Press release
Ammonia Market Forecast 2035: USD 131.8 Billion Opportunity in Fertilizers and Hydrogen Production
The global Ammonia Market is witnessing significant growth, supported by rising demand for ammonia-based fertilizers, expanding industrial applications, and emerging opportunities in clean energy and green hydrogen production. Valued at USD 79.9 billion in 2024, the market is projected to reach USD 131.8 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 4.7% during the forecast period 2025-2035Ammonia (NH3), a colorless compound with a distinct pungent odor, remains an essential chemical in modern industry. It serves as a critical input in the production of nitrogen fertilizers, explosives, pharmaceuticals, and refrigeration systems, among others. In recent years, the focus on green ammonia-produced through renewable energy-powered electrolysis-has transformed ammonia into a promising carrier of clean hydrogen, further broadening its industrial relevance.
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Key Players:
• BASF SE
• CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
• Orica Limited
• Nutrien Ltd.
• MITSUBISHI GAS CHEMICAL COMPANY, INC.
• Praxair Technology, Inc.
• Achema
• PT Pertamina Gas
• Linde plc
• CNPC
• Jiangsu Huachang Chemical Co., Ltd.
• SABIC
• Other Leading Companies
Market Growth Drivers
1. Increasing Demand for Fertilizers
The largest portion of ammonia production is consumed in fertilizer manufacturing, including urea, ammonium nitrate, and ammonium phosphate. With the global population expected to surpass 9.7 billion by 2050, the demand for food security and high-yield agriculture is expected to keep ammonia consumption strong.
2. Growing Potential in Hydrogen and Clean Energy
Ammonia is gaining traction as a hydrogen carrier and carbon-free fuel. Governments and energy companies are investing in ammonia infrastructure to support hydrogen supply chains. Countries like Japan, Australia, and Saudi Arabia are pioneering large-scale green ammonia projects using renewable energy sources.
3. Expanding Industrial and Refrigeration Applications
Ammonia's use in industrial refrigeration, chemical synthesis, and wastewater treatment continues to expand, particularly with stricter environmental standards pushing industries toward low-GWP (global warming potential) refrigerants.
4. Technological Innovations
The integration of carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies in ammonia plants and advancements in electrolysis-based hydrogen production are improving sustainability and reducing carbon footprints in ammonia manufacturing.
Market Challenges
Despite positive growth, the ammonia market faces several challenges:
Environmental and Safety Risks: Ammonia is toxic and corrosive, requiring stringent handling and safety measures.
Volatile Natural Gas Prices: Since conventional ammonia production depends on natural gas, fluctuations in gas prices directly impact production costs.
High Initial Cost of Green Ammonia Projects: Renewable energy-based ammonia plants require substantial investment and technological support, limiting adoption in some regions.
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Regional Insights
Asia Pacific
Asia Pacific dominates the global ammonia market, accounting for over 45% of global revenue in 2024. Countries like China, India, and Indonesia are major consumers, driven by strong fertilizer demand and expanding agricultural activity. China remains the world's largest ammonia producer and consumer, with significant investments in coal-to-ammonia and green ammonia technologies.
Europe
Europe's ammonia market is being reshaped by environmental regulations and decarbonization goals. The European Union's REPowerEU Plan and Fit for 55 initiative are driving investments in green hydrogen and ammonia to replace fossil fuels in heavy industry and shipping.
North America
The U.S. and Canada are seeing rising investments in low-carbon ammonia plants, supported by tax incentives and energy transition policies. Major fertilizer producers are modernizing facilities to enhance efficiency and reduce emissions.
Middle East & Africa
The Middle East is emerging as a key exporter of both conventional and green ammonia. Saudi Arabia and the UAE are developing large-scale ammonia-to-hydrogen projects aimed at serving global energy markets.
Latin America
Agriculture-driven economies like Brazil and Argentina contribute to rising ammonia consumption in fertilizers, supported by growing crop exports and increasing government support for sustainable farming.
to establish renewable ammonia plants and supply chains for export to Europe and Asia.
Market Trends
Rise of Green Ammonia: Major global energy companies are developing renewable ammonia projects to support decarbonization.
Use as Marine Fuel: Growing acceptance of ammonia as a zero-carbon fuel for maritime transport is transforming energy logistics.
Digitalization of Production: Adoption of AI, process automation, and advanced analytics is improving efficiency in ammonia plants.
Carbon-Neutral Initiatives: Producers are integrating CCS and renewable energy inputs to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
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Future Outlook
The future of the Ammonia Market lies in the transition toward low-carbon and green ammonia. With governments emphasizing sustainability, ammonia's role as a hydrogen carrier and clean fuel will expand dramatically over the next decade. The global push for food security, renewable energy integration, and industrial decarbonization positions ammonia as a cornerstone of the net-zero energy economy.
By 2035, Asia Pacific will continue to lead production and consumption, while Europe and North America will emerge as major markets for green ammonia imports and technology adoption. Companies that invest early in renewable feedstock, carbon-neutral production, and advanced logistics infrastructure will gain a significant competitive edge.
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