Has 5G changed the spectrum price evolution? - Towards more regulatory intervention in assigning spectrum

The advent of 5G and the use of medium and higher frequencies have changed the game. Prices seem to have fallen and interventionist actions have increased.
Radio spectrum is a vital asset for MNOs and a key resource for regulators and citizens.

Radio spectrum used by mobile networks (below 3 GHz) has always been scarce, which pushes MNOs to opt for new spectrum usage techniques.

The main reason for spectrum pricing is to promote efficient use of spectrum and to ensure services for all.
• How have spectrum prices evolved over the period 2000-2021?
• How have the components of spectrum pricing changed?

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GEOGRAPHIC AREA
• ASIA-PACIFIC
o Australia
o Hong Kong
o India
o New Zealand
o South Korea
o Taiwan
o Thailand
• EUROPE
o Austria
o Denmark
o Finland
o France
o Germany
o Greece
o Italy
o Norway
o Portugal
o Slovenia
o Spain
o Switzerland
o United Kingdom
• LATIN AMERICA
o Brazil
o Chile
• NORTH AMERICA
o Canada
o United States

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Table of Contents:
1. Methodology and scope
2. Executive summary
2.1. Executive summary
2.2. Key parameters impacting spectrum prices
2.3. Number of spectrum auctions in the last past years
2.4. Spectrum prices in the last three years
3. Spectrum assignments: what is at stake?
3.1. Spectrum is a vital resource
3.2. Vital spectrum is often auctioned
• Frequency bands below 6GHz
• Frequency bands above 6GHz
3.3. Frequency Coverage, Capacity, Latency trade-offs for mobile services
3.4. Auctions are at risk
4. Price reached is not the only component
4.1. Spectrum prices components
4.2. Frequency assessment criteria
4.3. Licence duration/validity and spectrum prices
4.4. Quantity of spectrum
4.5. Obligations linked to licences stimulate deployments
4.6. Spectrum sharing and 5G spectrum set-asides gain momentum
5. Spectrum price analysis by criteria
5.1. Spectrum prices trends
5.2. The spectrum band criteria
• 700 MHz
• 3.4-3.8 GHz
• Millimeter waves spectrum
5.3. High reserve prices reflect in higher final prices
5.4. Competition and spectrum prices in Europe
5.5. Correlation between spectrum prices and quantity of spectrum auctioned
5.6. Correlation between spectrum prices and country area
6. Italy and Germany
6.1. Italian 5G spectrum auctions
6.2. German 5G spectrum auctions

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List of Tables and Figures:
2. Executive summary
• Key parameters impacting spectrum prices
• Spectrum auctions 2017-2021
• Spectrum prices 2017-2021
3. Spectrum assignments: what is at stake?
• Spectrum allocation modes at global level for the 1998-2021 period
• Spectrum SMRA allocation mode per frequency band (global) for the 1998-2021 period
• Frequency bands below 6GHz
• Frequency bands above 6GHz
• Frequency Coverage, Capacity, Latency trade-offs for mobile services
• Min/Max/Average Price per MHz per PoP for 10 years by frequency band (2000-2021)
4. Price reached is not the only component
• Frequency assessment criterias
• Spectrum allocation duration per region and per frequency band for the 1998-2021 period
• The relationship between duration and the average price per MHz per population and per region for the 1998-2021 period
• Quantity of spectrum distributed on average in Europe per frequency band for the 1998-2021 period
• Quantity of spectrum distributed on average per region and per frequency band for the 1998-2021 period
• Relations between coverage obligations and spectrum prices
5. Spectrum price analysis by criteria
• Evolution of average price per MHz per population globally for the 2000-2006 and 2017-2021 period
• Average price per MHz per population for selected countries (year 2000)
• Average pectrum prices by frequency bands (cEUR/MHz/Pop for 10 years)
• Price & reserve price per MHz par Pop for 10 years for 700 MHz spectrum – World
• Price & reserve price per MHz per Pop for 10 years for 700 MHz spectrum – Europe
• Price & reserve price per MHz per Pop for 10 years for 3.5. GHz spectrum – World
• Price & reserve price per MHz per Pop for 10 years for 3.5. GHz spectrum – Europe
• Price & reserve price per MHz per Pop for 10 years for 26 GHz spectrum – World
• Relationship between reserve prices and final prices per population for 10 years and per frequency band
• Relationship between spectrum allocation format, reserve prices and final prices per population for 10 years
• Relationship between the number of MNOs, the Reserve price and the Final price in Europe
• Relationship between the number of MNOs and price per MHz per population in Europe for the 700 and 800 MHz frequency bands
• Correlation between the quantity of spectrum distributed and the price per MHz per population for the 700 MHz frequency band in APAC and Europe
• Relationship between country area and price per MHz per population for the 700 MHz and 3500 MHz frequency bands
• Relationship between annual debt and price per MHz per population for the 700 MHz frequency band
6. Italy and Germany
• Italy – Reserve price versus price
• Italy – Auction results and related prices per MHz per PoP for ten years
• Italy – Price per MHz per PoP for 10 years
• Germany – Reserve price versus price
• Germany – Auction results and related prices per MHz per PoP for ten years
• Germany – Reserve price and price per MHz per PoP for 10 years

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