Electric Commercial Vehicle Market - Size, Share, Growth & Trends 2030

The global electric commercial vehicle market is projected to grow from USD 70.9 billion in 2024 to USD 255.6 billion by 2030, registering a CAGR of 23.8%.

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The stringent regulations to reduce emissions and promote sustainable transportation practices have incentivized businesses to transition to electric vehicles, aligning with global efforts to combat climate change. Additionally, advancements in battery technology have led to increased energy density, longer driving ranges, and faster charging times, addressing some of the primary concerns associated with the feasibility of electric vehicles in commercial applications. Moreover, the decreasing costs of electric vehicle components, including batteries and electric drivetrains, coupled with government subsidies and incentives, have made electric commercial vehicles more financially viable for businesses, resulting in a lower total cost of ownership over the vehicle's lifecycle compared to traditional internal combustion engine vehicles. Furthermore, growing consumer awareness and demand for environmentally friendly products and services have prompted businesses to embrace electric vehicles as part of their corporate sustainability initiatives, further propelling market growth.

Development of wireless EV charging technology for on-the-go charging

Wireless charging eliminates the need for physical connections between the vehicle and the charging infrastructure, offering greater convenience and flexibility for fleet operators. This technology enables ECVs to charge automatically while parked or idling, minimizing downtime and maximizing operational efficiency. For businesses with large fleets, such as delivery services or public transportation agencies, wireless charging offers a seamless and hassle-free solution for keeping vehicles powered throughout the day, thereby enhancing productivity and reducing operational costs.

Moreover, wireless charging technology addresses some of the key challenges associated with the adoption of ECVs, such as range anxiety and limited charging infrastructure. By enabling continuous charging without the need for frequent stops at charging stations, wireless charging systems can extend the driving range of ECVs and alleviate concerns about battery range limitations. This increased range and flexibility make ECVs more practical and appealing for a wider range of applications, including long-haul transportation and urban delivery services. As wireless charging technology continues to advance and become more widespread, it has the potential to accelerate the adoption of ECVs and drive their growth in the commercial vehicle market.

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NMC batteries hold the largest market share during the forecasted period.

NMC (nickel-manganese-cobalt) batteries contain several materials with distinct properties, high density, and efficiency. These batteries are ideal for use in electric commercial vehicles as they have a low self-heating rate during operation. They are known for their high energy density, allowing them to store a considerable amount of energy in a relatively compact and lightweight package. This characteristic is crucial for electric commercial vehicles as it directly influences the vehicle's range on a single charge. Many leading battery manufacturers, such as CATL (China), LG Energy Solutions (South Korea), Panasonic Corporation (Japan), and BYD (China), produce NMC batteries. NMC (Nickel Manganese Cobalt) batteries are widely adopted in the electric vehicle market, including electric commercial vehicles. These batteries have achieved a balance between cost and performance, making them a cost-effective choice for electric commercial vehicles. This cost-effectiveness is crucial for the commercial sector, where the total cost of ownership is a significant consideration. Many leading OEMs also incorporate NMC batteries in their electric trucks, including Mercedes-Benz e-Actros, Volvo FL Electric, BYD T series, and Rivian R1T. These batteries have a higher energy density than LFP batteries, and the declining cost of NMC batteries further drives the segment.

Asia Pacific is the largest market for Electric Commercial Vehicle during the forecast period.

The Asia Pacific region is projected to be the largest ECV market by 2030. The Asia Pacific market is dominated by China, which has large sales volumes for electric commercial vehicles, especially electric buses. With favorable government regulations and the increasing adoption of electric buses in public transport fleets, India is expected to be a high-potential market for electric commercial vehicles in the future. Asia Pacific is home to many OEMs, especially Chinese companies, dominating the global electric commercial vehicle market. Japanese companies also play a vital role in automotive technological developments in Asia Pacific. For instance, in May 2023, Toyota Motor Corporation (Japan) collaborated with PACCAR Inc. (US) to expand their joint efforts to develop and produce hydrogen fuel cell (FCEV) Kenworth and Peterbilt trucks, which are powered by Toyota hydrogen fuel cell modules. All such developments in the region will drive the market for electric commercial vehicles during the forecast period.

Key Market Players

The Electric Commercial Vehicle market is dominated by established players such as BYD (China), Mercedes-Benz Group AG (Germany), Yutong (China), AB Volvo (Sweden), and Ford Motor Company (US) and others. These companies manufacture and develop new ECVs as per the market requirement. These companies adopted strategies such as product developments, deals, and others to gain traction in the market.

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