Ethylene Prices, Index, Real-Time Price Chart and Historical Data

Ethylene Price Trends and 2025 Outlook: China CIF

Ethylene prices in China, based on CIF (Cost, Insurance, and Freight) terms, have shown notable fluctuations from 2023 to 2024. A month-wise comparison reveals changing market dynamics influenced by global demand, supply chain disruptions, and regional capacity adjustments.

In October 2024, the ethylene price stood at USD 941/MT, down from USD 980/MT in October 2023, reflecting a 4% year-on-year (YoY) decrease. This decline was largely attributed to weak downstream demand and an oversupply situation in parts of Asia. However, despite the price drop, market experts note that regional capacity constraints may trigger a potential upward bias in 2025, keeping prices volatile.

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In contrast, November 2024 saw a 3% YoY increase, with prices rising to USD 925/MT from USD 898/MT in the previous year. This modest rise suggests a short-term tightening in supply or a seasonal demand recovery, highlighting the market's sensitivity to operational outages and trade flow shifts.

The most significant change occurred in December 2024, where ethylene prices jumped to USD 917/MT from USD 845/MT in December 2023 - a notable 9% increase. This surge may be linked to inventory restocking before the year-end and optimism about economic recovery in the region, boosting downstream petrochemical activity.

Looking ahead to 2025, Expert Market Research predicts that ethylene prices are expected to remain volatile, with a potential upward bias. Regional capacity constraints, especially in Northeast Asia, may tighten supply, while demand from packaging, automotive, and construction sectors could lend support to prices. Stakeholders are advised to monitor geopolitical developments, crude oil trends, and production schedules, which will be key in shaping ethylene's market trajectory in the coming year.

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Global Ethylene Trade Landscape: Key Exporters, Importers, and Suppliers

The global ethylene market is characterized by a complex network of exporting and importing countries, supported by some of the world's largest petrochemical companies. Ethylene, a critical feedstock in the plastics and chemicals industries, is traded extensively across continents due to the geographical imbalance in production and consumption.

Leading Exporting Countries

The United States leads global ethylene exports, leveraging its shale gas advantage to produce ethylene at competitive costs. Saudi Arabia is another dominant exporter, supported by its vast hydrocarbon resources and integrated petrochemical infrastructure. Other major exporters include Germany, Russia, Canada, Thailand, Malaysia, and Iran, each contributing significantly to global supply chains through large-scale ethylene and derivative production facilities.

Leading Importing Countries

On the import side, China is the world's largest ethylene importer, driven by its massive demand in plastics, automotive, and construction sectors. South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan are also key importers, relying heavily on imported ethylene for their advanced chemical and electronics industries. Additional major importing countries include India, Belgium, Netherlands, and Singapore, which act as consumption hubs or transshipment points within broader regional supply chains.

Major Suppliers

Several global chemical giants dominate ethylene production and supply. SABIC (Saudi Arabia) and Sinopec (China) lead in Asia and the Middle East. From the United States, ExxonMobil Chemical, Dow Chemical, and LyondellBasell Industries (Netherlands-based) are top exporters, known for their extensive global reach. European companies such as BASF (Germany) and Shell Chemicals (Netherlands) also play a major role, while Reliance Industries (India) stands out as a major regional supplier in South Asia.

Together, these countries and corporations form the backbone of the international ethylene trade, facilitating global industrial development through robust supply networks.

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Report Scope:
• Historical Price Data and Analysis, 2021-2024
o Historical Price Data - Monthly
o Grade-Wise Price Fluctuation
o Correlation with Feedstock Price Movement
o Key Market Opportunities and Risks
• Price Outlook
o Monthly Price Forecast (Rolling 3-month forecast for 12 months) (3 Month Quarterly Update)
o Long-Term Price Forecast (2 years), 2025-2026
o Price Influencing Factors
• Supply and Demand Analysis
o Global Market Supply Analysis (2021-2026)
o Global Market Demand Analysis (2021-2026)
o Demand-Supply Gap Analysis
o Historical Dynamics (2021-2024)
o Market Dynamics (Drivers and Constraints)
o Top 5 Deficit Countries with Net Import
o Top 5 Surplus Countries with Net Export
• Cost Breakdown of Tin Plate
o Direct Cost
o Indirect Costs
o Tax and Regulatory Costs
o Profit Margin
• Latest Industry News
o Recent Developments
o Geopolitical Events
o Insights From Government Data and Industries Bodies
• Key Macroeconomic Indicators
o GDP Growth
o Inflation Rates
o Currency Exchange Rates
o Impact on Commodity Prices

How Claight Corporation (Expert Market Research) Database Can Help

The latest report by Expert Market Research, "Ethylene Prices, Trends, Charts, Demand, and Market Analysis - 2025 Edition," offers a comprehensive overview of the global pricing landscape for ethylene. Designed for industry stakeholders, the study provides detailed historical and forecast price data, highlighting key market shifts and emerging pricing trends.

Drawing from in-depth research, the report analyses the primary factors influencing ethylene prices, including fluctuations in raw material availability, changes in production capacity, and macroeconomic or geopolitical developments. Additionally, the report evaluates global and regional demand patterns, outlining how shifts in end-use industries such as construction, paper, and plastics are impacting market dynamics. By examining the supply-demand balance, Expert Market Research's report helps businesses understand the underlying forces shaping current and future pricing environments, offering valuable insights to guide procurement, pricing strategy, and investment planning.

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About Claight Corporation (Expert Market Research):

Expert Market Research is a leading provider of syndicated and custom market intelligence, supporting clients with strategic insights across a broad range of industries. The firm delivers end-to-end research services including demand-supply assessments, pricing and cost analysis (including regional spot prices), feasibility studies, regulatory mapping, and competitive benchmarking. Expert Market Research's geographic coverage spans Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa. With a data-driven methodology and deep sectoral expertise, Expert Market Research enables clients to make informed decisions and capture growth opportunities in evolving global markets.

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