Global Agricultural Commodity Market Poised to Double from US$ 5,765.34 Billion in 2024 to US$ 11,201.04 Billion by 2033, Achieving 7.8% CAGR | Key Plyers:- Cargill Inc., Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), Bunge Limited

The Global Agricultural Commodity Market reached US$ 5,765.34 billion in 2024, rising to US$ 6,168.58 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach US$ 11,201.04 billion by 2033, growing at a strong CAGR of 7.8% during the forecast period from 2026 to 2033.The agricultural commodity market is growing due to rising global food demand, population growth, and urbanization. Increased adoption of modern farming techniques, government support, climate-resilient crops, and expanding international trade further drive market expansion and price stability.

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Key Development 2026-

✅ In January 2026, Tradyon launched an AI-first platform and mobile app designed for agricultural commodity traders, addressing challenges like fragmented buyer discovery, lost trade context, and slow decision-making. The platform integrates conversations, contacts, and market signals to provide actionable intelligence, enabling faster, more informed trading decisions.

✅ In January 2026, Arya.ag raised ₹725 crore (about US$80.6 million) in a Series D funding round led by GEF Capital Partners to expand climate-smart agriculture and reduce post-harvest food losses. The capital will be used to deepen farmer engagement, strengthen technology-led solutions, and improve resilience against climate and market risks.

✅ In February 2025, the Indian Agriculture Ministry approved trading of 10 additional commodities on the e-NAM platform, increasing the total tradable items to 231. Newly added products include dried tulsi leaves, besan, wheat flour, chana sattu, asafoetida, dragon fruit and water chestnut, following consultations with key stakeholders.

✅ In September 2025, APEDA introduced an initiative known as 'Bharati' aimed at providing support for Indian agri-food exports, which would eventually help the country reach its export target of $50 billion by 2030. Under this initiative, which would commencing from September 2025 onwards, 100 agri-food and agri-tech startups shall be included in the incubation program for a period of three months. The initiative would promote agri-food products like GI products, organic foods, and processed foods, as well as agri-tech products like AI, blockchain, and IoT products.

✅ In January 2025, Bayer acquired assets of camelina germplasm and intellectual property from Smart Earth Camelina Corp. The current aim of the company is to be a significant contributor to the biomass-based feedstock segment of the renewable fuels market. The rationale behind this move comes from the fact that the market size of the renewable diesel fuel and aviation fuel markets still needs to be reached by 2040.

Recent M&A Activity-

✅ Marex Group plc acquired Agrinvest Commodities (June 2025) - Marex agreed to acquire Agrinvest Commodities, a Brazilian agricultural commodities business that connects buyers and sellers of physical corn and soybeans, expanding Marex's physical commodities footprint in Brazil and diversifying earnings.

✅ Saudi Agricultural & Livestock Investment Company (SALIC) increased controlling stake in Olam Agri (Feb 2025) - SALIC acquired an additional 44.6% stake in Olam Agri, bringing its ownership to 80.01% of the agricultural commodities trader. The transaction strengthens SALIC's access to global grain, oilseed, and edible oil supply chains for long-term food security.

✅ Confluence Genetics acquired assets of Benson Hill (May 2025) - Following Benson Hill's bankruptcy, Confluence Genetics bought key assets including over 350 soybean genetic patents, enhancing its high‐protein soybean genetics portfolio for animal feed applications.

✅ Grupo Don Mario (GDM) acquired AgReliant Genetics (June 2025) - GDM, a plant genetics and seed R&D company, completed its acquisition of AgReliant Genetics, a major corn and soybean seed developer with an extensive North American genetic pool, bolstering GDM's global seed offerings.

Market segmentation-
The agricultural commodity market is segmented by Type into hard commodities (like grains, corn, wheat, and oilseeds) and soft commodities (such as sugar, coffee, cocoa, and cotton), with hard commodities dominating due to staple food demand and their role in global food security; growth is driven by population expansion and biofuel needs, underscoring their significance in stabilizing supply chains and economic stability. Component segmentation focuses on product forms like cereals, pulses, and livestock-derived items (meat, dairy), where cereals lead owing to their foundational role in diets worldwide; drivers include rising protein consumption and processing innovations, highlighting their importance for nutritional security and trade volumes.

Deployment divides into online trading platforms and offline (traditional exchanges/physical markets), with online gaining traction via digital efficiency; growth stems from blockchain traceability and real-time pricing, amplifying market accessibility and reducing intermediaries for broader economic participation. Application spans food processing, animal feed, biofuels, and industrial uses, with food processing as the largest due to direct consumer demand; key drivers are urbanization and sustainable energy shifts, emphasizing its critical role in addressing hunger and energy transitions.

End-User includes B2B (agribusinesses, exporters) and B2C (retail consumers), where B2B prevails through bulk trading; expansion is fueled by export policies and e-commerce, signifying its pivotal influence on global GDP and farmer livelihoods. Geography covers North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, South America, and LAMEA, led by Asia-Pacific's rapid urbanization; drivers like climate-resilient farming propel growth, positioning the region as vital for future supply amid shifting trade dynamics.

Market Drivers:-
The world's population pressure, projected to exceed 9 billion by 2050, fuels a persistent rise in demand for staple crops and protein‐rich commodities. Demand increases translate into higher production and expanded international trade volumes annually, underpinning broad market expansion.

Shift Toward Healthier Diets and Consumer Preferences
Heightened health awareness has led to rising consumption of nutritious foods; for example, consumers seeking more protein grew from 59 % in 2022 to 71 % in 2024. This dietary shift increases the market appetite for diverse agricultural commodities, strengthening demand across segments.

Technological Advancements Enhancing Productivity and Efficiency
Adoption of precision farming, advanced irrigation, and digital tools has boosted yields, reduced waste, and improved supply chain transparency. These innovations translate to measurable efficiency gains and help producers meet demand with lower unit costs.

Digital Marketplace and Trading Platform Adoption
Increased use of digital agricultural commodity trading platforms has accelerated price discovery, improved market access, and shortened trade cycles, driving liquidity and enabling faster transaction execution.

Sustainability and Traceability Trends Driving Premium Segments
Consumer and regulatory emphasis on traceable, sustainably sourced commodities has expanded specialty segments (, organic and environmentally certified products), incentivizing producers to adopt sustainable practices and capture value premiums.

Biofuel and Industrial Demand Expansion
Rising demand for biofuels (, ethanol and biodiesel) has increased the use of agricultural commodities such as corn, soybeans, and sugarcane as feedstocks, broadening market applications beyond food consumption.

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Market key players:-

Cargill Inc. - Holds 15% of the global agricultural commodity market; strong in grain trading, oilseeds, and integrated supply chain solutions.

Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) - Approx. 12% market share; excels in oilseed processing, corn milling, and global commodity logistics.

Bunge Limited - Around 10% share; specializes in oilseed crushing, grain trading, and food ingredient solutions worldwide.

Louis Dreyfus Company (LDC) - 8% market share; known for diversified agricultural trading, risk management, and global supply network.

COFCO International - Estimated 6-7% share; focuses on grain, oilseed trading, and agribusiness investment with strong China-market presence.

DOMINATING MARKET:
Asia-Pacific's Market Dominance Driven by Large Population, High Crop Production, and Favorable Farming Conditions.
Asia-Pacific is considered to be one of the highest contributors to the share of the world market in agricultural commodities due to a number of factors like its large population, agro-climatic conditions, large agricultural production base, and high agricultural productivity. Also, countries like China and India are considered to be among the largest propellers and consumers of agricultural commodities like rice, wheat, and sugar; they possess large agricultural availability and high per capita labor. Besides, there is an increase in modern technology.

India Agricultural Commodity Market Outlook
The country possesses a higher share in Asia-Pacific agricultural commodity markets owing to its large agricultural land and the number of farmers. The positivity has been seen in foodgrains that now total higher production compared to 265.05 million tons in 2014-15. The production of foodgrains is now increased to an estimate of 347.44 million tons in 2024-25. The favorable climatic conditions make India produce various crops through different seasons. The list of crops includes rice, wheat, pulses, and spices. To increase agricultural commodity exports further, the Bharati initiative was launched in September 2025. The initiative is to provide support to 100 agri food and agri-tech startups.

China Agricultural Commodity Market Trends
China holds a significant share in the APAC agricultural commodity market due to its sheer capacity and export participation. For instance, the export volume figure for Chinese agricultural products, from the beginning of the 14th five-year plan (from 2021 to 2025), rose from 544.34 billion yuan or US$77.83 billion in 2021 to 732.75 billion yuan in 2024, which is an increase of 34.6% over the previous year to demonstrate the strong foothold for the production and export demand. At the end of the first 11 months of 2025, the export volume for agricultural products from China had encompassed 224 countries and regions, which demonstrates the key position held by China on its territory regarding the APAC market.

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