Press release
Unroasted Cereal Flakes Market to Reach USD 8,815 Million by 2031 Top 20 Company Globally
The unroasted cereal flakes industry produces minimally processed flaked grains (corn, wheat, oats, rice, barley and similar cereals) intended for use as ready-to-eat breakfast products, ingredient blends and snack applications; unlike roasted or extruded cereals, these flakes are produced by flaking and drying raw or precooked grains without a roasting step, preserving a milder flavor and different functional properties sought by formulators and health-focused brands.In 2024 the global unroasted cereal flakes market size is estimated at USD 5,518 million with a forecast compound annual growth rate of 6.9% thtough 2031, reaching market size USD 8,815 million by 2031. With an average selling price of USD 8,000 per ton, implies 689,762 tons sold in 2024. Factory gross margin is 25%, the implied factory gross profit is USD 2,000 per ton and the corresponding cost of goods sold is USD 6,000 per ton. Cost-of-goods breakdown is dominated by raw grain procurement and ingredient costs, followed by processing, packaging, labor and utilities. Typical single line full capacity production is 3,000 tons per line per year. downstream demand from end-markets is concentrated in ready-to-eat breakfast cereals followed by bakery and foodservice."
Latest Trends and Technological Developments
Manufacturers and brands are focusing on clean-label formulations, whole-grain variants, high-fiber and protein-enriched flakes, and fortified functional formulations to capture health-conscious consumers; product reformulation and premium positioned ancillary flavors (e.g., low-sugar fruit blends, ancient-grain mixes) are increasingly common. Plant-side investment trends favor automation for high-speed flaking, in-line quality inspection (vision systems) and integrated MAP/QR-coded packaging to improve shelf-life and traceability. Notable recent industry news includes major legacy cereal manufacturers continuing capacity rationalization and modernization to defend margins WK Kellogg announced cost-optimization and modernization measures that management said improved margins in early 2025 (February 2025). Regulatory and labeling changes in Asian markets are also shaping product labelling and formulation strategies; for example, Indonesia announced a phased approach to new front-of-pack labeling rules in 2025 that will impact processed food formulations and pack claims. These developments reinforce two simultaneous trends: premiumization and stricter local compliance, both of which push FMCG firms toward investment in more flexible flaking and packaging lines.
Nature's Best Health Foods Inc., a major manufacturer of private-label organic cereals and snack bars in North America, consistently purchases bulk shipments of unroasted oat flakes and rye flakes from GrainCraft Organic Millers to serve the growing demand for minimally processed, clean-label ingredients. Their most recent quarterly contract was for 500 metric tons of unroasted oat flakes at a price of USD 850 per metric ton, ensuring a steady supply for their production lines.
At its state-of-the-art facility in Europe, Kellogg's utilizes unroasted wheat flakes as the primary ingredient for its flagship Special K® Original cereal. In this application, the unroasted flakes are mixed with other ingredients, subjected to a high-pressure steam and extrusion process to form the distinctive crisp shapes, and then toasted to a golden brown. This process relies on the initial unroasted state to allow for proper flavor development and texture control during final toasting. Kellogg's consumption of this key raw material is substantial, with a single production line processing over 1,000 kg of unroasted wheat flakes per hour, representing a critical input valued at approximately USD 700 per metric ton.
Asia is a pivotal growth region driven by urbanization, rising disposable incomes and expanding modern retail and e-commerce penetration; China and India account for large absolute volumes while middle-income Asian markets show the fastest percentage growth. Consumer shifts toward convenience meals, increasing morning meal Westernization among younger cohorts, and stronger supermarket and online grocery channels are elevating per-capita consumption of flaked cereals. Input dynamics vary: domestic cereal production in major Asian grain-producing countries provides cost advantages in some markets while import dependence and logistic bottlenecks raise costs in others, affecting factory margins and pricing strategies regionally. Several regional market studies highlight Asia as a strategic focus for exporters and multinational brands seeking volume growth and emerging premium segments.
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Unroasted Cereal Flakes by Type:
Corn Based Flakes
Wheat Based Flakes
Oat Based Flakes
Barley Based Flakes
Others
Unroasted Cereal Flakes by Size:
Small Flakes (25mm)
Micro Flaked Form
Others
Unroasted Cereal Flakes by Features:
Organic Flakes
Fortified Flakes
Low Sugar
High Fiber
Others
Unroasted Cereal Flakes by Flavor:
Plain / Natural Flavor
Honey Coated
Fruit Flavored
Chocolate Coated
Others
Unroasted Cereal Flakes by Shape:
Flat Flakes
Rolled Flakes
Crushed Flakes
Layered Structures
Others
Unroasted Cereal Flakes by Application:
Ready to Eat Cereals
Food Service
Industrial Use
Granola Components
Others
Global Top 20 Key Companies in the Unroasted Cereal Flakes Market
Kellogg Company
Nestlé
General Mills
PepsiCo
Post Consumer Brands
Nature's Path Foods
Maselis N.V.
Bob's Red Mill
King Arthur Baking
Heartside Food Solutions
Organic Milling
B&G Foods
Bagrrys
Marico
Calbee
Cargill Inc
Archer Daniels Midland
Kameda Seika
COFCO Group
Yihai Kerry
Regional Insights
Within ASEAN, Indonesia stands out as a rapidly expanding market for breakfast cereals and flakes with higher-than-average growth projections relative to developed markets; local market research identifies double-digit growth trajectories in some forecast windows as household penetration, modern retail expansion and on-the-go consumption increase. Market participants in ASEAN face region-specific dynamics such as import tariffs, highly price-sensitive consumers in value tiers, and growing interest in fortified and convenience products. Indonesias updated labeling and nutritional claims environment (policy steps announced in 2025) will push manufacturers toward reformulation and clearer on-pack nutrition communication an operational influence that favors agile manufacturers with R&D and flexible production lines. Distributors and local private-label manufacturers are expanding private-label flake SKUs, creating competitive pricing pressure but also opening contract-manufacturing opportunities for large-capacity flaking plants in the region.
Key challenges include raw material price volatility (grain harvest variability and logistics), intense private-label price competition that compresses margins in the mainstream tiers, regulatory shifts (nutrient/labeling rules across Asian markets), and the capital intensity of building modern, flexible flaking and automated packaging lines. Supply-chain disruptions and rising energy costs can rapidly erode factory gross margins if procurement and hedging strategies are weak. Additionally, consumer demand fragmentation simultaneous growth in premium, health-packaged and value segments forces manufacturers to balance SKU proliferation against line-efficiency losses. Established multinational brands must also contend with local entrants and regional manufacturers that can undercut on price or local taste preferences.
Firms should prioritize flexible production lines that support rapid SKU changeover, invest in traceability and on-pack transparency to meet tightening label rules, and pursue vertical integration (grain sourcing contracts) or hedging to stabilize COGS. Targeting premium and fortified segments can capture higher margins, but success requires marketing, distribution partnerships and validated health claims. For ASEAN market entry, joint ventures with local manufacturers or toll-manufacture agreements reduce capital intensity and accelerate shelf presence. E-commerce-optimized SKUs (smaller packs, subscription bundles) and B2B ingredient sales (supplying snack manufacturers and bakeries) are viable diversification routes to balance retail-seasonal demand. Where automation is being deployed, ROI horizon shortens if lines reduce downtime and packaging changeover times. Relevant macro and legal trends such as Indonesias labeling timetable should be incorporated into product roadmaps immediately to avoid costly repackaging.
Product Models
Unroasted cereal flakes are minimally processed grain products produced by flattening or rolling whole grains without the roasting stage, preserving more of their natural nutrients and fiber. They are commonly used as healthy breakfast ingredients, in bakery formulations, or as base materials for instant food mixes.
Corn-Based Flakes made from milled or steamed corn kernels that are flattened into thin flakes without roasting. Notable products include:
Corn Flakes Kelloggs: Classic lightly sweetened corn flakes widely consumed as a breakfast cereal.
Nestlé Corn Flakes Nestlé S.A.: Popular global brand offering vitamin-enriched corn flakes.
Post Corn Flakes Post Consumer Brands: Crispy unroasted flakes made from milled corn.
Natures Path Corn Flakes Natures Path Foods: Organic, gluten-free corn flakes using non-GMO corn.
Crownfield Corn Flakes Lidl Stiftung & Co. KG: Affordable European private label breakfast cereal.
Wheat-Based Flakes produced by rolling whole or cracked wheat grains into thin flakes after partial steaming. Examples include:
Weetabix Flakes Weetabix Ltd.: Crunchy wheat flakes rich in fiber and wholegrain nutrients.
Post Shredded Wheat Flakes Post Consumer Brands: 100% whole wheat cereal with no added sugar.
Hovis Wheat Flakes Premier Foods plc: Traditional UK wheat flakes made from stone-ground flour.
Bobs Red Mill Wheat Flakes Bobs Red Mill Natural Foods: USA wholegrain wheat flakes ideal for baking.
Emco Wheat Flakes Emco spol. s r.o.: Nutrient-rich flakes used for muesli and granola.
Oat-Based Flakes created by steaming and rolling whole oat groats into flat flakes, preserving their beta-glucan fiber and natural oils. Notable products include:
Quaker Oat Flakes PepsiCo, Inc.: Renowned global brand offering pure rolled oat flakes.
Bobs Red Mill Oatmeal Flakes Bobs Red Mill Natural Foods: Wholegrain oats ideal for porridge or baking.
Nature Valley Oat Flakes General Mills, Inc.: Oat flakes used in cereal bars and breakfast mixes.
Nairns Oat Flakes Nairns Oatcakes Ltd.: Scottish wholegrain oats for clean, energy-rich meals.
Alnatura Oat Flakes Alnatura Produktions- und Handels GmbH: Organic oat flakes from European farms.
Barley-Based Flakes made from pearled or whole barley grains that are steamed and rolled into flakes. Notable products include:
Suma Barley Flakes Suma Wholefoods: UK cooperative brand offering organic whole barley flakes.
Arrowhead Mills Barley Flakes Hain Celestial Group: USA natural food brand emphasizing fiber content.
Bio Planet Barley Flakes Bio Planet S.A.: Polish organic barley flakes for health food markets.
ClearSpring Barley Flakes Clearspring Ltd.: Japanese-inspired natural food brand offering mild barley flakes.
Davert Barley Flakes Davert GmbH: Premium European organic flakes used in muesli and cereals.
The unroasted cereal flakes market is a resilient, mid-single-digit growth industry globally with stronger growth pockets across Asia and ASEAN, notably Indonesia; margin pressure from raw material cost swings and competitive pricing is offset by opportunities in premium, fortified and clean-label segments and by investments in flexible automation and packaging. Strategic positioning that combines cost control, formulation R&D and channel diversification especially e-commerce and B2B ingredient sales will determine winners in the next five to eight years.
Investor Analysis
This report highlights investable levers: stable end-market growth in Asia/ASEAN provides volume upside; price points plus factory economics create a transparent margin framework for model building; capacity metrics allow investors to size greenfield or brownfield capex and compute payback scenarios; regulatory and labeling timelines (e.g., Indonesias 2025 labeling moves) identify near-term reinvestment risk and differentiation opportunities for compliant brands; and trend signals (premiumization, fortification, automation) indicate where higher-return segments and M&A targets will likely appear. Investors can use the synthesis of price, margin, capacity and regional growth to prioritize targets (asset-heavy co-packers with long-term grain contracts, premium brands with scalable e-commerce, or ingredient suppliers selling to snacks/bakery markets). In short, the report supplies the concrete variables needed to build investment models (top-line CAGR, realized price per ton, margin per ton, line output per year, and regulatory risk) and to prioritize where capital will compound most effectively.
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5 Reasons to Buy This Report
It consolidates 2024 baseline market size and CAGR into a single forecast framework for Asia/ASEAN strategy decisions.
It provides factory-level economics usable directly in financial models.
It summarizes region-specific regulatory developments that materially affect formulation and packaging compliance.
It benchmarks full-line capacity assumptions and downstream demand splits to inform capex and utilization planning.
It synthesizes market and competitive trends for actionable M&A, JV, and contract-manufacturing targets.
5 Key Questions Answered
What was the global market size for unroasted cereal flakes in 2024 and what growth rate should investors use for forecasts?
What are realistic industry price and factory margin assumptions to use in unit-economics models?
How is demand split regionally across Asia and within ASEAN and which markets show fastest growth?
What are the primary cost-of-goods components and a practical percentage breakdown for factory-level planning?
What recent regulatory or corporate events should acquirers and operators factor into near-term strategy and capital deployment?
Chapter Outline
Chapter 1: Introduces the report scope of the report, executive summary of different market segments (by region, product type, application, etc), including the market size of each market segment, future development potential, and so on. It offers a high-level view of the current state of the market and its likely evolution in the short to mid-term, and long term.
Chapter 2: key insights, key emerging trends, etc.
Chapter 3: Manufacturers competitive analysis, detailed analysis of the product manufacturers competitive landscape, price, sales and revenue market share, latest development plan, merger, and acquisition information, etc.
Chapter 4: Provides profiles of key players, introducing the basic situation of the main companies in the market in detail, including product sales, revenue, price, gross margin, product introduction, recent development, etc.
Chapter 5 & 6: Sales, revenue of the product in regional level and country level. It provides a quantitative analysis of the market size and development potential of each region and its main countries and introduces the market development, future development prospects, market space, and market size of each country in the world.
Chapter 7: Provides the analysis of various market segments by Type, covering the market size and development potential of each market segment, to help readers find the blue ocean market in different market segments.
Chapter 8: Provides the analysis of various market segments by Application, covering the market size and development potential of each market segment, to help readers find the blue ocean market in different downstream markets.
Chapter 9: Analysis of industrial chain, including the upstream and downstream of the industry.
Chapter 10: The main points and conclusions of the report.
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