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Renewable Energy Certificate Market 2025 - Growth Outlook, FASB Rule Change & Regional Trends
Renewable Energy Certificate Market
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Recent Industry Developments in the Renewable Energy Certificate market 2025
In August 2025, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) finalized its first comprehensive accounting rule for how U.S. companies must treat environmental credits, including Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs). Under the new standard, companies are required to record credits at cost when they are used or sold, and if the credits are unlikely to be used, their value must be tested for impairment.
Public companies will be required to apply the rule starting in 2028, while private companies must comply by 2029, with early adoption permitted. While certain disclosure requirements were reduced in response to concerns over revealing sensitive business information, companies will still need to report the income statement impacts of these credits.
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Regional Renewable Energy Certificate (REC) Trends & Growth Opportunities
Asia-Pacific (India, SE Asia, Australia): In Aug 2025, IEX cleared 1.65M RECs @ ₹360, matching July's price but with volumes down ~48% YoY. Australia's LGC prices remain under pressure from oversupply, with slight August recovery. Singapore continues as the regional I-REC hub. Opportunities include locking Indian RECs at stable prices and forward-contracting LGCs.
North America (US & Canada): Hourly RECs are gaining momentum, with PJM-GATS enabling 24/7 renewable matching. Maryland's Brighter Tomorrow Act introduces a 1.5x multiplier for "Certified SRECs," boosting premium solar project economics. Opportunities lie in time-matched REC offtakes and certified solar development.
Europe (EU & UK): EU GoOs remain in contango, favoring forward purchases, while UK REGO prices have dropped ~70% in three months, creating a buyer-friendly market. France's Aug 13 GoO auction sustains liquidity. Buyers can secure long-term GoO contracts and capitalize on discounted REGOs.
Latin America: Brazil leads in I-REC demand, driven by free-market migration and strong corporate procurement in industrial and service sectors. Low-cost hydro-backed I-RECs can be enhanced with quality labels to attract premium buyers.
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Mergers & Acquisitions in the Renewable Energy Certificate 2025
In February 2025, ONGC NTPC Green Pvt. Ltd. acquired Ayana Renewable Power, adding a substantial 4.1 GW portfolio of solar and wind projects to its operations. Additionally, Brookfield Asset Management completed the sale of a 1.6 GW solar and wind asset portfolio in India to Gentari Renewables India during this period. While these deals were not REC-specific, the significant increase in renewable energy generation capacity they bring is expected to indirectly influence REC supply and trading dynamics.
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