Dynamic Wealth Management Headlines: Nigeria’s Economic growth and Statistics: Interest Rate, Real GDP, Employment and Inflation
In case of controlling inflation, the attention of the executive arm of government must be sought. There should be a coordinated platform to enable CBN and the presidency to work together. The fiscal policy coming from the presidency must be in tune with monetary policy of the apex bank. The point here is that as monetary tool functionality lapsed with regards to checkmating inflationary trends, then the need for putting fiscal policy into action becomes apparent.
Nigerian economy is weak in spite of the robust growth it has registered. The source for the generation of foreign exchange from the economy is limited and the economy is not export orientated. A major problem of the economy; it’s the inability to produce enough jobs to commensurate to the robust economic growth. As for naira even with its recent appreciation, it is also weak and malleable when compares to dollar.
To enhance the value of naira the country’s war chest must be strengthened in order to withstand the threat coming from speculators. The country’s reserve stood at US$ 32.64 billion in December and the inability to replenish the dwindling reserve in spite of high price of oil was due the constant defense of the weaken naira. The CBN has eventually restored to the devaluation of naira up N160 to $1. But the bulwak is not the panacea because it is focusing on the symptoms of the problem not on the root cause. The country does not produce arrays of agricultural and finished products to export in order to raise a quantifiable foreign exchange that can make naira stronger and that can discourage currency speculators.
Central Bank of Nigeria may be happy with partial removal of fuel subsidy but that cannot accomplish the targeted purpose of propping up foreign reserve. There are immediate effects and implications that come with the removal of the fuel subsidies. The first major problem will be higher inflation which may accelerate to 13 percent or more. Then the prices of agricultural products and household products will escalate due to transportation and energy cost. The standard of living will likely to depress and that is not a good trend in a country with 70 percent of the population survives with less than two dollars a day. The increasing poverty does augur well with the stability of society and that can be translated to higher crimes and poor security. Poverty and insecurity discourage economic development and have the propensity to encourage capital flight and weaker attraction of direct investments in the non-oil sector of the economy.
The economic growth of the Gross Domestic Product at fourth quarter of 2011 was 8. 68 percent while inflation rate was at 10.3 percent in December. The fourth quarter GDP growth was impressive but it did not make a difference on the people due to lack of jobs and increasing poverty.
According to the Domestic Macroeconomic and Financial Developments issued by Sanusi’s Central Bank of Nigeria the “real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 8.68 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2011 up from 6.64, 7.72, and 7.40 per cent in the 1st , 2nd and 3rd quarters, respectively. The overall GDP growth rate in 2011 was estimated by the NBS at 7.69 per cent, marginally lower than the 7.87 per cent recorded in 2010. This projection is based on the estimated Quarter III and Quarter IV growth rate of 7.40 per cent and 8.68 per cent respectively. The 2012 Budget proposal assumed a growth rate of 7.2 per cent.” Without doubt the data looks wonderful on piece of paper, how far does it fare in the real world?
Looking at the data the Central Bank of Nigeria should have been excited together with streets and villages of Nigeria of the surging economic growth buttressed by the rosy numbers but that was not apparent because it did not translate into more jobs. The unemployment rate stood at almost 24 percent (23.9) at the fourth quarter according to National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). But the real unemployment rate is definitely higher when urban joblessness among the youths is factored in and rural unemployment statistic is properly gathered. Due scientific and technological limitations, the unemployment number was not correct.
Sanusi Lamido speaking at the lecture he delivered at London School of Economics could not explain succinctly the real reason why the unemployment was escalating with the rosy economic growth in the country. His words, “Major bottlenecks and supply-side constraints, including enabling legal framework” have “slowed the responsiveness of some CBN reform measures.” And he continues, “The link between major growth drivers, particularly agriculture and manufacturing, continue to be weak and the required costs of the expected infrastructural needs of the economy are daunting and remained a major challenge to financial sector, “the need for a low-cost long-term infrastructure financing requires more than the CBN alone can tackle.” All he was saying that there is no answer for what is happening in the economy with regards to economic growth and higher unemployment.
Sausi’s CBN did some good: The Recapitalization and Quantitative Easing (QE) brought back confidence in the banking sector. The down side is that over stimulation and over supply of money may induce higher inflation. The billions of naira that was used to propped up and bail out collapse banks probably overheats the economy and that could trigger higher inflation. That will make the job of controlling inflation more difficult.
Notwithstanding, CBN deserved huge credit for salvaging the failed banks but the banking sector cannot function alone to the exclusion of the whole economy. CBN cannot do it alone; the country’s economic problem cannot be resolve by moping of the liquidity and tightening of the monetary tool to rein in inflation. A country with structural problem needs a committed and visionary leadership.
Nigeria’s economy needed to be over hauled to make it more productive, not only relying on oil export. The problem of infrastructures must be tackled not with lip service but with pragmatism. The refinery must be built and those ones in progress must be completed to bring down the price of petrol and to meet the local demands. Roads, schools, electricity and most important the security must be improved. Political instability and social unrest are gateway for capital flight and investments repatriation. Nigeria must reject these ailments that can threaten and deter economic growth.
Emeka Chiakwelu is the Principal Policy Strategist at Afripol Organization. Africa Political and Economic Strategic Center (Afripol) is foremost a public policy center whose fundamental objective is to broaden the parameters of public policy debates in Africa. To advocate, promote and encourage free enterprise, democracy, sustainable green environment, human rights, conflict resolutions, transparency and probity in Africa. http://afripol.org. email@example.com
At the Dynamic Wealth Management Zurich, Switzerland, we realize that no two clients are the same. Every client has different financial needs, goals, and plans. For this reason, the DWM offers a wide array of investment options to suit every client. We tailor your investment strategy to be as individual as you are.
Dynamic Wealth Management
Dynamic Wealth Management Zurich
14 Wall Street
New York City, New York 10005
212 618 1700
This release was published on openPR.
Permanent link to this press release:
Please set a link in the press area of your homepage to this press release on openPR. openPR disclaims liability for any content contained in this release.
You can edit or delete your press release Dynamic Wealth Management Headlines: Nigeria’s Economic growth and Statistics: Interest Rate, Real GDP, Employment and Inflation here
News-ID: 212991 • Views: 1282
More Releases from Dynamic Wealth Management Zurich
Dynamic Wealth Management Headlines: German Bunds Advance as French Borrowing Co …
German bonds rose as French borrowing costs climbed at an auction, stocks declined and European industrial orders increased less than analysts predicted, fueling concern the debt crisis is feeding an economic slump. Italian and Spanish bonds slid as Europe’s bailout fund sells notes at a yield spread almost seven times its first issue a year ago. Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos said his nation faces “the immediate risk” of a default
Dynamic Wealth Management Headlines: Europe,China Manufacturing Drops on Impact …
Dec. 1 (Bloomberg) — Manufacturing weakened from China to Europe last month as the euro region’s debt crisis darkened the outlook for the global economy. China’s manufacturing contracted in November for the first time since February 2009 as the property market cooled and Europe’s turmoil cut export demand. In Britain and the 17-nation euro area, manufacturing shrank at the fastest pace in about 2 1/2 years as the region edged toward
Dynamic Wealth Management Headlines: Opportunities for Africa from the global ec …
The recent global economic crisis has provided us in Africa with an opportunity to review how we do business and think about the future, a future that needs to be grounded in fairness, integrity and sustainable development as opposed to greed and cronyism that has all too often been the case in the past. I believe that a key factor for the future will be the role played by the
Dynamic Wealth Management Headlines: AIG Share Sale Raises $8.7 Billion
The U.S. Treasury Department and American International Group Inc. (AIG) raised $8.7 billion in a share offering, bringing the insurer a step closer to independence after its 2008 bailout. The Treasury sold 200 million shares yesterday at $29 each, compared with the closing price of $29.46 on the New York Stock Exchange. The government, which retains a majority stake, needs to sell shares at an average of about $28.73 to recover
More Releases for Nigeria
Nigeria Agriculture Market, Nigeria Agriculture Industry, Nigeria Agriculture Li …
Nigeria Agriculture could be a branch of the economy in Nigeria, providing employment for approximately 35% of the population. It’s the most supply of livelihood for many Nigerians. The Agricultural sector is formed from four sub-sectors: Crop Production, Livestock, Forestry and Fishing. The country could be a leader in varied forms of agricultural production, like palm oil, cocoa beans, pineapple, and sorghum. It’s the biggest producer of sorghum within the world
BLAST FREEZER PRICE IN NIGERIA
Akpo Oyegwa Refrigeration Company Blast freezers are built to coordinate with low temperature chill room and ultra-low temperature freezer room to achieve prompt temperature decreasing to avoid microorganism activity and biological reaction. Akpo Oyegwa Refrigeration Company quality Blast Freezers Meat, fish and poultry can all harbour considerable amounts of bacteria in their fresh, raw form. These bacteria multiply alarmingly quickly over just a few days if left in unsuitable conditions. However, they can
HVAC COMPANIES IN NIGERIA
AKPO OYEGWA REFRIGERATION COMPANY Whether your project is a new build or you are updating an existing building. AKPO OYEGWA REFRIGERATION COMPANY is a full service commercial and industrial HVAC mechanical service contractor with office in Lagos State, Nigeria. With in-depth industry relevant experience AKPO OYEGWA REFRIGERATION COMPANY mechanical services team specialises in offering custom solutions and installations of both commercial and industrial HVAC systems. As an expert full service HVAC contractor
Promotion - Webcore Nigeria
Webcore Nigeria is passionate about using the power of the Internet to grow any business. Webcore Nigeria can assist you by doing all the social media promotion on your behalf. Choose and order the service you need. Webcore Nigeria provide fast delivery time, so with just a few clicks you will be able to start receiving online promotions. Facts about Webcore Nigeria: Nigerian owned and operated
Air conditioning Contractors in Nigeria.
Akpo Oyegwa Refrigeration Company is a professional Air conditioning / Refrigeration contractor operating in Nigeria. They been providing high quality services for residential and commercial customers for over 35 years. All these gathered experience and skill are sufficient to declare Akpo Oyegwa Refrigeration Company as the leading Air conditioning contractor in the country. They are the preferable choice when it comes to air conditioning supply, repair, maintenance and installation. Join the
SOCIAL MEDIA MARKETING IN NIGERIA BY WEBCORE NIGERIA
Webcore Nigeria social media marketing. Webcore Nigeria is a leading digital marketing agency in Nigeria that operates using e-commerce. Webcore Nigeria supports brands with different aspects of their social media marketing strategy by organizing paid social advertising, influencer marketing, publish press releases, social media page verification and more. Webcore Nigeria is a full-service digital marketing organization. Webcore has been providing a wide variety of services to clients of all industries since 2016. Webcore