Service Handgun Market Forecast to Reach USD 3.07 Billion by 2030 - Rising Demand for Optic-Ready Pistols and Striker-Fired Systems - Mordor Intelligence

The service handgun market is on track for steady expansion, with the market size estimated at USD 2.27 billion in 2025 and projected to reach USD 3.07 billion by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of around 6.25 % over the forecast period. This growth is being driven largely by modernization programs across military and law enforcement agencies, transitions toward striker-fired pistol platforms, and a growing preference for optic-ready handguns in duty applications.

As nations across Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America, and other regions upgrade their sidearm inventories, the service handgun market is expected to see evolving demands in terms of caliber, materials, and ergonomic features. This press release outlines key trends, market segmentation, important industry players, and the overall outlook for the service handgun market.

Report Overview: https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/service-handgun-market?utm_source=openpr

Key Trends in the Service Handgun Market

Transition to Striker-Fired & Optic-Ready Pistols: Across many procurement specifications, striker-fired pistols have become the standard choice due to their simpler trigger systems, consistent reset, and ease of maintenance. In 2024, striker-fired mechanisms commanded over 72 % share of the service handgun market. Many new service pistol contracts now specify optics compatibility (e.g., red-dot mounting footprints) and modular accessory rails to allow future upgrades without replacing the entire weapon.

Caliber Standardization & 9 mm Dominance: 9 mm caliber continues to dominate the service handgun space, holding a share of over 61 % in 2024. Many forces prefer 9 mm because it balances controllable recoil, ammunition capacity, logistics, and availability. Some defense and law enforcement programs favor alternative calibers for specific roles, but 9 mm remains the anchor for general issue service handguns.

Polymer Frame Adoption: Handgun manufacturers increasingly favor polymer frames over traditional steel or aluminum, thanks to lower weight, corrosion resistance, and cost advantages. Polymer-frame models represent about 66 % of the service handgun market by value in 2024. This shift supports ergonomic customization (interchangeable backstraps, modular grip panels) in service applications.

Dual Growth in Military & Law Enforcement Demand: Although law enforcement currently accounts for a larger share (around 63.9 % in 2024), the military sector is forecast to grow at a slightly higher rate (approx. 6.77 % CAGR). Military modernization programs in many countries now include sidearm replacements, especially for officers, support units, and specialized forces, which helps broaden demand beyond traditional law enforcement markets.

Regional Momentum & Supply Chain Pressures: North America remains the largest regional market (holding about 40.1 % share in 2024) , while Asia-Pacific is forecast to grow the fastest at approximately 8.21 % CAGR through 2030, driven by indigenous manufacturing efforts and increasing defense budgets. At the same time, supply chain vulnerabilities particularly in materials such as nitrocellulose and specialty polymers are prompting industry players to invest in vertical integration, strategic supplier partnerships, and localized production.

Check out more details and stay updated with the latest industry trends, including the Japanese version for localized insights:

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Market Segmentation

By Type
-Revolvers
-Pistols

By Operation Mechanism
-Single-Action
-Double-Action
-Striker-Fired

By Caliber
-9 mm
-.40 S&W
- .45 ACP
-Other Calibers

By Material
-Stainless Steel
-Polymer Frame
-Aluminum Alloy

By End-User
-Military Law
-Enforcement
-Others

By Geography
-North America
-Asia-Pacific
-Europe
-South America
-Middle East & Africa

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Key Players in the Service Handgun Market

GLOCK, Inc.
SIG SAUER, Inc.
Heckler & Koch GmbH
Fabbrica d'Armi Pietro Beretta S.p.A.
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.

Explore more insights on service handgun market competitive landscape: https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/service-handgun-market/companies?utm_source=openpr

Conclusion

The outlook for the service handgun market is broadly positive. With the projected growth from USD 2.27 billion in 2025 to USD 3.07 billion by 2030 at a CAGR of ~6.25 %, the market is poised for steady but meaningful expansion. Key drivers include continued modernization efforts across military and law enforcement, widespread adoption of striker-fired and optic-ready pistols, and growth in the Asia-Pacific region.

For complete market analysis, please visit the Mordor Intelligence page: https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/service-handgun-market?utm_source=openpr

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