U.S. Nuts Market Projected to Grow to US$ 16.02 Bn by 2032 - Persistence Market Research

The U.S. nuts market is witnessing a robust surge in demand, driven by evolving dietary habits, a growing inclination toward plant-based nutrition, and increasing consumer awareness about health and wellness. According to Persistence Market Research, the U.S. nuts market size is projected to grow from US$ 10,976.6 million in 2025 to US$ 16,026.1 million by 2032, showcasing a CAGR of 5.6% during the forecast period. This expansion highlights not only the popularity of nuts as a nutritious snack but also their rising prominence in culinary and foodservice applications.

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The key growth drivers supporting this market expansion include the rising number of vegan consumers and increased adoption of healthy snacking practices. Almonds, thanks to their diabetic-friendly and low-fat profile, are emerging as a consumer favorite and are anticipated to capture 32.6% market share in 2025. Regionally, the Western U.S. dominates with a projected 33.7% share, supported by the strategic advantage of export-friendly ports and California's dominance in nut production.

Key Highlights from the Report:

➤ Almonds are expected to hold 32.6% market share in 2025 due to their wide application in health-focused snacks.
➤ Off-trade channels will dominate distribution with a 53.8% share, led by increased retail demand for flavored nuts.
➤ West U.S. to lead geographically with a 33.7% share, fueled by export logistics and high almond yield in California.
➤ Functional snacking innovations such as protein-rich nut mixes are driving product diversification.
➤ Companies are investing in climate-resilient nut varieties and precision irrigation for sustainability.
➤ Pistachio production is anticipated to surpass 2 billion pounds in the coming years, opening up processing innovations.

Market Segmentation

The U.S. nuts market is segmented based on product type, distribution channel, and regional zones.

By product type, almonds, peanuts, pistachios, walnuts, and cashews lead the market. Almonds dominate due to their integration into plant-based diets and growing popularity among health-conscious consumers. As per USDA, per capita almond consumption reached 2.4 pounds in 2024, underlining their widespread appeal. Peanuts follow closely with a high per capita consumption of 7.3 pounds, largely owing to their affordability and frequent use in products like peanut butter.

Distribution-wise, the market is bifurcated into off-trade and on-trade channels. The off-trade segment is forecast to dominate with a 53.8% share in 2025, driven by strong retail presence in supermarkets, convenience stores, and e-commerce platforms. In contrast, the on-trade channel, comprising restaurants and foodservice operations, is gaining traction for its innovative incorporation of nuts into dishes and gourmet offerings.

Regional Insights

West U.S.:
With California at the helm, the western region leads the U.S. nuts market. California alone produces 80% of the world's almonds and is a top exporter of pistachios and walnuts. The state benefits from favorable soil conditions and proximity to global trade routes. However, environmental concerns, particularly over water usage in almond cultivation, continue to draw attention.

Southeast U.S.:
Georgia remains the epicenter of pecan production, contributing 42% of the national output in 2023. Supported by research initiatives from institutions like the University of Georgia, the state's pecan industry is poised for sustainability-led growth. Favorable climate and soil further reinforce Georgia's dominance in this segment.

Midwest U.S.:
In this region, hazelnuts and black walnuts are the key focus. Universities in Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin are pioneering research on cold-resistant hazelnut strains. Meanwhile, Missouri leads in black walnut cultivation, supported by suitable agro-climatic conditions and growing consumer interest in unique nut flavors.

Market Drivers

The U.S. nuts market is significantly propelled by a nationwide shift from traditional meals to snacking habits. Data from 2024 reveals that 17% of U.S. consumers replaced meals with snacks, up from 14% the previous year. Nuts, being dense in protein, healthy fats, and micronutrients, serve as the ideal snack ingredient. Brands like Blue Diamond have responded with flavored, convenient snack packs targeting busy consumers, particularly Millennials and Gen Z. Additionally, nuts are increasingly used in culinary applications such as yogurts, trail mixes, and salads, further enhancing their utility.

Market Restraints

Despite their nutritional benefits, nut consumption is constrained by the growing prevalence of nut allergies. Tree nut allergies affect between 0.5% to 1% of the U.S. population, while peanut allergies impact around 2.5% of children. These allergies often extend into adulthood and require strict avoidance of all nut-derived products. As a result, food producers must adhere to stringent labeling norms, which limits the versatility of nuts in processed food. Moreover, rising allergy concerns could deter consumption growth, especially in school and healthcare environments.

Market Opportunities

Booming domestic production, especially in states like California and Georgia, offers significant room for expansion. In 2024, California's almond output was estimated at 2.80 billion pounds, up from 2.47 billion pounds in 2023, thanks to favorable weather and improved yields. Similarly, U.S. pistachio production is on a growth trajectory, expected to cross 2 billion pounds in the near future. This surplus in domestic supply presents opportunities for processing innovation, value addition, and global market expansion. The rising interest in organic and clean-label products further enables new entrants to capture niche market segments.

Key Trends to Watch

Consumers are increasingly leaning toward organic and clean-label nut products. This aligns with broader dietary trends in the U.S., where buyers are actively avoiding artificial additives, preservatives, and genetically modified ingredients. The American Heart Association has endorsed nuts as a heart-healthy food choice, and clinical studies show they help lower LDL cholesterol and support cardiovascular health. This health halo is pushing both premium and mass-market nut brands to innovate with better-for-you options like sprouted, roasted, and low-sodium nut blends.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

◆ How big is the U.S. nuts market projected to be by 2032?
◆ What is the CAGR forecast for the U.S. nuts market from 2025 to 2032?
◆ Who are the key players in the U.S. nuts market landscape?
◆ What is the market forecast for U.S. nuts through 2032?
◆ Which region is expected to dominate the U.S. nuts industry during the forecast period?

Company Insights

• Blue Diamond Growers
• Tierra Farm, Inc.
• Waterford Nut Company
• Mariani Nut Company
• Farm Breeze International LLC
• The Wonderful Company LLC
• Hormel Foods Corporation (Planters)
• John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.
• Krema Nut Company
• Daily Crunch
• Cibo Vita Inc.

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