Press release
Track Tetradecane Price Index Historical and Forecast
Executive Summary
The global Tetradecane market displayed mixed pricing trends across regions during the period from Q4 2024 through Q3 2025, shaped by shifting demand dynamics, feedstock cost volatility, evolving procurement behavior, and persistent logistics challenges. North America experienced fluctuating price movements driven by feedstock cost pressures and downstream demand variability from coatings, automotive, and industrial segments. APAC markets remained influenced by production overcapacity, seasonal restocking cycles, and export flows, while Europe faced sustained downward pressure amid weak industrial demand and high inventories.
During the quarter ending September 2025, North American Tetradecane prices strengthened modestly, supported by firmer feedstock costs and pre-Q4 restocking activity. APAC prices rose due to seasonal procurement and firm crude benchmarks, although cautious downstream buying tempered upside potential. In contrast, European prices softened as sluggish demand from paints, coatings, and automotive sectors weighed heavily on the market despite some stabilization in crude oil prices.
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Across 2025, procurement strategies shifted toward short-term purchasing, inventory optimization, and cautious forward buying amid uncertain macroeconomic conditions. Production cost trends remained closely tied to paraffin and crude oil pricing, while trade flows and logistics disruptions played a critical role in shaping regional availability. Looking ahead, moderate volatility is expected into late 2025, with price movements influenced by seasonal demand cycles, feedstock trends, and downstream recovery patterns.
Introduction
Tetradecane is a key hydrocarbon used across diverse applications including solvents, lubricants, coatings, specialty chemicals, pharmaceuticals, and personal care formulations. Its relevance in high-performance industrial and consumer applications makes it sensitive to fluctuations in crude oil markets, paraffin feedstock pricing, and industrial demand cycles.
The period from late 2024 through 2025 has been marked by changing consumption patterns, regulatory shifts affecting solvent usage, and evolving supply chain dynamics. Demand from automotive manufacturing, paints and coatings, personal care, and specialty lubricants has remained a key determinant of market direction. At the same time, producers faced varying cost pressures linked to feedstock volatility, energy pricing, and logistics constraints.
This report provides a comprehensive overview of Tetradecane price trends, quarterly movements, cost structure insights, supply conditions, and regional market performance across North America, APAC, and Europe. It also outlines procurement outlooks and forecasts while highlighting the value of real-time market intelligence in procurement decision-making.
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Global Price Overview
Globally, Tetradecane prices demonstrated region-specific divergence across 2025. North America and APAC showed periodic price recoveries driven by seasonal restocking and feedstock strength, whereas Europe remained subdued due to weak downstream demand and inventory accumulation. Crude oil benchmarks and paraffin feedstock prices remained the primary cost drivers, transmitting volatility across regional markets.
Trade flows from Asia into Europe exerted pressure on European pricing, while stable imports supported North American availability. Procurement behavior across all regions leaned toward cautious purchasing, inventory liquidation, and short-term buying amid uncertain demand forecasts.
Regional Analysis
North America
North America exhibited dynamic price behavior throughout 2025. During Q1 2025, prices declined steadily due to weak demand from automotive and coatings sectors, high inventories, and limited new orders. March prices reached approximately USD 1,660 per MT as manufacturers maintained moderate output and buyers refrained from bulk procurement. Reduced crude oil prices partially offset freight challenges, limiting cost escalation.
In Q2 2025, the Tetradecane Price Index declined by 7.2 percent quarter-over-quarter, driven by bearish sentiment and subdued solvent demand. Inventory accumulation and reduced procurement from downstream sectors pressured spot prices. Production costs softened due to declining feedstock prices, while restocking toward the end of the quarter provided limited support.
By Q3 2025, prices stabilized and modestly increased. The Price Index rose by 4.2 percent quarter-over-quarter, supported by firmer feedstock costs and pre-Q4 restocking. However, easing freight rates reduced import costs, limiting upward pressure. Demand from automotive coatings and industrial maintenance sectors remained steady, while stable production operations ensured supply continuity. Seasonal procurement supported pricing despite adequate inventories.
APAC
The APAC market experienced volatility driven by overcapacity, seasonal demand patterns, and export dynamics. In Q1 2025, prices fluctuated amid weak demand from automobiles and coatings, oversupply conditions, and cautious procurement. India observed price declines due to reduced procurement, while China recorded notable drops amid weak downstream activity.
In Q2 2025, APAC prices declined by 5.94 percent quarter-over-quarter as post-holiday sluggishness and overcapacity weighed on the market. Increased production and limited export demand pressured spot prices, despite stable manufacturing activity. Procurement remained selective, and inventory liquidation dominated trading strategies.
During Q3 2025, prices rebounded modestly. The Price Index in China rose by 4.45 percent quarter-over-quarter, supported by seasonal restocking and firmer crude benchmarks. Solvent consumption increased, tightening spot availability. However, cautious procurement and export competition limited price escalation. Logistics constraints and port congestion further influenced availability and trade flows.
Europe
European markets remained subdued across most of 2025 due to weak industrial demand and inventory overhang. In Q1 2025, prices declined amid cautious buying behavior and reduced consumption from coatings and automotive sectors. Although pharmaceutical demand provided some stability, broader industrial usage remained inconsistent.
In Q2 2025, prices continued to decline due to oversupply, high input costs, and subdued downstream demand. Construction slowdowns and solvent reformulations under VOC regulations further reduced consumption. Competitive imports from Asia exacerbated downward pressure.
By Q3 2025, the Price Index softened further as weak demand persisted. Sellers offered discounts to clear stocks, while inventory accumulation constrained market recovery. Despite some firmness in crude oil prices, producers were unable to pass through higher costs due to lack of downstream pull. Spot prices declined throughout the quarter, reflecting persistent market weakness.
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Historical Quarterly Review
Q4 2024: Markets remained resilient across regions, supported by demand from personal care and specialty chemicals. Automotive lubricant applications and sustainability trends strengthened demand. Supply chain disruptions and feedstock volatility posed challenges, but sentiment remained positive.
Q1 2025: Prices declined globally due to weak downstream demand, oversupply, and cautious procurement. Macroeconomic uncertainty and inventory overhang limited recovery.
Q2 2025: Continued bearish sentiment prevailed, particularly in APAC and Europe. North America experienced price declines due to weak procurement and stable feedstock costs.
Q3 2025: Mixed recovery observed. North America and APAC prices rose modestly, while Europe remained under pressure due to weak demand and high inventories.
Production and Cost Structure Insights
Tetradecane production costs closely tracked crude oil and paraffin feedstock pricing. Energy expenses, refining margins, and logistics costs also influenced regional pricing. In North America, Gulf Coast feedstock pressures sustained production costs. APAC producers faced rising paraffin and energy costs in late 2025, while European producers benefited from declining feedstock prices earlier in the year. However, weak demand limited margin expansion across regions.
Procurement Behavior and Supply Conditions
Buyers adopted cautious procurement strategies throughout 2025, emphasizing short-term purchases and inventory optimization. Seasonal restocking cycles influenced market spikes, particularly in APAC and North America. Oversupply conditions persisted in Europe, while trade flows from Asia shaped global availability. Port congestion, freight rate fluctuations, and import scheduling disruptions influenced supply conditions across regions.
Trade-Flow and Logistics Impacts
Global trade flows significantly influenced pricing dynamics. Asian exports into Europe pressured regional prices, while steady imports supported North American supply. Logistics disruptions including port congestion and freight volatility affected procurement timing and price formation. Reduced freight costs in late 2025 lowered import costs in North America, moderating price increases.
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Tetradecane Quarterly Price Summary Table
Region Quarter / Period Key Price Trend / Index Movement Average / Spot Price Reference
North America Q4 2024 Resilient market, stable growth Positive sentiment
North America Q1 2025 Downward trend ~USD 1,660 per MT (March)
North America Q2 2025 -7.2% QoQ Price Index Soft pricing
North America Q3 2025 +4.2% QoQ Price Index ~USD 1,702.33 per MT (CFR)
APAC Q4 2024 Stable growth Positive sentiment
APAC Q1 2025 Fluctuating, bearish close Price declines in March
APAC Q2 2025 -5.94% QoQ Price Index Soft pricing
APAC Q3 2025 +4.45% QoQ Price Index ~USD 1,588.33 per MT
Europe Q4 2024 Resilient demand Stable sentiment
Europe Q1 2025 Declining trend Softening prices
Europe Q2 2025 Continued decline Discounted offers
Europe Q3 2025 Price softening Oversupply-driven weakness
Procurement Outlook
Procurement outlook into late 2025 remains cautious. Buyers are expected to maintain conservative purchasing strategies amid uncertain downstream demand recovery. Seasonal restocking could provide short-term support, particularly in coatings and automotive sectors. However, oversupply risks and macroeconomic uncertainty may cap price upside. Feedstock volatility and logistics disruptions will remain key risk factors for procurement planning.
Forecast Outlook
Moderate volatility is anticipated in Q4 2025. North America and APAC may experience modest upward pressure from seasonal demand and feedstock costs, while Europe could stabilize if downstream demand improves. Price direction will largely depend on crude oil benchmarks, paraffin availability, and industrial consumption recovery.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What drives Tetradecane price fluctuations
Prices are driven by crude oil benchmarks, paraffin feedstock costs, downstream demand from coatings and automotive sectors, and logistics costs.
Why did prices rise in North America and APAC during Q3 2025
Seasonal restocking demand and firmer feedstock costs supported pricing, while supply conditions remained balanced.
Why did prices decline in Europe during 2025
Weak industrial demand, high inventories, and competitive imports pressured spot prices throughout the year.
How do logistics affect Tetradecane pricing
Freight rates, port congestion, and import scheduling influence availability and procurement costs, impacting regional pricing.
What is the procurement outlook for buyers
Buyers are expected to remain cautious, focusing on short-term procurement and inventory optimization amid uncertain demand recovery.
How ChemAnalyst Supports Buyers with Market Intelligence
ChemAnalyst provides real-time pricing data, weekly market updates, and in-depth analysis for over 450 commodities, enabling buyers to make informed procurement decisions. Through comprehensive price forecasts, ChemAnalyst helps procurement teams anticipate market movements and optimize purchase timing. Supply-chain intelligence including plant shutdown tracking, logistics monitoring, and trade-flow analysis empowers organizations to mitigate risk and ensure continuity of supply. With expert analysts across major global trading hubs, ChemAnalyst delivers actionable insights that support strategic sourcing, cost optimization, and competitive advantage in dynamic commodity markets.
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