Grain Alcohol Market Dynamics & Global Forecast to 2026

The global grain alcohol market size is estimated to be valued at USD 12.2 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach USD 14.9 billion by 2026, recording a CAGR of 4.1% during the forecast period. Various factors have played a major role in driving the market growth across the globe. The effects of rapid westernization & urbanization have led to the rising demand for grain alcohol in countries other than Europe and the US. A sharp increase in consumer demand for food products containing grain alcohol and rising demand from the food processing industry is also propelling the market.

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Market Dynamics:

Drivers: Increasing global beer production and popularity of craft beer

Beer is a widely consumed alcohol beverage, and the production of beer has increased significantly during the last decade. Increasing global demand for beer production is driving the breweries to source grain alcohol from barley. The usage of alcohol manufactured from barely in the beer industry is projected to account for a large share of the market. The growing popularity of craft beer and local beer is likely to further increase the demand for domestic malt over the next five years.

Restraints: Awareness about harmful effects of alcohol consumption

The Ministry of Health across various countries, namely, Australia, Brazil, the US, and India, has taken up initiatives on the harmful effects of alcohol consumption. The alcohol market is highly price sensitive; therefore, even a slight increase in its price by the government or any other regulatory bodies can have a significant impact on the consumption levels. This in turn may affect the grain alcohol market for beverage applications adversely, leading to a fall in demand.

Opportunities: Emerging markets such as Asia Pacific, South America, Middle East and Africa

Due to changing lifestyles, and the rising middle-class population and their disposable incomes, the market for grain alcohol applications have increased substantially in the emerging markets of Asia Pacific, South America, and the Middle East & Africa. These untapped markets have a wide availability of cost-effective labor, advanced technologies, and relatively relaxed regulations on the use of food grade alcohol. Natural sources of grain alcohol such as sugarcane, grains, corn, and other fruits & vegetables are abundantly available in the Asian, African, and Latin American countries. The leading market players have been expanding their facilities in China, India, and Brazil, considering the future potential demand in these markets.

Challenges: Fluctuating prices of raw materials

Fluctuations in the supply of raw materials and quality of the produce define the price of food grade alcohols. Increase in the price of raw materials has led to one of major challenges for the food grade alcohols market. Over the last few years, the prices of ingredients have been fluctuating and this trend is expected to continue over the next few years. The prices of crops such as corn, wheat, and barley for producing ethanol have been fluctuating, resulting in uncertainties in the volume produced.

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The European grain alcohol market is the largest in the world, and despite very high per capita consumption levels, market growth has remained attractive and stable. The presence of a large food & beverage industry offers the European grain alcohol market a prominent consumer base with opportunistic growth prospects. The market in this region is estimated to be driven by development in the Eastern & Southeastern European countries. Europe is the one of the largest markets for sugar polyols. As consumers' demand for low-calorie food is high, the food industry prefers the use of sugar polyols, which are similar to sugar but with low-calorie value. These sugar polyols act as bulking agents, which provide the mass required and sweeten the product without adding any additional calories.

Key players in this market include ADM (US), Cargill (US), Merck Group (Germany), Roquette Frères (France), MGP Ingredients (US), Cristalco (France), Grain Processing Corporation (US), Wilmar Group (Singapore), Manildra Group (Australia), Glacial Grain Spirits (US).

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