Minerals Market for Lithium Batteries is Estimated to Advance at a CAGR of 15.2%, reach US$ 58.4 Bn by the end of 2031 | TMR Research

The global minerals market for lithium batteries, valued at US$14.3 billion in 2021, is on a trajectory of unprecedented growth, with projections indicating a robust 15.2% CAGR from 2022 to 2031, potentially reaching US$58.4 billion by 2031. This expansion is being driven primarily by the accelerating adoption of electric vehicles (EVs), advances in energy storage solutions, evolving regulatory policies, and a fundamental shift toward clean energy technologies.

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Market Overview

The lithium battery sector comprises a complex network of minerals, including lithium, nickel, cobalt, and graphite, all critical for battery performance and capacity. Among these, lithium remains the most scrutinized due to its irreplaceable role in high-density energy storage and the surging demand for lithium-ion batteries across key sectors such as automotive, consumer electronics, and renewable energy.

Key Drivers of Growth

Electric Vehicle Adoption: The automotive industry is a dominant force, leveraging lithium-ion batteries for both performance and sustainability. Global EV sales topped 10 million units in 2022, a 60% year-over-year increase. This rapid EV market uptake directly translates into greater demand for lithium and allied minerals.

Energy Storage Solutions: As renewable energy generation scales, grid-level and localized energy storage demand is rising, further sharpening the need for robust lithium-based technologies.

Consumer Electronics: Smartphones, laptops, and increasingly powerful portable devices require longer-lasting, safer, and higher-capacity batteries, again intensifying mineral demand.

Regional Outlook

Asia Pacific remains the epicenter of lithium battery production and consumption, with China, Japan, and South Korea leading in both electronics manufacturing and EV adoption.

North America and Europe are investing heavily in domestic supply chains and gigafactory development to reduce dependency on foreign imports and tap into decarbonization goals.

Competitive Landscape and Key Players

The minerals market for lithium batteries is highly competitive, characterized by the presence of integrated global mining giants, specialized chemical refiners, and emerging technology players. Many governments and companies are rapidly mobilizing capital to secure supply chains via exploration, acquisition, and technology investment initiatives. Recent years have seen mergers, partnerships, and joint-venture agreements as companies strive to mitigate supply risk and achieve economies of scale.

Leading Companies:

Glencore
BHP
Rio Tinto
Vale
Anglo American Plc
Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd.
MMG Australia Limited
Albemarle Corporation
SQM SA
Ganfeng Lithium Co.,Ltd.
Pilbara Minerals
Ma'aden
Tianqi Lithium
ALLKEM LIMITED

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Supply Chain Dynamics and Challenges

Tightening Supply and Price Volatility
The global lithium supply chain faces pressures from both accelerated demand and constrained production. Lithium prices in early 2025 reflect this tension:

Battery-grade lithium metal: ~$80,354 per metric tonne.

Lithium carbonate: ~$9,271 per metric tonne.

Lithium hydroxide: ~$8,571 per metric tonne.

Such volatility underscores not only tightness in material supply but also heightened risk for battery manufacturers and automakers. Geopolitical tensions and shifting demand patterns further complicate the landscape, with supply challenges forecasted to persist through 2025.

Regulatory and Environmental Pressures

Stricter government regulations and mining policies are shaping the market. Stakeholders are demanding reduced environmental impact from mining operations, requiring battery mineral suppliers to significantly improve sustainability and transparency practices. The implementation of robust ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) standards is rapidly becoming a make-or-break factor for new and existing projects.

Technological Evolution and Market Strategies

Advances in Extraction and Processing
To meet demand, the lithium mining sector is evolving:

Direct Lithium Extraction (DLE) methods are increasingly deployed to improve recovery rates and access a broader range of brine resources, particularly in South America and Australia.

Vertical Integration: Leading battery and auto companies are pursuing "mine-to-market" models, securing mineral supplies directly via long-term contracts or equity stakes in mining operations.

Nickel and Cobalt Innovations: Battery chemistries are being optimized to reduce reliance on scarce and costly minerals like cobalt, shifting toward higher-nickel content cathodes or alternative formulations, but critical minerals remain indispensable for high-performance batteries.

Market Segmentation

By Mineral: Lithium, nickel, cobalt, graphite, manganese, and, increasingly, rare earth elements.

By Application: Automotive (EV batteries), consumer electronics, energy storage systems, aerospace, and industrial machinery.

By Region: Asia-Pacific, North America, Europe, Latin America, and Middle East/Africa.

Future Outlook and Forecasts

According to IDTechEx and Transparency Market Research, demand for lithium and other critical battery minerals will continue to grow at double-digit rates into the 2030s. The battery minerals supply chain will require:

Expansion of mining capacity worldwide, especially in lithium-rich countries such as Australia, Chile, Argentina, and new frontiers in Africa.

Greater investment in recycling infrastructure, as secondary (recycled) lithium business models become viable and crucial for circular economy development, particularly as EV battery fleets begin to retire.

Ongoing technological advancements in extraction, refining, and battery chemistry to improve efficiency, lower costs, and address environmental concerns.

However, potential risks persist, especially if mineral exploration and production cannot keep pace with the projected surges in battery manufacturing. Supply constraints, price spikes, and trade policy shifts could create bottlenecks-highlighting the need for agility and sustainability across the value chain

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