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Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Market Poised for 22.4% Growth, Set to Hit $239.23 Billion by 2029

03-27-2025 10:31 AM CET | Logistics & Transport

Press release from: The Business Research Company

Heavy Duty Autonomous Vehicle Market Size

Heavy Duty Autonomous Vehicle Market Size

How Are the key drivers contributing to the expansion of the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market?
The progression of the e-commerce industry is anticipated to significantly fuel the surge of the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market in the future. E-commerce, which is made up of businesses that engage in buying and selling products and services via the internet, uses online mediums to expedite commercial deals. The impetus for the e-commerce industry's enhancement is ascribed to factors like the prevalence of the internet, mobile commerce, electronic payment methods, and integration of social media. Heavy-duty autonomous vehicles, or HDAVs, empower e-commerce by providing more reliable, speedier long-distance conveyance, lessening human mistakes, and refining the effectiveness of the supply chain - all contributing to improved delivery precision and safety. For example, in November 2023, consumer eCommerce was forecasted by the International Trade Administration, a Department of Commerce located in the US, to bring in a revenue of $285.60 billion by 2025, which would constitute 36.3% of the UK retail market as of January 2021. Furthermore, eCommerce earnings in the UK are foreseen to rise at an average yearly rate of 12.6% by 2025. Thus, the burgeoning e-commerce industry is instigating the advancement of the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market.

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What growth opportunities are expected to drive the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market's CAGR through 2034?
In recent times, there has been a tremendous expansion in the market size of heavy-duty autonomous vehicles. The market, which is currently valued at $146.41 billion in 2024, is predicted to grow to a staggering $179.51 billion in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.6%. Multiple factors contribute to this growth trajectory during the historical period. Most notably, there is an increased demand for operational efficiency alongside a focus on minimizing human errors during operations, the need for advanced safety measures, better execution times for extensive projects, growing concerns for driver's safety, and a rising trend in investments for research and development.

The market size of heavy-duty autonomous vehicles is projected to experience a significant increase in the coming years, estimated to reach $402.5 billion in 2029, with an annual compound growth rate (CAGR) of 22.4%. This predicted expansion over the forecast period can be linked to a rising emphasis on the safety and efficiency of vehicles, interest in enhanced sustainability in automotive, increasing requirements for freight efficiency enhancement, needs for last-mile delivery logistics optimization, and smart infrastructure development. The prediction period highlights trends such as the adoption of entirely autonomous vehicles, a rise in the usage of battery electric vehicles, advancement in inductive and supercharging technologies, the creation of AI-based navigation systems, the progression of machine learning algorithms, and enhancement in remote monitoring features.

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What are the emerging trends shaping the future of the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market?
Leading firms in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle sector are concentrating on innovations such as the introduction of a new breed of autonomous public transport to increase operational efficiency and enhance safety in city mobility solutions. This innovative development in public transportation is designed to safely transport passengers while navigating highways and interacting with traffic, making it a more reliable and eco-friendly choice for public transportation. For example, Schaeffler AG, a German automotive company, joined forces with VDL Groep, a Dutch manufacturing firm, in August 2023 to roll out autonomous electric shuttles. These shuttles will be equipped with Mobileye's self-driving technology, which has achieved the Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE) Level 4 designation for fully autonomous driving, thus eliminating the need for human interaction. Each shuttle measures approximately 5 meters in length, 2.2 meters in width, and 2.8 meters in height and can carry a maximum of nine passengers with six fixed and three movable seats. Capable of carrying up to 1,000 kg of cargo and with an overall weight capacity of 5,000 kg, these vehicles can reach speeds of up to 70 km/h.

Which growth-oriented segments of the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market are leading the industry's development?
The heavy-duty autonomous vehiclemarket covered in this report is segmented -

1) By Vehicle Type: Heavy Trucks, Heavy Buses, Roboshuttles
2) By Sensor Type: Light Detection And Ranging (LiDAR), Radio Detection And Ranging (RADAR), Camera, Other Sensor Types
3) By Level Of Autonomy: Semi-Autonomous Vehicles, Autonomous Vehicles
4) By Capacity: 3.5 - 7.5 Tons, 7.5 - 16 Tons, Above 16 Tons
5) By Application: Logistics, Public Transportation, Construction And Mining, Other Applications

Subsegments:
1) By Heavy Trucks: Autonomous Freight Trucks, Long-Haul Autonomous Trucks, Autonomous Dump Trucks, Autonomous Delivery Trucks, Electric Autonomous Trucks, Autonomous Construction Trucks
2) By Heavy Buses: Autonomous City Buses, Autonomous Shuttle Buses, Autonomous Coach Buses, Electric Autonomous Buses, Autonomous Transit Buses
3) By Roboshuttles: Autonomous Airport Shuttles, Autonomous Public Transit Shuttles, Autonomous Corporate Campus Shuttles, Electric Roboshuttles, Low-Speed Autonomous Shuttles For Urban Mobility

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What regions are leading the charge in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market?
North America was the largest region in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market in 2024. Asia-Pacific is expected to be the fastest-growing region in the forecast period. The regions covered in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa.

What companies are at the forefront of innovation in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market?
Major companies operating in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market are Volkswagen AG, Caterpillar Inc., Daimler Truck AG, AB Volvo, Traton Group, Continental AG, PACCAR Inc., Baidu Inc., Schaeffler AG, MAN Truck & Bus, Yutong Bus Co. Ltd., Mobileye N.V., Anhui Ankai Automobile Co. Ltd., Torc Robotics, Embark Trucks Inc., EasyMile, Aurora Innovation Inc., Einride AB, Navya Technology, TuSimple Holdings Inc.

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What Is Covered In The Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Global Market Report?

•Market Size Forecast: Examine the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market size across key regions, countries, product categories, and applications.
•Segmentation Insights: Identify and classify subsegments within the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market for a structured understanding.
•Key Players Overview: Analyze major players in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market, including their market value, share, and competitive positioning.
•Growth Trends Exploration: Assess individual growth patterns and future opportunities in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market.
•Segment Contributions: Evaluate how different segments drive overall growth in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market.
•Growth Factors: Highlight key drivers and opportunities influencing the expansion of the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market.
•Industry Challenges: Identify potential risks and obstacles affecting the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market.
•Competitive Landscape: Review strategic developments in the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market, including expansions, agreements, and new product launches.

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