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E-Commerce Expansion Fuels Growth In The Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Market Driving Market Acceleration in the Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Industry, 2025

08-14-2025 08:08 AM CET | Logistics & Transport

Press release from: The Business Research Company

Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle

Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle

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How Large Will the Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Market Size By 2025?
The market size of heavy-duty autonomous vehicles has experienced significant expansion in the past few years. This industry is projected to increase from a value of $146.41 billion in 2024, to $179.51 billion in 2025, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.6%. Several factors have contributed to this historical growth, including rising demand for improved operational efficiency and safety measures, reduction in human errors during operations, increased project completion rates, heightened concern for driver safety, and substantial investments in research and development.

How Big Is the Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Market Size Expected to Grow by 2029?
Anticipated to experience tremendous expansion in the forthcoming years, the market capacity for heavy-duty autonomous vehicles is projected to escalate to $402.5 billion by 2029, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 22.4%. The predicted growth during this period can be traced back to an increased necessity for automobile safety and efficacy, stronger focus on automobile sustainability, escalating need for freight efficiency enhancement, demand for optimizing last-mile delivery logistics, and progression in the creation of intelligent infrastructure. Dominant trends for the forecast period encompass the uptake of completely autonomous vehicles, the rising usage of battery electric vehicles, the expansion of inductive and supercharging technologies, the evolution of AI-operated navigation systems, advancements in machine learning algorithms, and the amplification of remote monitoring potentialities.

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Which Key Market Drivers Powering Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Market Expansion and Growth?
The heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market is predicted to be spurred on by the growth of the burgeoning e-commerce industry. The realm of e-commerce includes enterprises that conduct their transactions of goods and services on the internet, using online platforms to streamline commercial exchanges. The evolution of this sector is fueled by aspects like the widespread reach of the internet, mobile trade, digital payment methods, and incorporation of social media. Heavy duty autonomous vehicles (HDAVs) aid in facilitating e-commerce by offering quicker, more reliable long-haul transportation, reducing human mistakes and enhancing the efficacy of the supply chain, thereby improving the pace and safety of deliveries. For instance, consumer eCommerce was forecasted to generate $285.60 billion in revenue by 2025 in November 2023 as reported by The International Trade Administration, a Department of Commerce situated in the US. This represented 36.3% of the UK retail market as of January 2021. In addition, eCommerce earnings in the UK are predicted to witness an average yearly growth of 12.6% by 2025. Therefore, the burgeoning e-commerce industry is fueling the expansion of the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market.

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Which Fast-Growing Trends Are Poised to Disrupt the Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Market?
Leading companies in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market are concentrating their efforts on creating cutting-edge technology, such as a new generation of autonomous public transport, to boost efficiency and increase safety in urban mobility solutions. This modern breed of autonomous public transit represents the forefront of innovation in public transportation systems, capable of navigating highways, interacting with traffic, and ensuring the safe transportation of passengers. This leads to a more reliable and sustainable choice for public transport. For example, Schaeffler AG, an automotive industry company based in Germany, teamed up with VDL Groep, a manufacturing company based in the Netherlands in August 2023, to introduce self-driving electric shuttles. These shuttles will use Mobileye's autonomous driving systems, which have achieved Level 4 (SAE) for full self-driving capability, eliminating the need for a human driver. With dimensions of approximately 5 meters in length, 2.2 meters in width, and 2.8 meters in height, each shuttle has six fixed and three movable seats, accommodating up to nine passengers. The vehicle boasts a carrying capacity of 1,000 kg and weighing up to 5,000 kg, it can reach speeds of up to 70 km/h.

What Are the Emerging Segments in the Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Market?
The heavy-duty autonomous vehiclemarket covered in this report is segmented -

1) By Vehicle Type: Heavy Trucks, Heavy Buses, Roboshuttles
2) By Sensor Type: Light Detection And Ranging (LiDAR), Radio Detection And Ranging (RADAR), Camera, Other Sensor Types
3) By Level Of Autonomy: Semi-Autonomous Vehicles, Autonomous Vehicles
4) By Capacity: 3.5 - 7.5 Tons, 7.5 - 16 Tons, Above 16 Tons
5) By Application: Logistics, Public Transportation, Construction And Mining, Other Applications

Subsegments:
1) By Heavy Trucks: Autonomous Freight Trucks, Long-Haul Autonomous Trucks, Autonomous Dump Trucks, Autonomous Delivery Trucks, Electric Autonomous Trucks, Autonomous Construction Trucks
2) By Heavy Buses: Autonomous City Buses, Autonomous Shuttle Buses, Autonomous Coach Buses, Electric Autonomous Buses, Autonomous Transit Buses
3) By Roboshuttles: Autonomous Airport Shuttles, Autonomous Public Transit Shuttles, Autonomous Corporate Campus Shuttles, Electric Roboshuttles, Low-Speed Autonomous Shuttles For Urban Mobility

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Who Are the Global Leaders in the Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Market?
Major companies operating in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market are Volkswagen AG, Caterpillar Inc., Daimler Truck AG, AB Volvo, Traton Group, Continental AG, PACCAR Inc., Baidu Inc., Schaeffler AG, MAN Truck & Bus, Yutong Bus Co. Ltd., Mobileye N.V., Anhui Ankai Automobile Co. Ltd., Torc Robotics, Embark Trucks Inc., EasyMile, Aurora Innovation Inc., Einride AB, Navya Technology, TuSimple Holdings Inc.

Which are the Top Profitable Regional Markets for the Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Industry?
North America was the largest region in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market in 2024. Asia-Pacific is expected to be the fastest-growing region in the forecast period. The regions covered in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa.

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