network side, Hedera has quietly become one of the most active public ledgers in the industry. Recent ecosystem stats show monthly transaction volume exceeding 1 billion transactions, and the network is capable of 10,000+ transactions per second with finality in a few seconds. Stablecoin inflows have surged as well, with USDC issuance on Hedera jumping more than 100% in a month to above $170 million, signaling deeper liquidity and growing DeFi and payments use cases.

The network is also expanding its DeFi footprint. Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) has recently launched on Hedera, adding BTC liquidity and opening Hedera to so-called "BTCFi" opportunities for Bitcoin holders. Meanwhile, the Hedera Council has rolled out a new partnership program aimed at onboarding more enterprises and Web3 builders into the ecosystem.

Taken together, the launch of the HBAR ETF, the Google Cloud integration, the surge in stablecoin activity, and sustained network throughput all paint a picture of a platform gaining real adoption - even as its token price fights macro-driven headwinds.

This is the essence of Hedera's pivotal moment: the fundamentals look increasingly bullish, but the market has yet to reward them in a sustained way.

From HBAR to AlphaPepe: Where Early-Stage Speculation Is Flowing

While HBAR occupies the "serious infrastructure" lane - enterprise partnerships, ETF access, and network performance - speculative capital is also flowing into a very different kind of project: AlphaPepe (ALPE).

AlphaPepe https://alphapepe.io/ is a meme coin presale on BNB Chain that has stood out in 2025 for doing something most meme projects don't: building transparency and utility from the presale stage. Its model gives investors instant token delivery - ALPE tokens show up in buyers' wallets immediately after purchase, eliminating uncertainty around allocation timing.

Staking is already live, letting holders earn rewards before the token even lists on an exchange, and the project's USDT reward pool has passed $3,500, with payouts occurring in real time. The smart contracts have undergone a full audit with a top score, and liquidity is set to be locked at launch, addressing two of the biggest concerns people have about meme-coin presales.

Most notably, AlphaPepe's community growth has been accelerating precisely while the broader market has been fearful. The presale is nearing 3,700 holders, with more than 100 new participants joining daily. On-chain activity shows that not only small retail buyers but also whales are entering AlphaPepe's presale despite the bear market - a sign that larger players see it as a high-conviction early-stage bet rather than a fleeting hype token.

For many traders, AlphaPepe is becoming the "risk-on" counterpart to more established plays like HBAR: a project where early positioning and community momentum could offer significant upside once market sentiment eventually recovers.

How Investors Are Thinking About HBAR and AlphaPepe

In this kind of market, investors are rarely treating tokens as either/or choices. Instead, they're building blended strategies that pair infrastructure coins like HBAR with high-engagement early-stage plays like AlphaPepe.

Hedera's HBAR appeals to those who want exposure to real-world adoption, ETF flows, and enterprise-grade technology - all anchored by measurable network growth and strong institutional associations. It fits into the "long-term core position" bucket, particularly for those who think the current price weakness is more about macro noise than Hedera-specific flaws.

AlphaPepe, on the other hand, fits into the "speculative but structured" bucket. It offers fixed presale pricing, immediate ownership, active staking, and an expanding community, making it an attractive option for investors who want to stay engaged with the market without being whipsawed by exchange-driven volatility.

Together, HBAR and AlphaPepe illustrate how different segments of the market are evolving: one driven by institutional structures and fundamental adoption, the other driven by community, narrative, and transparent token design.

Conclusion

HBAR is at a pivotal point. Its price has been under pressure, drifting back toward $0.16-$0.18 despite a series of increasingly positive headlines: a newly launched Nasdaq-traded HBAR ETF, deeper integration with Google Cloud's BigQuery, rising stablecoin inflows, and sustained network performance that regularly surpasses a billion transactions per month.

If HBAR can hold its current support and the broader market stabilizes, those fundamentals could begin to show up in price. If it fails to reclaim key levels, however, the market may spend more time in accumulation before any significant move higher.

Against this backdrop, AlphaPepe (ALPE) has emerged as an unlikely winner of the bear market. With instant token delivery, live staking, a USDT pool above $3,500, a perfect audit score, and an investor base closing in on 3,700 holders - including whales joining despite the bearish climate - AlphaPepe is clearly capturing early investor interest.

In a market split between caution and opportunism, Hedera's HBAR offers the long-term, institutionally anchored story. AlphaPepe offers the fast-moving, community-fueled presale narrative. For investors willing to balance both, this moment may turn out to be the inflection point that defined where the next phase of crypto growth began.

Website: https://alphapepe.io/
Telegram: https://t.me/alphapepejoin
X: https://x.com/alphapepebsc

FAQs

What is HBAR's current price range?
HBAR is trading roughly between $0.16 and $0.18, down from recent highs above $0.20.

Why is HBAR considered to be at a pivotal moment?
Because its price is under pressure while its fundamentals - ETF launch, Google Cloud integration, stablecoin inflows, and network volume - are all strengthening, creating a disconnect that could resolve either higher or lower.

What is AlphaPepe?
AlphaPepe is a meme-coin presale on BNB Chain featuring instant token delivery, staking during presale, a live USDT reward pool, audit-backed contracts, and locked liquidity.

How many holders does AlphaPepe have, and are whales participating?
AlphaPepe is approaching 3,700 holders, with more than 100 new addresses joining daily. On-chain data and presale reports indicate that whales are also taking positions, even in the current bear market.

How might investors use HBAR and AlphaPepe together?
HBAR can serve as a long-term infrastructure play tied to real-world adoption and ETF access, while AlphaPepe can serve as an early-stage, high-engagement presale position aimed at capturing community momentum.

AFFILIATE AVENUE LTD
128 City Road, London, England, EC1V 2NX
cs@coinfunnel.io
Jack Duffy

At CoinFunnel, we help blockchain projects and crypto startups grow their audience, increase adoption, and build community through strategic marketing.

This release was published on openPR.