Cocoa Powder Price Outlook 2025: Price Trends, Market Insights and Forecast

Cocoa Powder Price Trends: YoY Change and Future Outlook for 2025

The cocoa powder market has seen significant fluctuations in recent years, with prices steadily rising in 2024 compared to 2023. Cocoa powder prices in the Middle East & Africa have experienced considerable year-over-year (YoY) changes, indicating the impact of various market dynamics such as supply, demand, and processing stability.

In October 2024, the price of cocoa powder rose to 5530 USD/TON, reflecting a 73% YoY increase from 3200 USD/TON in October 2023. This sharp rise in cocoa powder prices can be attributed to improved supply conditions and more stable processing across key cocoa-producing regions. Despite the increase, the market remains cautious, as there are uncertainties regarding future price movements and supply chain disruptions.

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The price of cocoa powder continued its upward trajectory in November 2024, reaching 5950 USD/TON, a 63% YoY increase compared to November 2023, when it was priced at 3651 USD/TON. This continued growth highlights the ongoing tightness in supply and the increasing demand for cocoa powder, particularly in the confectionery and beverage sectors. However, the market shows signs of stabilization as production and processing adjustments help to balance price pressures.

In December 2024, the price of cocoa powder saw another substantial increase, reaching 6290 USD/TON, reflecting an 80% YoY rise compared to 4103 USD/TON in December 2023. This sharp increase indicates that cocoa powder prices are set to remain volatile, influenced by factors such as crop yields and geopolitical challenges.

Looking forward to 2025, Expert Market Research predicts that the cocoa powder price will remain cautious but steady, with improved supply and stable processing helping to balance the market. As such, cocoa powder prices will likely continue to experience moderate fluctuations, with potential for steady growth if global production remains stable.

These cocoa powder price trends underscore the market's sensitivity to various external factors and highlight the importance of closely monitoring price shifts and supply chain dynamics in the coming year.

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Leading Exporting and Importing Countries in Cocoa Powder Trade

The global cocoa powder market is shaped by a few key exporting and importing countries that drive the flow of this essential ingredient in the food and beverage industry. These countries are supported by major suppliers who help maintain a steady supply of cocoa powder to meet the global demand.

Leading Exporting Countries

Ghana is one of the largest exporters of cocoa powder, providing a significant share of the global supply. As a key player in the global cocoa industry, Ghana's exports reach destinations like the United States, where cocoa powder is in high demand. The Netherlands is another major exporter, with cocoa powder from this region reaching markets in China. The country has established itself as a leading cocoa processing hub, further solidifying its export role.

Germany, known for its robust chocolate and confectionery industry, also plays a crucial role in cocoa powder exports, with France being one of its primary importing nations. Indonesia, with its expanding cocoa industry, supplies cocoa powder to India, a rapidly growing market in Asia. Malaysia contributes significantly to the cocoa powder trade, exporting to countries like Belgium, a key hub for cocoa processing in Europe.

Spain is another notable exporter, supplying cocoa powder to countries like the Philippines, which has seen rising demand for cocoa-related products in the region. France, a well-established cocoa producer, exports to Japan, a leading consumer of cocoa powder in Asia. Lastly, Turkey is emerging as an exporter, with Poland being one of its main import partners.

Leading Importing Countries

The United States stands as one of the largest importers of cocoa powder globally, receiving substantial quantities from Ghana and other exporters. China follows closely, with increasing imports from countries like the Netherlands to meet its growing demand for cocoa-based products. France, a major consumer of cocoa, imports cocoa powder from countries like Germany, while India is another key importer, especially from Indonesia.

Other notable importers include Belgium, which relies on cocoa powder from Malaysia for its significant chocolate industry. The Philippines has seen an uptick in cocoa powder imports, particularly from Spain. Japan continues to be a large importer, sourcing cocoa powder from France to meet the demand for its confectionery and food sectors. Poland is also an emerging importer, with increased cocoa powder imports from Turkey.

Major Suppliers

Several global companies play a pivotal role in supplying cocoa powder to the international market. Barry Callebaut AG (Switzerland) is one of the largest suppliers, serving markets across the globe. Cargill Incorporated (USA) is another major supplier, supporting both the cocoa and chocolate industries. Olam International Limited (Singapore) supplies cocoa powder, particularly to the European market, while JB Cocoa (Malaysia) is a key supplier to countries in Asia.

Other significant suppliers include ECOM Cocoa (Switzerland), which provides cocoa powder to various regions, and Touton S.A. (France), which plays a crucial role in the European market. The Hershey Company (USA) is another important supplier, primarily serving markets in the Americas and Asia. Guan Chong Berhad (GCB) (Malaysia) rounds out the list, supporting the growing demand for cocoa powder, particularly in Europe and Asia.

These exporters, importers, and suppliers ensure the steady flow of cocoa powder to meet the ever-growing demand for chocolate and cocoa-based products worldwide.

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Report Scope:

Historical Price Data and Analysis, 2021-2024
Historical Price Data - Monthly
Grade-Wise Price Fluctuation
Correlation with Feedstock Price Movement
Key Market Opportunities and Risks
Price Outlook
Monthly Price Forecast (Rolling 3-month forecast for 12 months) (3 Month Quarterly Update)
Long-Term Price Forecast (2 years), 2025-2026
Price Influencing Factors
Supply and Demand Analysis
Global Market Supply Analysis (2021-2026)
Global Market Demand Analysis (2021-2026)
Demand-Supply Gap Analysis
Historical Dynamics (2021-2024)
Market Dynamics (Drivers and Constraints)
Top 5 Deficit Countries with Net Import
Top 5 Surplus Countries with Net Export
Cost Breakdown
Direct Cost
Indirect Costs
Tax and Regulatory Costs
Profit Margin
Latest Industry News
Recent Developments
Geopolitical Events
Insights From Government Data and Industries Bodies
Key Macroeconomic Indicators
GDP Growth
Inflation Rates
Currency Exchange Rates
Impact on Commodity Prices

How Claight Corporation (Expert Market Research) Database Can Help

The latest report by Expert Market Research, "Cocoa Powder Prices, Trends, Charts, Demand, and Market Analysis - 2025 Edition," offers a comprehensive overview of the global pricing landscape for cocoa powder. Designed for industry stakeholders, the study provides detailed historical and forecast price data, highlighting key market shifts and emerging pricing trends.

Drawing from in-depth research, the report analyses the primary factors influencing cocoa powder prices, including fluctuations in raw material availability, changes in production capacity, and macroeconomic or geopolitical developments. Additionally, the report evaluates global and regional demand patterns, outlining how shifts in end-use industries such as construction, paper, and plastics are impacting market dynamics. By examining the supply-demand balance, Expert Market Research's report helps businesses understand the underlying forces shaping current and future pricing environments, offering valuable insights to guide procurement, pricing strategy, and investment planning.

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