Rising Terrorist Threats Fueling The Growth Of The Market Due To Increasing Demand For Rapid Precise Security Responses: Critical Driver Shaping the Small Arms Market in 2025

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Small Arms Market Size Valuation Forecast: What Will the Market Be Worth by 2025?
In recent years, there has been significant growth in the small arms market size. The market is expected to expand from $8.87 billion in 2024 to $9.32 billion in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.1%. The prior growth can be credited to the rising interest in shooting sports and recreational hunting, initiatives launched by governments to modernize the military, an increase in terrorist activities and insurgencies, the pressing demand for modernization of law enforcement, and the escalating procurement of small arms by private security firms.

Small Arms Market Size Forecast: What's the Projected Valuation by 2029?
The predicted growth in the small arms market size over the next few years is likely to be steady, reaching a market value of $11.25 billion in 2029, with a 4.8% compound annual growth rate. Factors contributing to this expansion over the forecast period include a rise in worldwide defense budgets, an increase in the demand for personal protection weapons among the public, escalating geopolitical disputes and regional clashes, greater implementation of updated small arms by military forces, and a surge in the requirement for lightweight and adaptable firearms. Key trends projected for this period include progression in lightweight components for improved weapon mobility, the creation of flexible modular weapon systems, improvements in recoil reduction technology, the implementation of biometric and RFID user identification systems, and innovations in precision engineering and manufacturing processes.

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What Are the Drivers Transforming the Small Arms Market?
Growing concerns over escalating terrorist threats are projected to fuel the development of the small arms market in the future. Terrorist threats, often expressions or signs of premeditated violent intentions, aim to instill fear and promote extremist agendas. These escalations are frequently related to political instability, providing a fertile environment for extremist factions to expand and execute attacks. Small arms, due to their rapid response and excellent mobility, cater to these threats and have become indispensable for defense and security forces. They provide swift and accurate reactions during critical scenarios, thus improving public security and the efficiency of counter-terrorism efforts. For example, as reported by the Institute for Economics & Peace, a U.S.-based NGO, the average death toll per terrorist attack spiked to 1.7 in 2022 from 1.3 fatalities in the previous year. Consequently, the surge in terrorist threats is spurring the growth of the small arms market.

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What Long-Term Trends Will Define the Future of the Small Arms Market?
Leading enterprises working in the small arms industry are concentrating on the creation of technologically progressive systems such as computerized small arms systems. These are aimed at improving the precision of targeting, uplifting situational perception, and amalgamating with contemporary battlefield networks. In essence, a computerized small arms system is a weapon that's merged with digital technologies like electronic targeting, fire control systems, data compilation, and communication abilities. For example, in April 2024, Israel Weapon Industries Ltd., a company based in Israel, introduced an Arbel. This system escalates lethality, precision, and survivability up to three times, enabling soldiers to accurately hit moving targets and reducing errors even under stressful or fatiguing conditions. It further maximizes ammunition utilisation and lessens the need for broad training, whilst keeping the weapon completely operable even if the computerized system is non-functional.

Which Segments in the Small Arms Market Offer the Most Profit Potential?
The small arms market covered in this report is segmented -

1) By Type: Pistol, Revolver, Rifles, Shotgun, Machine Gun, Other Types
2) By Firing System: Gas-Operated, Recoil-Operated, Manual
3) By Mode Of Operation: Semi-Automatic, Automatic
4) By Technology: Guided, Unguided
5) By End Use Sector: Defense, Military, Law Enforcement, Civil And Commercial, Sporting, Hunting, Self-defense, Other End Use Sectors

Subsegments:
1) By Pistol: Semi-Automatic Pistols, Automatic Pistols, Single-Shot Pistols
2) By Revolver: Single-Action Revolvers, Double-Action Revolvers
3) By Rifles: Bolt-Action Rifles, Automatic Rifles, Semi-Automatic Rifles
4) By Shotgun: Pump-Action Shotguns, Double-Barrel Shotguns, Semi-Automatic Shotguns
5) By Machine Gun: Light Machine Guns (Lmg), Heavy Machine Guns (Hmg), Medium Machine Guns (Mmg)
6) By Other Types: Submachine Guns, Carbines, Assault Rifles

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Which Firms Dominate the Small Arms Market by Market Share and Revenue in 2025?
Major Companies operating in the small arms market are Thales Group, Smith & Wesson Brands Inc., SIG Sauer GmbH & Co. KG, Sturm, Ruger & Co. Inc., FN Browning Group, Heckler & Koch GmbH, Colt's Manufacturing Company LLC, GLOCK Ges.m.b.H., Fabbrica d'Armi Pietro Beretta S.p.A., Accuracy International Ltd, Indumil, PTR Industries Inc., Israel Weapon Industries Ltd, Caracal International LLC, Daniel Defense LLC, Browning International S.A., Brügger & Thomet AG, Kalashnikov Group, Ceská zbrojovka Group, Steyr Arms GmbH USA, Zastava Arms.

Which Regions Offer the Highest Growth Potential in the Small Arms Market?
North America was the largest region in the small arms market in 2024. Asia-Pacific is expected to be the fastest-growing region in the forecast period. The regions covered in the small arms market report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa.

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