Liquidity and Prime Rates are the adjustment screws for the equity market in 2010
Baech (Switzerland), February 10, 2010 – Market’s reaction to the recently published predominantly good U.S. company news remained cautious. Although almost three quarter of the U.S. companies beat the Street’s expectations for the last quarter of 2009, S&P 500 is clearly revising downwards since the middle of January. Along with good company news, the possibility of an increase of the federal funds rate by the FED is rising, which would have a big impact on world stock markets.
“Many analysts still see high liquidity as the main reason for last months’ rally on equity markets. An increase of the federal funds rate by the FED would lower liquidity and obviously, shareholders fear rising interest,” comments Bernd M. Otto of Investment24 Research. “If the still fragile economic recovery really initiates a change from the liquidity driven rally to a fundamental boom remains to be seen,” adds the financial expert. Furthermore, IMF chief economist Olivier Blanchard places the sustainability of the economic recovery in the foreground. According to him, this is the precondition for a future positive development of the world economy.
The skepticism among shareholders is also proven by the Sentix overall index that was published on Monday. Contrary to the forecast of economists, the expectations regarding the economic condition for the Euro Zone drastically depressed. “Shareholders currently use any bad business news for profit taking. This does not look like a continuation of last three quarters’ bull market,” explains Bernd M. Otto, CEO of Investment24.
The attention now concentrates on the FED as the European Central Bank left the prime rate untouched last Thursday. “The FED estimated the economic climate to be quite positive on the last meeting end of January. We expect an increase of the federal funds rate from fall 2010,” predicts Bernd M. Otto.
Investment24 AG, based in Switzerland, provides quality information about interesting opportunities on world stock markets. The company not only demonstrates a positive performance in excess of 350 percent since July 2007, but it also offers a high degree of transparency. This is in sharp contrast to other stock market or financial services newsletters. All transactions are explained in detail, and provided with background information. These results are achieved with professional risk and money management. CEO and editor of the stock market letter is Bernd M. Otto, and he is supported by an experienced staff.
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