Track Glycerine Price Chart Historical and Forecast

Executive Summary

The global glycerine market experienced varied trends across North America, APAC, Europe, and MEA during the third quarter of 2025. In North America, refined glycerine prices rose due to constrained biodiesel by-product availability, while APAC saw strong price gains driven by elevated palm oil costs and tight domestic supply. Europe registered moderate upward movements as pharmaceutical and personal care demand supported spot pricing. Across all regions, production costs, logistics, and trade flows remained key determinants of pricing, with export competition, port congestion, and feedstock volatility influencing quarterly trends. Looking ahead, glycerine prices are expected to see modest upward pressure in most regions, underpinned by steady downstream demand and supply-side constraints.

Introduction

Glycerine remains a critical commodity in industries spanning pharmaceuticals, personal care, food processing, and biofuels. Its pricing reflects a complex interplay of feedstock costs, particularly palm oil and tallow, production efficiency, domestic and international supply-demand balances, and logistical dynamics. Q3 2025 witnessed differential regional behaviors, reflecting local production constraints, demand patterns, and import-export dynamics. This report provides a comprehensive review of glycerine price trends, historical movements, production and cost structures, procurement behavior, and outlook for the coming quarters.

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Global Price Overview Q3 2025

Global glycerine pricing in Q3 2025 showed a general upward trend, although the magnitude varied by region:

| Region | Country | Quarter-over-Quarter Change (%) | Average Price (USD/MT) | Spot Price Movement | Production Cost Trend | Demand Outlook |

| North America | USA | +6.01 | 2004.33 | Tracked Price Index, constrained supply | Moderation, lower palm oil | Constructive, pharma & personal care |
| APAC | Indonesia | +11.22 | 1077.00 | Volatile due to logistics bottlenecks | Elevated palm oil costs | Strong, FMCG, pharma & food |
| Europe | Spain | +4.34 | 464.33 | Weekly volatility, moderate upward trend | Eased, lower palm oil & fatty alcohol | Positive, pharma & personal care |
| MEA | Saudi Arabia | -2.22 | 1103.00 | Range-bound | Eased, lower palm oil | Steady, pharma & personal care |

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Historical Quarterly Review

North America

Q1 2025 began with steady upward trends driven by tightening supply and strong demand across pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, and food additives. Logistics and geopolitical factors constrained imports and supported pricing.

Q2 2025 saw continued upward movement in refined glycerine, with crude grades experiencing moderate volatility due to temporary inventory surpluses. Production costs remained elevated from palm oil feedstocks, but momentum eased toward quarter-end.

Q3 2025 reflected a 6.01% increase quarter-over-quarter, with refined glycerine prices benefiting from biodiesel by-product supply constraints. Spot prices followed the index closely, while production costs moderated slightly as palm oil costs softened.

APAC

Q1 2025 in Indonesia showed an upward trajectory due to supply constraints from biodiesel mandates and rising palm oil costs. Demand from pharmaceuticals and cosmetics reinforced the bullish trend.

Q2 2025 experienced mixed trends. Refined glycerine prices increased steadily, while crude glycerine faced minor softening due to stabilized supply and port congestion easing.

Q3 2025 saw strong quarterly gains (+11.22%), reflecting logistics bottlenecks, tight domestic inventories, elevated palm oil feedstock costs, and steady FMCG and pharmaceutical demand.

Europe

Q1 2025 saw fluctuating prices in Germany, with initial upward movement in January, followed by a temporary dip in February due to oversupply and weaker seasonal demand, before recovering in March.
Q2 2025 stabilized with moderate price trends as improved logistics and inventories alleviated early-quarter tightness.
Q3 2025 observed a 4.34% increase in Spain, driven by stronger downstream demand, especially in pharmaceuticals and personal care, while lower palm oil and fatty alcohol values eased production costs.

MEA

Q1 2025 experienced upward price movements in Saudi Arabia, supported by tight local supply, strong downstream demand, and elevated palm oil costs.
Q2 2025 maintained stability with modest volatility. Improved Southeast Asian exports eased pressure on prices, while domestic demand remained steady.
Q3 2025 saw a 2.22% decline, driven by increased import availability and softer feedstock costs, though logistical premiums and cautious procurement constrained more significant decreases.

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Regional Analysis Q3 2025

North America

The U.S. glycerine market reflected a positive quarter with refined prices averaging USD 2004.33/MT, up 6.01% from Q2. Reduced biodiesel by-product output limited refined glycerine supply, supporting spot prices. Buyers continued to secure volumes for pharmaceutical and personal care applications, sustaining demand. Production costs eased moderately due to lower palm oil prices, while domestic inventories remained steady. Logistics were smooth, with minimal plant outages, contributing to low price volatility. Export demand provided incremental support, though tariff and trade uncertainties limited downward pressure.

Key Drivers

Biodiesel by-product constraints
Strong pharmaceutical and personal care demand
Moderated production costs
Steady logistics and moderate inventories

APAC

Indonesia led APAC price movements with a significant 11.22% increase quarter-over-quarter. Elevated palm oil prices, biodiesel mandates diverting feedstock, and container shortages created supply tightness. Strong domestic demand from FMCG, pharmaceuticals, and food sectors absorbed available refined volumes, keeping procurement competitive. Production costs rose as crude glycerine feedstock became more expensive. Trade flows were affected by export competition and tariff risks, while port congestion amplified short-term scarcity.

Key Drivers

Elevated palm oil feedstock costs
Tight domestic supply and logistics bottlenecks
Strong downstream demand in pharma, FMCG, and food
Export competition and tariff concerns

Europe

Spain reported moderate price gains of 4.34%, with refined glycerine averaging USD 464.33/MT. Pharmaceutical and personal care demand strengthened spot bids. Production costs eased as palm oil and fatty alcohol netbacks softened. Weekly spot volatility occurred, but overall the Price Index maintained upward momentum. Imports and inventory builds provided supply cushion, while tourism-driven retail demand and export enquiries added buying support.

Key Drivers

Strong downstream demand
Reduced production cost pressures
Stable logistics and inventory levels
Seasonal and export-driven procurement

MEA

Saudi Arabia saw a slight decline in the Glycerine Price Index (-2.22%) to USD 1103.00/MT. Improved import availability from Southeast Asia eased supply tightness, lowering upward price pressures. Palm oil costs softened production expenses. Freight and security premia impacted landed costs, while downstream demand from pharmaceuticals and personal care remained steady but insufficient to absorb exports fully.

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Key Drivers

Improved import availability
Lower feedstock costs
Freight and security premiums
Steady downstream procurement
Production and Cost Structure Insights

Globally, glycerine production is sensitive to feedstock prices and availability, primarily palm oil and tallow. Refined glycerine typically commands a premium due to stricter quality specifications and consistent downstream demand. Q3 2025 production costs exhibited moderation in North America and Europe due to lower palm oil costs, while APAC faced elevated costs from constrained crude supply and biodiesel mandates. Logistics, port congestion, and freight rates influenced landed costs across regions, with tighter supply chains amplifying short-term price movements.

Procurement Behavior and Outlook

Buyers in pharmaceuticals and personal care sectors prioritized refined glycerine to ensure quality and continuity, often favoring spot or short-term contracts amid volatile feedstock costs.

Export inquiries from North America and APAC provided incremental support to local price indices.

Procurement in Europe balanced between opportunistic buying during stable supply and strategic inventory replenishment ahead of seasonal demand.

In APAC, limited domestic availability and container shortages intensified competition, prompting buyers to secure prompt deliveries rather than stockpile.

Forecast: Modest upside in most regions is expected as inventories tighten and steady downstream demand sustains procurement pressure. Supply-side constraints from biodiesel-linked feedstock diversion and logistical challenges will remain key market determinants.

FAQ

Why did glycerine prices rise in North America in Q3 2025
Reduced biodiesel by-product output tightened refined glycerine supply, while firm demand from pharmaceuticals and personal care limited downward movement.

Why did prices increase sharply in APAC
Elevated palm oil costs, biodiesel mandates, port congestion, and resilient downstream demand created tight supply conditions, supporting significant price gains.

Why did Europe see moderate price increases
Pharmaceutical and personal care demand strengthened spot pricing, while lower feedstock costs eased production pressures, keeping increases moderate.

Why did MEA experience a price decline
Improved imports from Southeast Asia, softer palm oil prices, and cautious downstream buying eased upward price pressures.

How do production costs influence glycerine pricing
Feedstock prices (palm oil, tallow) directly affect crude and refined glycerine costs. Higher costs translate to higher spot and index prices, while cost moderation supports price stability.

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